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The Best Brexit Strategy Is To Leave First, And Then Deal
The Federalist ^ | Stephen C. Meyer

Posted on 05/17/2019 3:05:53 AM PDT by RoosterRedux

Last month, the European Union’s Council of Ministers voted to allow Britain another extension in its Brexit deliberations. Despite Prime Minister Theresa May’s “success” in negotiating this extension, her Conservative Party recently experienced massive losses in local council elections with more than 1,300 Conservative councillors losing their seats.

Since then, May’s party has tanked further in opinion polls. One recent poll has only 11 percent of the electorate supporting Conservative candidates in the upcoming May 23 elections for the European Parliament. Three years after voting to leave the European Union (EU), British voters must now suffer the indignity of voting to send representatives to a body they no longer wish to represent them.

Not surprisingly, Nigel Farage’s breakaway Brexit Party has surged in polls and looks poised to deal May another electoral humiliation next week. If that occurs, she will likely have to yield to pressure from within her own party to resign. At that point, a new Conservative leader will need a better plan for extricating the United Kingdom from the EU.

(Excerpt) Read more at thefederalist.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; United Kingdom
KEYWORDS: brexit; europe
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1 posted on 05/17/2019 3:05:53 AM PDT by RoosterRedux
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To: RoosterRedux

Well since merkel has Huge sway over May, that won’t happen with her in office.


2 posted on 05/17/2019 3:07:27 AM PDT by dp0622 (The Left should know if.. Trump is kicked out of office, it is WAR)
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To: dp0622

Brits should just pack up and leave the EU. Then, deal with trade and political issues afterward. I’m guessing UK’s new alliances will be stronger than current one.


3 posted on 05/17/2019 3:32:10 AM PDT by snoringbear (,W,E.oGovernment is the Pimp,)
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To: snoringbear

Yeah man sometimes in life when I just acted instead of engaging myself in torturous thought things turned out better

Actually, when I engaged in torturous thought, nut Just Thought, but torturous and too long, IT ALWAYS ENDED either badly or with me missing a great opportunity.

Everyone tell your kids not to do it!! I told my nephews a of times growing up!!

I think it took :)


4 posted on 05/17/2019 3:59:14 AM PDT by dp0622 (The Left should know if.. Trump is kicked out of office, it is WAR)
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To: dp0622
No offense; wish I knew what you said 😊...
5 posted on 05/17/2019 4:27:47 AM PDT by snoringbear (,W,E.oGovernment is the Pimp,)
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To: dp0622

The military has a maxim which goes something like “ANY reasonable plan, BOLDLY carried out, is better than indecision”.


6 posted on 05/17/2019 4:27:56 AM PDT by SauronOfMordor (Socialists want YOUR wealth redistributed, never THEIRS!)
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To: snoringbear

ACT!!

Dont THINK and THINK and THINK your life away!!

it goes fast and you’ve done nothing :)


7 posted on 05/17/2019 4:29:42 AM PDT by dp0622 (The Left should know if.. Trump is kicked out of office, it is WAR)
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To: SauronOfMordor

AGREED!!!

That’s a good military!!

Another FReeper didn’t understand what I wrote.

I hope that’s not because he wasted the years THINKING and THINKING like I did.

I tell my nephews (and would tell England) ACT!!


8 posted on 05/17/2019 4:30:45 AM PDT by dp0622 (The Left should know if.. Trump is kicked out of office, it is WAR)
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To: dp0622
“ACT!! Dont THINK and THINK and THINK your life away!! it goes fast and you’ve done nothing :)” Thanks. I think I’ve got it now. I can only speak for myself in this regard. While I agree there are risks with over-thinking anything. Being 74 years old and now have several afflictions I can say with a high degree of certainty that most of my problems are rooted in youthful acting faster than my brain could process. You’ve heard the saying; “Young, dumb, full of cum”. Getcha in trouble every time 🥴.....
9 posted on 05/17/2019 4:43:43 AM PDT by snoringbear (,W,E.oGovernment is the Pimp,)
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To: RoosterRedux

Once the revenue from the UK stops, EU will be more amenable to a new deal. Now they can’t afford one.


10 posted on 05/17/2019 4:44:15 AM PDT by BeauBo
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To: snoringbear

ROFL!!

I have those damages too.

But missed out on several great career opportunities because a few weeks thinking on it wasn’t enough.

and thought and thought about proposing to a girl until another guy who was much more assertive, did.

Can’t blame her. How long can a woman wait?


11 posted on 05/17/2019 4:47:59 AM PDT by dp0622 (The Left should know if.. Trump is kicked out of office, it is WAR)
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To: SauronOfMordor

Plan A rarely survives initial contact with the enemy. That is why it is necessary to have Plan B,C and D.


12 posted on 05/17/2019 4:53:05 AM PDT by central_va (I won't be reconstructed and I do not give a damn.)
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To: RoosterRedux

The EU is circling the drain... and they want GB to go down along with THEM


13 posted on 05/17/2019 5:09:59 AM PDT by SMARTY ("Nobility is defined by the demands it makes on us - by obligations, not by rights".)
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To: SMARTY
There is that train of thought that the EU is just another front for what is left of the Communist Party International and the communists are still at work in nearly every country of any significance around the world.

They are certainly at work in our country, indoctrinating students and professors in academia and members of the media and entertainment. It is amazing how many voters in America think socialism/communism is an acceptable form of government.

The communists certainly have taken over the Democratic Party.

Bottom line: yes, the EU is failing, but the roaches behind it will scurry out of the light and into another crack when or if it falls.

14 posted on 05/17/2019 5:58:02 AM PDT by RoosterRedux
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To: RoosterRedux

Europe is finished-because Europeans are finished. Once citizenship to a place is invalidated... the place is invalidated, too.

Don’t believe it? See what is happening to US citizenship right now.


15 posted on 05/17/2019 8:08:03 AM PDT by SMARTY ("Nobility is defined by the demands it makes on us - by obligations, not by rights".)
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To: snoringbear

Why pack up? They should just leave


16 posted on 05/17/2019 8:13:44 AM PDT by bert ( (KE. NP. N.C. +12)There were Democrat espionage operations on Republican candidates)
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To: SMARTY
I don't think I said that Europe wasn't finished, did I?

My comment was that the EU is a communist tool.

As to destruction, that is what communism does best. It is Satanic...evil at its finest.

It will snuff out freedom and humanity if not stopped.

17 posted on 05/17/2019 8:28:02 AM PDT by RoosterRedux
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To: RoosterRedux

What they should have done from the start and should do now is inform other countries that they definitively are leaving. Then negotiate trade deals. America has already offered one. I’m sure deals with Canada and Australia could be done fairly quickly. Maybe even some kind of deal with India could be done without too much trouble. I’m sure Japan, Brazil and other potentially important trading partners would at least be receptive to making a deal.

None of these would need to enter into force until Britain’s exit from the EU. Now armed with multiple trade deals with other countries, Britain could then sit down and talk turkey with the EU. Up to this point the EU has adopted a very arrogant “take it or leave it” approach under which Britain must accept basically everything the EU wants while refusing to negotiate over any specific issues. They’ve done this knowing May is a squish who never wanted to leave in the first place. It’d be a very different story if they had to deal with a Britain they knew was prepared to call their bluff. They have a lot more to lose.

Oh and that hard border in Ireland? You ayurps will just have to force that on the Paddies. We’re not gonna build one.


18 posted on 05/17/2019 9:41:01 AM PDT by FLT-bird
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To: snoringbear

They should leave the EU and the customs union with no deal.

But there will be fallout
1. All of the manufacturing that relies on cross-border transportations (not of finished goods but WIP) will be delayed, leading to shifts out
2. The Euro clearing will move out
3. A lot of banking and finance will move out
4. There will be a dip of about 2 to 5% of GDP - I personally see it as around 4%
5. Politically expect the SNP to call for another Scottish referendum, arguing that the conditions of the 2014 referndum have changed (since one of the points was that Scotland would remain part of the EU if it stayed with the UK
6. Politically expect issues in NI - I see a lot of Protestants and ex-Unionists moving closer to the idea of a union with RoI
7. The UK will be dealt hard deals by China, India and even the US (the US can’t give a sweetheart deal to a country that has little to offer the US as a supplier or market)

What will happen will be a smaller England-Wales with a lower level in the world - economically and politically. But it will be out of the EU and the customs union, so yay


19 posted on 05/22/2019 1:55:12 AM PDT by Cronos (Obama hated Assad as he wasn't a Muslim but an Alawite)
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To: dp0622

You and I disagree on the merits and demerits of leaving. But I think we both agree that this current waffling half-in-half-out is the worst of all worlds.

Go, UK, go - leave with a hard Brexit please


20 posted on 05/22/2019 1:56:29 AM PDT by Cronos (Obama hated Assad as he wasn't a Muslim but an Alawite)
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