Posted on 10/09/2018 4:49:06 PM PDT by NautiNurse
Major Hurricane Michael is churning toward the northeastern Gulf of Mexico coast. Florida Governor Rick Scott declared a state of emergency Monday for 35 counties with mandatory coastal evacuations in the FL Panhandle. 1,250 National Guard troops are aiding the process and more than 4,000 more placed on standby.
FEMA is already on the ground in Florida; other federal agencies are also preparing to assist people in the storm's path.
Alabama Gov. Kay Ivey on Monday declared a state of emergency for the entire state. Georgia Governor Nathan Deal issued a state of emergency for 92 counties ahead of Hurricane Michael landfall.
Meanwhile, Tallahassee city government (Andrew Gillum, Mayor & D'Rat FL Gubernatorial candidate) offices are "closed until further notice." Tallahassee International Airport is suspending commercial flight activity as 12:01 a.m. ET on Wednesday but expects to resume activity on Thursday.
The U.S. military moved its aircraft from the Panhandle on Monday. Roughly 50 F-22 stealth fighter jets — valued around $150 million each — have been relocated from the Tyndall Air Force Base, while the U.S. Navy said it is moving all its training aircraft from Pensacola.
Energy Production The Bureau of Safety and Environmental Enforcement (BSEE) on Tuesday estimated that around 726 MMcf/d (28.4%) of natural gas production and 670,831 b/d (39.5%) of oil production in the GOM had been shut in ahead of the storm.
As of midday Tuesday, 75 platforms and three rigs had been evacuated, while eight dynamically positioned rigs had been moved out of the storm’s path as a precaution, according to BSEE.
Gulf of Mexico Satellite Channels
Public Advisories
NHC Discussions
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Key West FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar New Orleans, LA
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Mobile AL/Pensacola FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Panama City, FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Tallahassee, FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Tampa Bay, FL
On/Off Hurricane List Mash Here--> 
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 45 miles, and
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles.
NHC presser live. Apalachicola recently received wind gust 70+ mph.
Wright Patterson got the fighters. LRAFB has Moody’s A10s, Hulburt’s AC-130s, and AF SOC U-28 Pilatus. Lots of AT6 Texans at LIT (Adams Field).
When exactly is land fall predicted?
~3-4hours
Great idea. Thanks.
Yes looks like it. Stunning to see these flood waters first thing before it actually hits. Anyone who hangs around there is just asking for death.
Yes looks like it. Stunning to see these flood waters first thing before it actually hits. Anyone who hangs around there is just asking for death.
928, huh? Dear God.
Just checking in for a minute - getting pretty bad.
Brother lives in Jacksonville and said yesterday the wind field is so wide they were getting winds 70 to 80 mph.....Said he went outside and you could hear the gusts at a distance roaring then when they hit you could hear tree limbs snapping as all trees were getting the force of those gusts.
Yes. It’s bad.
TALLAHASSEE, Fla. (AP) - Some of the worst storm surge from Category 4 Hurricane Michael is expected to hit Florida’s Tyndall Air Force Base, which has ordered all non-essential personnel to evacuate.
The National Hurricane Center’s latest forecast shows as much as 13 feet of water on top of the usual waves and tides could inundate the base, which is home to more than 600 families and on an island about 12 miles east of Panama City.
All base residents were ordered to leave when Tyndall moved to “HURCON 1” status as the storm closes in.
The base provided transportation but limited families to one large piece of luggage per family and one carry-on piece per person.
Tyndall is home to the 325th Fighter Wing.
I would not put it out of the realm of possibility that this may hit 150 right before land fall.
The question is whether the NWS will call it a CAT 5 at that point. At that point is there really any difference?
All we can do know is pray for those that stayed, and hope those that left have something/anything to come back to.
Sorry I missed it!
Michael doesn’t need to be Cat 5 at landfall. Cat 5 = sustained winds 157+ mph. This strong Cat 4 is plenty bad enough.
Down to 919.9 mb in latest recon.
Well my brother ‘stood in it’.. on his cell phone with my brother in law in the east so he could hear and listen to it. I’ll go by what he says any day over an anything the news/almanac says.
“Michael doesn’t need to be Cat 5 at landfall. Cat 5 = sustained winds 157+ mph. This strong Cat 4 is plenty bad enough”
Agreed!
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