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Posted on 08/28/2019 1:34:36 PM PDT by NautiNurse
Hurricane Dorian battered St. Thomas in the U.S. Virgin Islands, and brushing Puerto Rico. Taking aim at the Florida Atlantic Coastline, Hurricane Dorian is projected to be a major hurricane (Category 3) at landfall.
Satellite Imagery Dorian
NHC Public Advisories
NHC Discussions
Florida Radar Loop (with storm track overlay)
Buoy Data with Storm Track overlay
Anyway, if I do live stream, I have a nice birds eye view from my upstairs window.
Anyway, if I do live stream, I have a nice birds eye view from my upstairs window.
thanks very much makes good sense.
gotcha still a lot of unpredictableness in these storms.
Do the forecasters know what they’re talking about? In the past few days, that storm went quite a bit north of what was predicted. If I were guessing, my guess wouldn’t be that it turns due west for a direct FL hit. But I know nothing, so I’m probably wrong.
navy has a good record down here.
Take it from somebody used to looking at model guidance, there is no real certainty on this outcome, anything could happen and nothing is off the table (for FL, gulf coast, or southeast US). Can’t blame the forecasters, just too much spread in guidance. Some sort of clarity maybe by Saturday, by which time perhaps a 48h window for response. I wouldn’t advise anyone in FL to wait around, evacuation could be very tricky once the details become more obvious.
That's enough time to drive to California.
“Time to start convincing my sister to leave her trailer just west of Orlando.”
I have followed the news for deaths and injuries after every hurricane. It seems like trees falling on people and those living in trailers are the most reported.
By the way, I’m sure you know that Governor Abbott of Texas is in a wheelchair. I was curious and researched what happened. He was walking or running outside after a Texas storm when he was 26 years old and in law school. A large tree branch fell on him, and he’s been paralyzed ever since.
Your sister should seek out her nearest hurricane shelter in her town. Take a pillow/blanket/sleeping bag, a little suitcase with clothes, and her meds with her.
Roger that. Thanks.
that looks like models are pushing Dorian a wee bit more north of Lake Okeechobee. Do you concur?
Summary Of 500 PM AST...Information
----------------------------------------------
Location...About 330 MI E of the Southeastern Bahamas
Max Sustained Winds...85 MPH...
Moving...NW at 13 MPH...
Minimum Pressure...986 MB...
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 mi.
On/Off Hurricane List Mash Here--> 
GFS - 99 hrs (Vero Beach)
GFS Legacy - 99 hrs (Jupiter)
CMC - 117 hrs (Jupiter)
NAVGEM - 108 hrs (WPB)
ICON - 108 hrs (Ft Laud)
HWRF - 96 hrs (Melbourne)
HMON - 102 hrs (Miami)
NAM - 84 hrs (WPB)
UKMET - 84 hrs (WPB)
Euro - 144 hrs (WPB)
Bttt.
5.56mm
That one is a nightmare.
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