Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

How fragile is Iran’s regime?: US sanctions are creating extreme economic conditions; birthrate dropping precipitously
Asia Times ^ | January 12, 2020 | David P. Goldman aka Spangler

Posted on 01/13/2020 5:07:22 AM PST by C19fan

Smartphone videos of anti-regime protests in Tehran circulated in global news media this weekend, after the Iranian government admitted it shot down a Ukrainian civilian airliner. The latest demonstrations followed a national wave of protests last November in which up to 1,500 demonstrators were killed. Hard information about the origins and extent of the anti-regime protests is difficult to find. But there is a good deal of evidence of extreme dissatisfaction with the regime due to economic stress.

Iran’s average monthly after-tax wage was US$318.53, according to the website Numbeo, which tallies thousands of user inputs to arrive at wage and price data.

Using Numbeo’s prices I constructed a monthly survival budget in US dollar equivalents:

(Excerpt) Read more at asiatimes.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: iran; iraq; qasemsoleimani; qudsforce

1 posted on 01/13/2020 5:07:22 AM PST by C19fan
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: C19fan

“birthrate dropping precipitously”

We have people we can send them.


2 posted on 01/13/2020 5:24:36 AM PST by dljordan
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: C19fan

Obama’s $150 billion life line has been spent. Since May’s revocation of oil waivers they’re down to next to nothing from oil. Desperate times, and now new sanctions will push the regime to it’s breaking point. The mullahs last hope is Pelosi riding in on her broom to save the day.

https://www.forbes.com/sites/arielcohen/2019/04/29/trump-ends-waiver-grace-period-for-irans-oil-customers/amp/


3 posted on 01/13/2020 5:33:01 AM PST by hardspunned
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: C19fan

I suggest sending over arms and ammunition to the Iranian people using El Chapo money to finance it. Reverse Iran/Contra.


4 posted on 01/13/2020 5:39:44 AM PST by jdsteel (Americans are Dreamers too!!!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: jdsteel

Excellent idea


5 posted on 01/13/2020 5:43:26 AM PST by oldasrocks (Heavily Medicated for your Protection.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: hardspunned

The bar graph shows about 300,000 barrels per day whereas the pie chart shows about 1,700,000 barrels per day. There is a 1.4 million barrel per day discrepancy apparently resulting from the sanctions.

If the Forbes bar chart is right, sales now are not even the total pie chart shown for China.

It would seem the world has decided there is no benefit to resisting President trump’s sanctions. there is no benefit to buying Iranian oil when there is plenty available elsewhere.

Iran is fatally screwed


6 posted on 01/13/2020 6:01:47 AM PST by bert ( (KE. NP. N.C. +12) Progressives are existential American enemies)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: bert

I saw, Mnuchin or Pompeo being interviewed by Pirro last week. When Pirro reminded the secretary that China was buying 70% of Iranian oil exports the response was basically, yes, but its 70% of nothing. Any nation violating the Iranian sanctions will suffer resultant sanctions themselves, including China. Iranian oil revenue is now a thing of the past.


7 posted on 01/13/2020 6:19:11 AM PST by hardspunned
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: hardspunned

So then we must post for the record

For the record, plainly stated, the solimani planning to attack embassies or what ever was the primary Iranian retaliation to attack President Trump and remove sanctions before the elections.

Thus we conclude that Iran continues to use surrogates because it lacks the military power to attack directly. We can conclude that the sanctions curtailed Iranian crude sales to the point where the failed attack plan was stymied by killing off the primary planner. We can conclude that Iran lacked the ability to mount the Pearl Harbor attack the Japs made in response to American Sanctions


8 posted on 01/13/2020 6:33:11 AM PST by bert ( (KE. NP. N.C. +12) Progressives are existential American enemies)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies]

To: AdmSmith; AnonymousConservative; Arthur Wildfire! March; Berosus; Bockscar; cardinal4; ColdOne; ...

9 posted on 01/13/2020 7:26:20 AM PST by SunkenCiv (Imagine an imaginary menagerie manager imagining managing an imaginary menagerie.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson