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'This time I'm scared': experts fear too late for China virus lockdown
AFP ^ | Issued on: 24/01/2020 - 11:40 Modified: 24/01/2020 - 11:39 | Agence France-Presse

Posted on 01/24/2020 9:51:30 AM PST by Zhang Fei

China's communist rulers draw on a deep well of public acquiesence -- partly due to control of the internet, no free press and a brutally efficient security apparatus.

"I can't imagine there would be too many countries that would be able to do something on this scale as quickly as China has done," Kamradt-Scott said.

Even so, Kamradt-Scott warned a lockdown that extends for a week or more would produce "growing levels of discontent and frustration".

- Quarantine 'illusion' -

Kamradt-Scott said that, even though the virus would inevitably spread, the quarantine appeared designed to buy authorities time to put in place other measures.

He cited China's plans to build a 1,000-bed hospital in Wuhan in just 10 days.

Zi, from the S. Rajaratnam School, also said there was some hope the quarantines would have a level of success in containing the outbreak.

"I believe it is possible given China's expertise in this area of population control, or urban control," Zi said.

Yet the history of quarantine suggests controls will be far from watertight.

The concept emerged in Venice in the 14th century, where ships arriving at the city state from infected ports were held offshore for 40 days.

Over the centuries the US attempted quarantines to combat yellow fever, European nations tried to subdue cholera outbreaks, and several West African nations sealed off townships to hem in Ebola in the last decade.

Quarantine is "purely an illusion", said Bruno Halioua, a historian of medicine at the University of Paris IV.

"Quarantine has never worked. Each time, there have been problems."

And after seeing the situation in Wuhan first-hand, Guan Yi of Hong Kong University shared an equally pessimistic outlook.

"I've never felt scared," Guan said. "This time I'm scared."

(Excerpt) Read more at france24.com ...


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Extended News; Foreign Affairs; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: china; chinavirus; coronavirus; disease; infectious; kag; maga; prepper; preppers; trump; wuhan
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To: bkopto

That’s the problem. They want to control who lives and how dies.

A pandemic might take out some of the enlightened and they can’t have that - especially since many of them are constantly jetting around the world.


21 posted on 01/24/2020 10:17:15 AM PST by chrisser
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To: Karma_Sherab

They are a HUGE BUNCH of fear mongers aren’t they????


22 posted on 01/24/2020 10:17:20 AM PST by Trump Girl Kit Cat (Yosemite Sam raising hell)
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To: ClearCase_guy

“When the Spanish flu was killing people, we had no antibiotics for any secondary infections involving bacteria, we had very little access to IV technology for hydration (that took off in the 1950s), and aspirin was considered new, cutting edge treatment for fever.

The high death rate for Spanish Flu says a lot about the medical situation in 1918.”

Exactly. I made this point in a discussion with a friend yesterday.


23 posted on 01/24/2020 10:17:38 AM PST by nuconvert ( Warning: Accused of being a radical militarist. Approach with caution.)
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To: Zhang Fei

It’s already everywhere with zero chance of containment.

14 day incubation and heartiness for several days on cold surfaces ensured that.

By the time the 10th person fell ill, it was already out of the bag.

Hope for benign mutations.


24 posted on 01/24/2020 10:19:23 AM PST by Mariner (War Criminal #18)
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To: Lemon Curry
"In 1918, upwards of 50 million people died from the flu."

A different time with less science/medical knowledge and the advanced labs to address it. I read that the labs are already close to a preventative vaccine for this strain.

25 posted on 01/24/2020 10:19:39 AM PST by A Navy Vet (I'm not Islamophobic - I'm Islamonauseous. Also LGBTQxyz nauseous.)
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To: Zhang Fei

Only a small percentage, in a nation with lousy health care, die.

And we’re all gonna die anyway.


26 posted on 01/24/2020 10:20:29 AM PST by cuban leaf (The political war playing out in every country now: Globalists vs Nationalists)
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To: null and void

“...If a quarantine saves just one child’s life, it’s worth it....”
Then the whole stinkin’, communist RAT party should be put under “quarantine” and never be allowed to interface with the public ever again.


27 posted on 01/24/2020 10:21:39 AM PST by lgjhn23 (It's easy to be a liberal when one is dumber than a box of rocks...)
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To: Lemon Curry

Yes, I have three intl flights booked over the next 6 weeks and somewhat nervous, none are to China but still.


28 posted on 01/24/2020 10:24:15 AM PST by Jolla
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To: ClearCase_guy

They blocked off about 20 million people.

Think about that. They feel this is so serious they are willing to put 20 million people on the table. That is huge.

I am not so sure it’s our problem, until everything they buy from us, and export to us stops.

They used to say, “Imagine if everyone in China drank one Pepsi every day—what does that mean in dollars. Conversely, if 22 million people in China stopped breathing, working, producing, and consuming—-what does that mean in dollars.


29 posted on 01/24/2020 10:24:48 AM PST by Vermont Lt
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To: nuconvert

[Exactly. I made this point in a discussion with a friend yesterday.]


People I know in the medical profession are much more pessimistic, given all the drug-resistant bugs that have sprung up since. It’s a treadmill. We come up with new drugs and Mother Nature figures out a way to one-up our puny efforts. This may be the big one doctors have been talking about for the past century. Nothing dramatic like zombies - just mass grave after mass grave as occurred with the Spanish flu.


30 posted on 01/24/2020 10:29:36 AM PST by Zhang Fei (My dad had a Delta 88. That was a car. It was like driving your living room.)
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To: ClearCase_guy
I think it is right to be concerned, but I feel the same way you do.

The media wants people to be hyped up, terrified, and scared nearly to death. I personally find it creepy that they have all these news babes in tight dresses and big boobs front and center who intone "You won't want to miss this next section, viewer discretion is advised..." Selling sex and innocent's misfortune in a combination package...deliberately, in order to bring viewers in, just creeps me out. Maybe it is just me who sees it that way...

I stopped watching or reading anything from the media decades ago, the only time I see them is when my wife has the news on. I always thought the Don Henley song "Dirty Laundry" was spot on. I know that guy is a deranged Leftist, but anyone who can write this has at least this right:


Dirty Laundry
by Don Henley

I make my living off the evening news
Just give me something-something I can use
People love it when you lose,
They love dirty laundry

Well, I coulda been an actor, but I wound up here
I just have to look good, I don't have to be clear
Come and whisper in my ear
Give us dirty laundry

Kick 'em when they're up
Kick 'em when they're down
Kick 'em when they're up
Kick 'em when they're down
Kick 'em when they're up
Kick 'em when they're down
Kick 'em when they're up
Kick 'em all around

We got the bubble-headed-bleach-blond
Who comes on at five
She can tell you 'bout the plane crash with a gleam in her eye
It's interesting when people die
Give us dirty laundry


Can we film the operation?
Is the head dead yet?
You know, the boys in the newsroom got a running bet
Get the widow on the set!
We need dirty laundry

You don't really need to find out what's going on
You don't really want to know just how far it's gone
Just leave well enough alone
Eat your dirty laundry


Kick 'em when they're up
Kick 'em when they're down
Kick 'em when they're up
Kick 'em when they're down
Kick 'em when they're up
Kick 'em when they're down
Kick 'em when they're stiff
Kick 'em all around

Dirty little secrets
Dirty little lies
We got our dirty little fingers in everybody's pie
We love to cut you down to size
We love dirty laundry

We can do "The Innuendo"
We can dance and sing
When it's said and done we haven't told you a thing
We all know that crap is king
Give us dirty laundry!

31 posted on 01/24/2020 10:30:12 AM PST by rlmorel (Finding middle ground with tyranny or evil makes you either a tyrant or evil. Often both.)
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To: ClearCase_guy

“But I suspect this is nothing at all.”

It’s not nothing. But it isn’t at the panic stage that the media likes to hype.


32 posted on 01/24/2020 10:30:37 AM PST by nuconvert ( Warning: Accused of being a radical militarist. Approach with caution.)
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To: ClearCase_guy

“Perhaps I’m wrong, but this stuff gets hyped every year. Maybe this is the year it’s a real thing and we all die. But I suspect this is nothing at all.”

It has to something for China to lock down 14 cities.


33 posted on 01/24/2020 10:32:11 AM PST by LouieFisk
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To: Zhang Fei

People in the medical field shouldn’t be so pessimistic this early on. Mass graves is a bit over the top.
Let’s see how it progresses before we panic.


34 posted on 01/24/2020 10:35:25 AM PST by nuconvert ( Warning: Accused of being a radical militarist. Approach with caution.)
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To: LouieFisk

[It has to something for China to lock down 14 cities.]


Even the first “city” lockdown was an eye-opener. 3,300 sq miles. That’s not a city. That’s a small state (in size, somewhere between DE and MD).


35 posted on 01/24/2020 10:35:26 AM PST by Zhang Fei (My dad had a Delta 88. That was a car. It was like driving your living room.)
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To: nuconvert

I’d like to see the rate of dead/resolved-cases. Right now they’re determining ‘mortality rate’ from dead/infected-cases. The latter number is likely to be much smaller than the real mortality rate.


36 posted on 01/24/2020 10:37:13 AM PST by Black Agnes
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To: ClearCase_guy
When the Spanish flu was killing people, we had no antibiotics for any secondary infections involving bacteria, we had very little access to IV technology for hydration (that took off in the 1950s), and aspirin was considered new, cutting edge treatment for fever. The high death rate for Spanish Flu says a lot about the medical situation in 1918. For equivalent death rates today, you’d need a disease significantly worse.

Thanks for the balance...

37 posted on 01/24/2020 10:37:44 AM PST by DouglasKC
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To: Zhang Fei

The Chicoms don’t care if millions die, they just don’t want it to be disruptive. If the can slow the spread down so that people who have been exposed and recovered can pick up the reins as more fall ill, then all is well.

And as they say, we all die eventually.

We care about millions dying, but we don’t do anything intelligent to prevent it.


38 posted on 01/24/2020 10:44:41 AM PST by Born to Conserve
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To: Zhang Fei

Yeah, 40 million or so quarantined at present. The government is also building a 1000 bed hospital to treat patients, it is supposed to be finished by Feb.
You don’t lock don’t cities, rush to build hospitals, deploy the military and throw a monkey wrench into a nation’s economy just for the heck of it.


39 posted on 01/24/2020 10:44:43 AM PST by LouieFisk
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To: Black Agnes

Seen a few videos along the line of this one that are sobering.
“Coronavirus outbreak: Video shows dead bodies in halls of China hospital”
https://nypost.com/2020/01/24/coronavirus-outbreak-video-shows-dead-bodies-in-halls-of-china-hospital/


40 posted on 01/24/2020 10:48:04 AM PST by LouieFisk
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