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The curve flattens?
50 states' health departments as collected by Wikipedia, with Wiki's accuracy confirmed by me | 3-15-20 | Dangus

Posted on 03/15/2020 11:30:14 PM PDT by dangus

click here to read article


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To: Paladin2

“Can’t we fly the Italian overflow to Burlington and then out to Bernie’s Camp Compound on the Lake?”

Yes, the fresh air at Bernie’s dacha on the lake should do wonders for the patients.


121 posted on 03/16/2020 6:59:55 AM PDT by 2CAVTrooper (Political Science degrees, so easy Obama has one.)
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To: Cronos

Perhaps a more important statistic is the number of critical-care beds per 100,000 people:

https://www.statista.com/chart/21105/number-of-critical-care-beds-per-100000-inhabitants/


122 posted on 03/16/2020 7:04:08 AM PDT by riverdawg
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To: dangus

The curve will be inaccurate for a couple of weeks. The reason is we are just beginning to test. We cannot chart the true, initial exponential spread of the disease—that has probably already happened.

This week’s case load will appear much more sharp. This will continue for at least another week. Only then will we see a “real” progression. And that is when we see it flatten.


123 posted on 03/16/2020 7:04:40 AM PDT by Vermont Lt
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To: McGruff

I I think you are missing the point of the posting. Posting this stuff distracts from people actually learning something. It’s not productive.


124 posted on 03/16/2020 7:06:28 AM PDT by Vermont Lt
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To: Cronos

> 1. Masses for less than 50 people - first priority to petitioners

do you mean parisioners?


125 posted on 03/16/2020 7:57:52 AM PDT by SteveH (intentionally blank)
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To: kabar

the EU should have included multilateral pandemic treatment sharing in Shengen, but (apparently) they did not.

If true, then not so much ugly as just plain out dumb.


126 posted on 03/16/2020 8:06:49 AM PDT by SteveH (intentionally blank)
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To: dangus

FLATTEN THE CURVE!


127 posted on 03/16/2020 8:07:33 AM PDT by DouglasKC
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To: kabar
That's a good point. "Hospital bed" is a term often use to describe the capacity of a medical system to treat patients -- including facilities, staff, etc.

I heard an interesting radio interview with a doctor over the weekend. He said U.S. hospitals have been reducing their beds for years, and that this trend has been driven mainly by dramatic improvements in medical procedures that have helped minimize -- or even eliminate, in many cases -- hospital stays for surgery patients.

128 posted on 03/16/2020 8:17:50 AM PDT by Alberta's Child ("Oh, but it's hard to live by the rules; I never could and still never do.")
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To: Whatever Works

>> The nice doctor lady on tv told us that with the release of ALL THE NEW TESTS the numbers would go waaaaaaayyyyy up and not to get scared. <<

True... and yet...


129 posted on 03/16/2020 8:19:48 AM PDT by dangus
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To: calenel
Where have you seen that SK's numbers are worsening? From what I have seen, they are leveling off well.

South Korea COVID-19 Stats
130 posted on 03/16/2020 8:21:47 AM PDT by Antoninus ("In Washington, swamp drain you.")
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To: Alberta's Child
Just watching Cuomo now on TV decrying the fact that the lack of ICU beds is a product of a private healthcare system that puts a premium on profits. I guess a public system paid by the taxpayer can afford the luxury of keeping hundreds of thousands of ICU beds unused just in case we face a global pandemic.

At some point we must weigh the economic impact on our society against what may be considered an acceptable mortality rate. We seem to have done that with the generic flu. How far do we go in destroying the economy to combat the coronavirus? Fauci and his experts can opine what is the optimum solution from a scientific basis, but the President must look at the total impact on the society.

IMO we are overreacting and I say that as someone who is in the higher risk category of the elderly. I remember my days in Vietnam when it was said that we had to destroy a village in order to save it. Test question: If Obama was the President rather than Trump, would this be the same response recommended by the bureaucracy? Or is this a Deep State ploy to destroy the Trump economy in an election year?

131 posted on 03/16/2020 8:33:03 AM PDT by kabar
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To: Antoninus

Daily new cases in South Korea show a country on the downside of the Bell Curve. They see the light at the end of the tunnel.


132 posted on 03/16/2020 8:36:00 AM PDT by kabar
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To: kabar
Any time a subject like this comes up in a conversation with a reasonably educated person, I always ask a simple question:

Can you think of a single industry or aspect of life that is operationally configured to meet the maximum foreseeable demand at all times?

There are none. That's why we have traffic congestion, for heaven's sake. It makes no economic sense to design a road to meet the demands that are placed on it for two to four hours a day, five days a week.

That's also why a world class sprinter can run 100 meters in less than 10 seconds, but marathon runners can't maintain that same pace for 26+ miles.

133 posted on 03/16/2020 8:38:29 AM PDT by Alberta's Child ("Oh, but it's hard to live by the rules; I never could and still never do.")
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To: SteveH

I didn’t use the right word — I don’t know the right word. But if you tell the priest the mass is in memory of some loved one, then you get the priority to attend


134 posted on 03/16/2020 8:46:16 AM PDT by Cronos (Re-elect President Trump 2020!)
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To: Mount Athos

May?


135 posted on 03/16/2020 8:47:03 AM PDT by nickcarraway
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To: kabar
nah, the UK left because of immigration of Eastern europeans to the UK

the eu parliament doesn't make a lot of decisions for eu members - if they did, then there would be more help for Italy from other members

The EU flag is just a little more significant than

Italy is getting help - but not enough.

136 posted on 03/16/2020 8:49:02 AM PDT by Cronos (Re-elect President Trump 2020!)
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To: dangus

E are you talking about May of 2019?


137 posted on 03/16/2020 8:49:14 AM PDT by nickcarraway
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To: Pollster1

How long did it take to make Inner Mongolia disease free.


138 posted on 03/16/2020 10:08:00 AM PDT by poinq
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To: Cronos
I really don't understand why folks don't get the simple fact of “Flattening the curve does not mean reducing the number of cases so much as spreading them out over a longer time period. That’s what flattens the curve. You’ll have more resources to devote to each case, keeping the fatalities lower.”

what is wrong with that?


Nothing wrong with that. Do you own a business or any stocks? How long can you handle the economy going to hell in a hand-basket?
139 posted on 03/16/2020 10:11:43 AM PDT by poinq
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To: poinq
How long did it take to make Inner Mongolia disease free.

Population 25 million. Shut down February 1 (at 23 cases). Current total 75 cases (last new case reported February 19), one death (March 4). I believe it was disease free with the last known case cleared March 11.

140 posted on 03/16/2020 10:54:33 AM PDT by Pollster1 ("Governments derive their just powers from the consent of the governed")
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