Oh, So That's How Many Electoral Votes Trump Will Clinch in 2020

Townhall.com ^ | October 19, 2019 | Matt Vespa

[Kaslin]

It’s early. Way too early to discuss polling in any serious measure, especially in the absence of a Democratic nominee, but the liberal media loves to trot out their trash polls about the president’s approval ratings and support for impeachment in what could be argued as a prolonged campaign to demoralize the GOP base. It won’t. If anything, how the liberal media has behaved over the past three years has only become one massive in-kind contribution to Trump’s re-elect as everyone sees through their bias, lies, and gross incompetence. How many times were we told about Russian collusion? It was a myth. How many times have we heard the ‘walls are closing in’ on this presidency? They’re not. There’s a reason why the media is distrusted. There’s a reason why ‘CNN sucks’ remains a popular chant. The inability for the media to cover this White House accurately has reached epic proportions and frankly, it’s to the point where it’s no longer digesting information. We're tuning into these networks to get a good laugh and gauge how Trump Derangement Syndrome has engulfed the Left. The reality is that there is good news emanating from this administration.

Job creation is solid with over three million jobs created. Paychecks are larger. Consumer and small business confidence have reached their highest marks in years. The economy is booming. And if the recent Democratic debate showed you anything, it’s that the economic growth we’re seeing would be torpedoed. The Democrats want to give health care to illegals, promote open borders, bash cops, increase taxes, force everyone on government health care, coupled with massive tax increases, confiscate guns, and permit abortion up until the moment of birth on the taxpayer dime. Yeah, it’s a debate between freedom and slavery—and the Left argues the latter as some great alternative to Trump. Oh, and Medicare for All, which is what Democrats now endorse, would cannibalize all private health insurance plans. That’s around 150 million plans. So, for all the conniption fits about the GOP taking away people’s health care, well—the Democrats are the ones actually proposing that this year and thinking it’s a popular and economically sound policy. So, would it shock you, given the left-wing Democratic agenda that will thrust economic destitution upon many, that we have a 2020 projection where Trump wins re-election handily (via The Hill):

President Trump appears likely to win reelection next year, according to three different economic models Moody’s Analytics uses to measure presidential contests.

Moody’s modeling, which has only missed on one presidential election since 1980, found that Trump, who won by a 304-227 margin in the Electoral College in 2016, could easily surpass those results in 2020.

I guess we should serve this piping hot cup of shut the hell up concerning the 2020 projection by pollster Mark Zandi. Spoiler: it’s very bad for Democrats.

The three different models showed Trump winning either 289, 332 or 351 votes in the Electoral College over his eventual opponent. The projections are based on how consumers feel about their financial situations, stock market gains achieved under Trump and the prospects for unemployment.

“If the economy a year from now is the same as it is today, or roughly so, then the power of incumbency is strong and Trump’s election odds are very good, particularly if Democrats aren’t enthusiastic and don’t get out to vote,” Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s Analytics and co-author of the paper, told CNBC. “It’s about turnout.”

Of the three models, Trump performs best under the “pocketbook” measure, which gauges how people feel about their finances.

So, yeah—this is a piping hot cup of shut the hell up that should be served to the Left. your agenda sucks. The voters know it. you have no slid frontrunner who can beat Trump right now. Elizabeth Warren cannot answer a simple question about the impact her forced Medicare plan will have on taxes and the middle class. That’s because everyone knows taxes will go up and the middle class will be torched by this policy. Bernie Sanders just had a heart attack. And Joe Biden is dealing with the fallout from his son’s alleged unethical business deal in Ukraine, along with forgetting where he is half the time and babbling incoherent nonsense on the debate stage. With a solid economy, a far-left agenda, and a weak Democratic candidate who will be shredded by the Trump campaign’s excellent attack machine—I can see a landslide coming.

[Kaslin]

And so can I. One that has never happened, and will never happen.

[Junk Silver]

..”, but the liberal media loves to trot out their trash polls about the president’s approval ratings and support for impeachment in what could be argued as a prolonged campaign to demoralize the GOP base.”

It can also be argued that the deceptive polling in 2016 and now was intended to make the planned Democrat vote-fraud seem less preposterous. Keep telling Americans that Trump can’t win and they are less likely to get riled up when truckloads of “lost” ballots are found in swing-state urban centers at the last minute throughout the country.

[Jonty30]

How many votes in New York, California, Colorado, Illinois, and Broward County?
Everything is a toss-up and room to improve.

I’m leaning towards about 350 votes, if Republicans go out and vote like their lives depend on it.

[Kaslin]

Only 350 votes? That is not even worth voting. Lets guarantee President Trump a Landslide vote like this great nation has never been seen before, and will most likely never see again.

[DoodleBob]

Assuming Trump doesn't lose States he won, his likely pick ups and margin by which he lost - and electoral votes are

New Hampshire, 0.37% – 4
Minnesota, 1.52% – 10
Nevada, 2.42% – 6
Maine, 2.96% – 2
Colorado, 4.91% – 9

325 at best.

[LS]

I have been on record for a year:

Trump will get between 320 and 340 electoral votes. He’ll hold all his 2016 states and add NH and MN.

However, depending on the candidate, he might add NM and NV, and VA is only a flip of 125,000 votes away-—not at all unreasonable.

[M.K. Borders]

One thing not mentioned here or in the article;

What happens if Trump out right whens the popular vote?

Think of those really big states (California, New York, etc.) who have passed laws that require all their electoral votes to go to the candidate that wins the popular vote.

What a delicious thought! Everyone in California votes against Trump and those votes are taken away and the Electors are requires to vote for Trump.

That friends is pay back!

[gasport]

What can be done about snowbirds who domicile in NY (and rightly vote there in national elections) and have a residence in FL? The FL residence gives them the right to vote in local FL elections but the national ticket is on the same ballot.

I’m sure many double vote.

[Spacetrucker]

You say “at best”, which is entirely tpo pessimistic, if not down right defeatist. There is a very good chance that he picks up New Mexico and Nevada this time around as well, I bade my belief on the fact that his campaign is far more data driven than any other campaign in American history. We shall see.

[SunkenCiv]

If anything, how the liberal media has behaved over the past three years has only become one massive in-kind contribution to Trump’s re-elect as everyone sees through their bias, lies, and gross incompetence. How many times were we told about Russian collusion? It was a myth. How many times have we heard the ‘walls are closing in’ on this presidency? They’re not. There’s a reason why the media is distrusted. There’s a reason why ‘CNN sucks’ remains a popular chant. The inability for the media to cover this White House accurately has reached epic proportions and frankly, it’s to the point where it’s no longer digesting information. We're tuning into these networks to get a good laugh and gauge how Trump Derangement Syndrome has engulfed the Left.

[bert]

Counting unhatched chicks is foolish

[budj]

"...What a delicious thought! Everyone in California votes against Trump and those votes are taken away and the Electors are requires to vote for Trump.

That friends is pay back!..."

...mmm...mmm...mmm...KARMA!

[Kaslin]

Just make sure you vote and don’t stay home. I will vote in the TN primary election and the general election on November 3 2020

[Kaslin]

320 to 340 votes? Pfft that is not even worth bothering to vote. We must do much better than that, so he can get all 50 states.

[Blood of Tyrants]

“The projections are based on how consumers feel about their financial situations, stock market gains achieved under Trump and the prospects for unemployment. “

Which is why the DemocRats are desperately trying to crash the economy.

[cgbg]

Think of those really big states (California, New York, etc.) who have passed laws that require all their electoral votes to go to the candidate that wins the popular vote.

You just brought a big smile to my face.

My guess is that the actual electors from those states would decide to become revolutionaries and refuse to cast their votes for Trump.

You see, leftists love to make the rules for others to follow, but they become revolutionaries when _they_ don't like the rules, even if they created them!

[Jeff Chandler]

The Rats’ only hope is to tank the economy.

[DoodleBob]

You say “at best”, which is entirely tpo pessimistic, if not down right defeatist.

A defeatist would say Trump will lose. A pessimist would say he will win by an equal or fewer number of EVs. My analysis is called being realistic and not Pollyanna, i.e. Swinging New Mexico by 821 basis points.

I think he will win by a wider margin than last time, but we need to keep the hammer down to battle fraud and every dirty trick they'll use this time around. I'd rather focus resources on PA vs a dream of getting NM.

[GOPJ]

There’s a reason why ‘CNN sucks’ remains a popular chant... We're tuning into these networks to get a good laugh and gauge how Trump Derangement Syndrome has engulfed the Left.

The 'press' is too shallow to realize their silly bias works in our favor...

[Hojczyk]

Trump has to win all the swing states by more than 100,000 votes or the democrats will steal it with fraud...They probably have already printed the ballots..