Posted on 05/15/2019 10:22:18 AM PDT by conservative98
Former Vice President Joe Biden (D) has expanded his comfortable lead over the 2020 Democratic primary field since his presidential campaign announcement last month, according to a new poll.
The Reuters/Ipsos survey released Wednesday found that Biden's support among Democratic voters has increased 5 percentage points, up to 29 percent.
He now leads his only close challenger, Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.), by 16 points in the poll. Sanders, at 13 percent, is the only other candidate to register more than 6 percent support among Democratic voters.
(Excerpt) Read more at thehill.com ...
Spectacular! Stealin’ ‘em!
Go Gropey Joe!
There are millions more women in America to feel up.
I think this is all a setup to have her, when the Dem primary is in a state of total chaos, show up to save the party and the world.
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It’s still her turn.
Unless a candidate can poll 50%+, these mean nothing. After Iowa and New Hampshire, one or two “Not Bidens” will be chosen. My guess is that Sanders and an identity pick (combination of black/homosexual/female) will come in. Biden’s job will be to keep the white Sanders supporters with Sanders rather than joining a minority socialist campaign.
Flame-outs will be Beto and Buttgieg, who may stay in to control a bloc of delegates if no candidate gets a majority. He will also swim in money. Normally I would write off Warren, except I remember when John Kerry was left for dead and wound up being the last man standing.
Biden - like sayin’ the nicest trailer in the trailer park....
Polls are made for dancing.
Push polls, polls designed to push people to a candidate. That’s what we are seeing here. In other words, nothing to see here.
I disagree. They are fairly predictive, in a broad sense.
For instance, they do a good job of predicting who is going to lose. Anyone who is at 1% or less, which is a whole lot of them is not going to be the nominee. In fact quite a few of them will drop out before Iowa.
On average 23% of announced major candidates drop out before Iowa. So, in our field of 20 we can expect at least five to leave before Iowa.
That's not going to be Bernie, Biden, Warren, Harris or Buttigeig.
And, by 30 days after Iowa the average (since 1980) size of the field is 4.2. Bernie, Biden, Warren and Harris are the top 4 right now, and I'm pretty confident that they will be 4 or a small number remaining 30 days after Iowa.
Per Nate SIlver:
In addition, Biden’s bounce comes near an empirical inflection point of when early polling leads tend to hold up and when they don’t. Well-known candidates polling in the mid-30s in the early going2 are about even money to win the nomination, historically. Well-known candidates polling in the mid-to-high 20s have roughly a 1 in 4 shot, conversely.Like I said they aren't linear predictions, but they show trends and odds and suggest losers pretty well at this point.
Will be til the day she gets put in a body bag.
Things like money and endorsements and staff follow the polls, too.
Iowa is an expensive state to campaign in, you need to figure out the whole caucus system, which means hiring someone, and then outreaching to precinct level people. There are probably not 20 political operatives who know the blocking and tackling well enough to get a decent finish there.
Jay Inslee, for instance. Would a top Iowa campaign guy go work for him this week?
Well, then explain this one.
He’s the only electable dem that I see out there.
Even the nuts on the left want to win & he has some support in middle-America.
Well it looks like the race is over since we know how dead on balls accurate these polls are.
Sloppy Joe is already showing signs of dementia, so I doubt he will make it to the convention. He may need to spend more time with the family.
This Biden BS is a joke. He will have a stroke within six months. How can anyone look at this guy and think he is fit enough to be prez.
And if you doubt it, watch the tape Tucker played last night. Biden is either more stupid than a box of rocks or he's suffering from dementia.
I don’t think we’ve seen anything on him, yet. He’s know for nothing more than his numerous gaffes. As Robert Gates said the other day, he’s been wrong about everything. He balanced out the previous occupant of the White House, strictly by appearance, but he was kept under wraps for 8 years. When he debated Ryan, that whole thing was a setup from the beginning. Neither he nor the previous occupant of the White House had to do anything more than just show up and smile. Romney and Ryan are corrupt morons that were willing participants in a rigged game.
I’m not saying he won’t be competitive. But he’s been a Gray Man for a long time. Now there’s a chance he’ll be on center stage with a guy that is far more intellectually superior and who has had 4 years to figure those morons out.
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