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Major Hurricane Michael Live Thread II
NHC/NOAA ^ | 9 October 2018 | NHC/NOAA

Posted on 10/09/2018 4:49:06 PM PDT by NautiNurse

Major Hurricane Michael is churning toward the northeastern Gulf of Mexico coast. Florida Governor Rick Scott declared a state of emergency Monday for 35 counties with mandatory coastal evacuations in the FL Panhandle. 1,250 National Guard troops are aiding the process and more than 4,000 more placed on standby.

FEMA is already on the ground in Florida; other federal agencies are also preparing to assist people in the storm's path.

Alabama Gov. Kay Ivey on Monday declared a state of emergency for the entire state. Georgia Governor Nathan Deal issued a state of emergency for 92 counties ahead of Hurricane Michael landfall.

Meanwhile, Tallahassee city government (Andrew Gillum, Mayor & D'Rat FL Gubernatorial candidate) offices are "closed until further notice." Tallahassee International Airport ‏is suspending commercial flight activity as 12:01 a.m. ET on Wednesday but expects to resume activity on Thursday.

The U.S. military moved its aircraft from the Panhandle on Monday. Roughly 50 F-22 stealth fighter jets — valued around $150 million each — have been relocated from the Tyndall Air Force Base, while the U.S. Navy said it is moving all its training aircraft from Pensacola.

Energy Production The Bureau of Safety and Environmental Enforcement (BSEE) on Tuesday estimated that around 726 MMcf/d (28.4%) of natural gas production and 670,831 b/d (39.5%) of oil production in the GOM had been shut in ahead of the storm.

As of midday Tuesday, 75 platforms and three rigs had been evacuated, while eight dynamically positioned rigs had been moved out of the storm’s path as a precaution, according to BSEE.

Gulf of Mexico Satellite Channels

Public Advisories

NHC Discussions


NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Key West FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar New Orleans, LA
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Mobile AL/Pensacola FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Panama City, FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Tallahassee, FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Tampa Bay, FL

Hurricane Michael Thread I


TOPICS: Breaking News; US: Alabama; US: Florida; US: Georgia; US: North Carolina; US: South Carolina
KEYWORDS: gorebullwarming; hurricane; hurricanemichael; localnews; michael; nautinurse; tropical
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To: abb; abbi_normal_2; aberaussie; abner; AbsoluteGrace; alancarp; Alas Babylon!; Alia; ...
Core of Category 4 Hurricane Michael closing in on FL Panhandle...

Pressure down to 928 MB...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM Advisory...
----------------------------------------------
About 60 MI...SSW of Panama City FL
About 65 MI...SW of Apalachicola FL
Maximum Sustained Winds...145 MPH
Present Movement...NNE at 14 MPH
Minimum Central Pressure...928 MB...

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 45 miles, and
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles.


On/Off Hurricane List Mash Here-->
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 45 miles, and
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles.

321 posted on 10/10/2018 7:58:13 AM PDT by NautiNurse (Two-door Ford suffered unrepairable damage after a head-on collision with facts & truth.)
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To: All

NHC presser live. Apalachicola recently received wind gust 70+ mph.


322 posted on 10/10/2018 8:02:49 AM PDT by NautiNurse (Two-door Ford suffered unrepairable damage after a head-on collision with facts & truth.)
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To: NautiNurse

Wright Patterson got the fighters. LRAFB has Moody’s A10s, Hulburt’s AC-130s, and AF SOC U-28 Pilatus. Lots of AT6 Texans at LIT (Adams Field).


323 posted on 10/10/2018 8:04:35 AM PDT by DCBryan1 (Quit calling them liberals, progs, socialists, or democrats. Call them what they are: COMMUNISTS!!!!)
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To: PghBaldy

When exactly is land fall predicted?


324 posted on 10/10/2018 8:05:13 AM PDT by hardspunned
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To: hardspunned

~3-4hours


325 posted on 10/10/2018 8:07:30 AM PDT by halo66
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To: americas.best.days...

Great idea. Thanks.


326 posted on 10/10/2018 8:09:37 AM PDT by clintonh8r (Truth is hate speech to those who hate the truth.)
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To: commish

Yes looks like it. Stunning to see these flood waters first thing before it actually hits. Anyone who hangs around there is just asking for death.


327 posted on 10/10/2018 8:10:26 AM PDT by caww
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To: commish

Yes looks like it. Stunning to see these flood waters first thing before it actually hits. Anyone who hangs around there is just asking for death.


328 posted on 10/10/2018 8:10:26 AM PDT by caww
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To: NautiNurse

928, huh? Dear God.

Just checking in for a minute - getting pretty bad.


329 posted on 10/10/2018 8:10:32 AM PDT by SE Mom (Screaming Eagle mom)
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To: NautiNurse

Brother lives in Jacksonville and said yesterday the wind field is so wide they were getting winds 70 to 80 mph.....Said he went outside and you could hear the gusts at a distance roaring then when they hit you could hear tree limbs snapping as all trees were getting the force of those gusts.


330 posted on 10/10/2018 8:14:24 AM PDT by caww
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To: SE Mom

Yes. It’s bad.


331 posted on 10/10/2018 8:20:01 AM PDT by NautiNurse (Two-door Ford suffered unrepairable damage after a head-on collision with facts & truth.)
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To: DCBryan1

TALLAHASSEE, Fla. (AP) - Some of the worst storm surge from Category 4 Hurricane Michael is expected to hit Florida’s Tyndall Air Force Base, which has ordered all non-essential personnel to evacuate.

The National Hurricane Center’s latest forecast shows as much as 13 feet of water on top of the usual waves and tides could inundate the base, which is home to more than 600 families and on an island about 12 miles east of Panama City.

All base residents were ordered to leave when Tyndall moved to “HURCON 1” status as the storm closes in.

The base provided transportation but limited families to one large piece of luggage per family and one carry-on piece per person.

Tyndall is home to the 325th Fighter Wing.


332 posted on 10/10/2018 8:24:11 AM PDT by Alas Babylon! (Vote GOP this November. Take two friends to vote with you!)
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To: NautiNurse
I really hated to see that 928. I knew it was probably coming, but this just confirms that intensification is still ongoing.

I would not put it out of the realm of possibility that this may hit 150 right before land fall.

The question is whether the NWS will call it a CAT 5 at that point. At that point is there really any difference?

All we can do know is pray for those that stayed, and hope those that left have something/anything to come back to.

333 posted on 10/10/2018 8:24:50 AM PDT by commish (Freedom tastes Sweetest to those who have fought to preserve it!)
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To: caww
If you are talking about Jax FL, the almanac I viewed shows a couple of gusts ~25 mph. Nothing over 30 mph yesterday.
Jacksonville Naval Air Station Wx Almanac 10-9-2018
334 posted on 10/10/2018 8:25:51 AM PDT by NautiNurse (Two-door Ford suffered unrepairable damage after a head-on collision with facts & truth.)
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To: NautiNurse
"Hmmm...I posted that “not wanted” poster last night and nobody laughed."

Sorry I missed it!

335 posted on 10/10/2018 8:28:07 AM PDT by alancarp (George Orwell was an optimist.)
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To: commish

Michael doesn’t need to be Cat 5 at landfall. Cat 5 = sustained winds 157+ mph. This strong Cat 4 is plenty bad enough.


336 posted on 10/10/2018 8:28:54 AM PDT by NautiNurse (Two-door Ford suffered unrepairable damage after a head-on collision with facts & truth.)
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To: SE Mom; NautiNurse

Down to 919.9 mb in latest recon.


337 posted on 10/10/2018 8:30:57 AM PDT by dirtboy
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To: NautiNurse

Well my brother ‘stood in it’.. on his cell phone with my brother in law in the east so he could hear and listen to it. I’ll go by what he says any day over an anything the news/almanac says.


338 posted on 10/10/2018 8:32:09 AM PDT by caww
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To: NautiNurse

“Michael doesn’t need to be Cat 5 at landfall. Cat 5 = sustained winds 157+ mph. This strong Cat 4 is plenty bad enough”

Agreed!


339 posted on 10/10/2018 8:35:42 AM PDT by cll (Serviam!)
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To: cll

340 posted on 10/10/2018 8:36:36 AM PDT by dirtboy
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