Posted on 03/19/2020 7:40:51 AM PDT by zeestephen
Dr. Kathleen Neuzil, director of the Center for Vaccine Development at the University of Maryland’s School of Medicine..."We have 350 million people in the United States, and you do the math," she said on CNBC’s Squawk Box. If 70 million people are eventually infected with this virus and again if there are multiple waves of this virus, then you can do the math and then you can get there."
(Excerpt) Read more at cnbc.com ...
(1) The USA population is 330 million - not 350 million.
(2) The Doctor claims that 70 million could eventually be infected.
(3) Washington state is the most COVID-19 infected state in the USA. All people who have known exposure risk, recent travel risk, or obvious symptom risk, are being tested. Just 7% of those 17,105 tests were positive, and that rate has been declining for a week.
(4) For the purpose of discussion, let's say 7% of the USA is infected. 7% X 330 million is 23.1 million - NOT 70 million.
(5) The USA "Case Fatality Rate" is 1.6%. That number has been stable or declining for 10 days.
(6) For the purpose of discussion, let's say the Doctor's prediction of 70 million infections is correct. 70 million X 1.6% is 1.12 million. That is not "millions." It is barely 1 million.
Rot Rosenstein’s sister!!
Hey, stop it with the math facts. You are ruining the “panic”!
/sarc
biggest error is assuming we are all stupid lemmings who would not modify our behavior in response to a REAL risk of that magnitude
You’ll get NOWHERE with FACTS on this thing!
(Nice job, though.)
Ridiculous. This kind of talk leads to panic. Deliberate? This latest bug is no different than the flu and cold we get every year. Do you really think this is the bug that will destroy us?
“This Doctor has made some serious math errors. “
To hell with math! The public is generally too stupid to question a DOCTOR’s calculations!!!
It’s panic that matters, and controlling the public. It’s been going better than they could have imagined. The American public is easily manipulated under the guise of “the greater good”.
Italy's cumulative case count today is 35,713, which is 0.059% of their country's total population. If you multiply that number by our 329MM citizens, you'd get 156,000 Americans with Coronavirus.
NFW.
Hmmm .... she’s “director of the Center for Vaccine Development at the University of Maryland”. I looked and can find on vaccine she has developed....so some “Center” she directs.
“on vaccine” should be “NO vaccine”.
The worst case based upon available data is:
1. 20% infection rate
2. 50% symptomatic
2. 14% mortality rate for age 70+ Showing symptoms
3. 70+ is 11.2% of population
So...
330M x 0.20 x 0.5 x 0.14 x 0.112 = 500k
The CDC will be doing quite a bit of CYA in the next two weeks.
Event 201 - executed as planned
“Math is hard...which is why its easier to make up numbers”
CNBC...Again.
I’m still waiting for my million that MSNBC said I could have gotten from Bloomberg? It makes it easier for someone else to do the hard math.
Is that true?
Or, have I completely misunderstood a really good joke?
“Live from the CDC in Grovers Mill, N.J.......”
Perfectly good math in the service of perfectly idiotic conclusions. No wonder the reputation of science has been taking a beating lately.
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