Trump is not going to win CA, OR, WA, NY or IL for sure.
Don’t be so sure. Maybe you should check some of the recent laws they’ve passed in a number of those states regarding the state’s electoral votes going to the winner of the popular vote.
Best Case for Dems was 15 states and DC.. with impeachment, they won’t probably won’t get 10.
They know this, this whole impeachment thing is NOT about Trump... the sooner your realize this the more you can enjoy the show.
This entire cycle for the Democrats, is about kneecapping the far left part of their base... It has NOTHING to do with Trump. They know they can’t win, (at least the smart ones do) however if Biden (or someone like him) runs and loses 15 - 35 the radical left will just grow in influence as they will argue “SEE! WE NEED TO GO FURTHER LEFT”... If however you put up a whackadoo leftist and they lose huge, that entire argument gets chopped off at the knees and the radical left loses influence and the party moderates for 2024 when they actually have a shot at winning.
So, how do you do this? Well launch an inquiry that is really about tarring Biden, and ensure he’s done.. and that you get a radical whackadoo as the nominee, while at the same time turning the Incumbents base enthusiasm up to DEFCON 5. Which is EXACTLY what this whole impeachment nonsense will do.
So you wind up with Warren, or some other far far left whackadoo.. Completley piss off the middle with a nonsense impeachment, and your whackadoo leftist goes down in flames.... The far left of the party’s argument is done... they lose influence, and the party moderates for the real battle in 2024.
My guess is Trump will indeed go on the offensive in OR, at the very least in 2020... and probably fight for more of those other states... because he’s going to be so solid everywhere else, that he will take the fight to any state he got around 40-45% of the vote, and may just surprise in a few of them.
My bet is Trump will win every state he took in 16, and most if not all states he got over 45% of the vote in 16, and will take the battle, as I said to the states where he got around 40-45% of the vote, and I wouldn’t be surprised if he managed to pick one or two of them off as well.
MA NJ
Wouldn’t it be funny if he won every state except California.? LOL
If Pennsylvania can turn, then so can Illinois.
Trump is not going to win CA, OR, WA, NY or IL for sure.
I have my doubts about Trump taking MI and PA this time around. Voter fraud will be massive and those states have the perfect environment for it. Philly and Detroit could be problematic, obviously.
I think OR, WA might be in play. Not CA, NY or IL.