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Thank You! This is extremely helpful!
Encouraging. But lets be careful. Its too early to draw any definitive conclusions.
Gillum MUST lose, however. He’s a leftist operative trained in agitator schools (you can look it up). Florida’s governorship must not be placed into his hands ....
Excellent!
Great info! Can anyone explain the ‘rat bump in 2016, three days before the election?
Have any of you considered that many of these 2018 EVs were Election Day voters in 2016?
IOW, the idea, because we have an EV advantage over Democrats, that this will somehow translate into a GOP win on election day may be a very disappointing assumption, once all the vote are counted.
The same goes for the presumption that, because Blacks and Hispanics are presently 3X more favorable to President Trump than they were in 2016 Presidential Election, this will translate into down ballot wins for the GOP Congress.
You have to remember that House elections are far more local and unpredictable - those increased minority approvals for Trump will be diluted by 50 states and 435 Representatives. So, none of that higher approval will necessarily translate into wins for the GOP at the Congressional level.
The problem, which I am seeing all across the board on FR, is that people are confusing a Presidential Election with a Midterm Election - and the two are entirely different animals, having no comparison whatsoever in turnout or likely results.
Awesome. Thank you!!
Thank You to the poster!
Very helpful!
SWEET!!!!
Kudos! this is very helpful.
Based on individual countty results:
VBM: expect Dems to cut our lead from 65k by a few thousand. Not a major deal.
EV: Democrats will re-take the lead, albeit very small. Maybe by 2-5k.
While I suspect that the gap might close in the days ahead, it is clear that we are NOT seeing a blue wave.
As a young(er) lad, I remember comparing primary vote totals for Bush and Gore, and telling everyone who would listen that we were in for an electoral landslide.
Well, not so much. And so, I have no fantasy that early voting numbers are indicative of anything.
We will have to wait for all the votes to be tallied, which are the only numbers that count.
Thanks!
(ballots cast, not counted) - IN-PROGRESS
Absentee Ballot - REPs lead by 65,084
In-Person Early Voting - DEMs lead by 6,038
Combined Early voting - REPs lead by 59,046
Great news!