Four ‘generations’ of spread seen with virus in China, alarming experts

STAT News ^ | JANUARY 23, 2020 | HELEN BRANSWELL

[PA Engineer]

Emerging data on the new virus circulating in China adds to evidence there is sustained human-to-human transmission in the city of Wuhan, and that a single case was able to ignite a chain of other infections.

The World Health Organization reported Thursday that there have been at least four generations of spread of the new virus, provisionally called 2019-nCoV, meaning a person who contracted the virus from a non-human source — presumably an animal — has infected a person, who infected another person, who then infected another person.

It’s not clear from a WHO statement whether transmission petered out after that point, or whether further generations of cases from those chains are still to come.

The WHO said the current estimate of the reproductive rate of the virus — the number of people, on average, that each infected person infects — is between 1.4 and 2.5. To stop an outbreak, the reproduction number has to be brought below one.

[PA Engineer]

FYI. "“That gives me no comfort at all that anything that’s happening right now is going to bring this under control any time soon,” Michael Osterholm, director of the University of Minnesota’s Center for Infectious Disease Research and Policy, said of the data the WHO released."

[goldstategop]

It could turn into a global pandemic and no one’s prepared for one.

[Revel]

What do you want to bet that those generations happened in a LAB conveniently located in the city of origin.

[goldstategop]

It was a zoonosis that spread from an animal to a human. It happens.

[11th_VA]

2 week incubation period ... four generations ... been around two months ?

[goldstategop]

Most of these are species specific. The bad ones are those that can spread to a new host.

This is what occurred here.

[eartick]

Petered out

.

Now that is a real scientific term.

Gives me a warm feeling that WHO has a handle on the problem

[goldstategop]

Nobody may be able to stop it if the virus turns virulent.

[goldstategop]

This is all while stupid Democrats have us focused on a nonevent that will kill none of us.

Go figure.

[PA Engineer]

2 week incubation period ... four generations ... been around two months ?

I have wondered the same.

[Rebelbase]

[BenLurkin]

[Syncro]

Looks like it could sweep across China like wildfire.

Isn’t there at least one case here in the USA, in Washington State?

[Syncro]

Is that the antidote?

[griffin]

Impeachment trail isn’t going well for world domination, so Soros decided to unleash a backup strategy.

[Publius]

"Contagion."

Caught it recently on Cinemax. The last scenes are haunting and predictive of what's happening now.

[griffin]

Ugh. TRIAL.

[dp0622]

Let’s take it day by day before going all Armageddon about it :)

[dp0622]

Like when obama was building a secret army.

Then secret interment camps.

Or SARS was gonna kill us all.

Or Ebola..

It’s a little early to go into end of days mode :)

[griffin]

That package that just to my house from China, I just popped a bunch of those packing bubbles. I hope nobody sneezed while they’re filling those up over there.