Posted on 10/09/2018 4:49:06 PM PDT by NautiNurse
Major Hurricane Michael is churning toward the northeastern Gulf of Mexico coast. Florida Governor Rick Scott declared a state of emergency Monday for 35 counties with mandatory coastal evacuations in the FL Panhandle. 1,250 National Guard troops are aiding the process and more than 4,000 more placed on standby.
FEMA is already on the ground in Florida; other federal agencies are also preparing to assist people in the storm's path.
Alabama Gov. Kay Ivey on Monday declared a state of emergency for the entire state. Georgia Governor Nathan Deal issued a state of emergency for 92 counties ahead of Hurricane Michael landfall.
Meanwhile, Tallahassee city government (Andrew Gillum, Mayor & D'Rat FL Gubernatorial candidate) offices are "closed until further notice." Tallahassee International Airport is suspending commercial flight activity as 12:01 a.m. ET on Wednesday but expects to resume activity on Thursday.
The U.S. military moved its aircraft from the Panhandle on Monday. Roughly 50 F-22 stealth fighter jets — valued around $150 million each — have been relocated from the Tyndall Air Force Base, while the U.S. Navy said it is moving all its training aircraft from Pensacola.
Energy Production The Bureau of Safety and Environmental Enforcement (BSEE) on Tuesday estimated that around 726 MMcf/d (28.4%) of natural gas production and 670,831 b/d (39.5%) of oil production in the GOM had been shut in ahead of the storm.
As of midday Tuesday, 75 platforms and three rigs had been evacuated, while eight dynamically positioned rigs had been moved out of the storm’s path as a precaution, according to BSEE.
Gulf of Mexico Satellite Channels
Public Advisories
NHC Discussions
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Key West FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar New Orleans, LA
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Mobile AL/Pensacola FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Panama City, FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Tallahassee, FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Tampa Bay, FL
They just arrived at 8:10 ET.....she stated traffic was light, sky overcast but not raining.....she stated water levels appeared high and choppy......she sent pics..... looks ominous even that far from the storm
In talking with a couple of WW-2 Captains, they told me there was a very large roll factor, and that proper ballasting was essential. They indicated that more than once they had a salt rime around the stack.
True!
Strike path is getting firmed up: Tyndall AFB (as others have noted) is still the target, with Mexico Beach getting a storm surge in excess of 13 feet.
City manager of PCB told media roughly 25k have decided NOT to evacuat.
Pray this is a mistake.
BULLETIN
Hurricane Michael Intermediate Advisory Number 15A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL142018
700 AM CDT Wed Oct 10 2018
...POTENTIALLY CATASTROPHIC HURRICANE MICHAEL HEADING TOWARD THE
FLORIDA PANHANDLE...
...LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE...HURRICANE FORCE WINDS...AND HEAVY
RAINFALL IMMINENT...
SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
That one went off line. Another one, view from Pineapple Willy’s:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nWcgw13dxuk
Praying for you all. Mean looking storm :-(
Clouds are moving at a fast clip here in central Florida since I awoke at 7:30 am ET.
I’ve heard they aren’t.
Because apparently the (unwarranted) evacuation with Irma caused a lot more problems than they publicized and people are saying nope. Not that nightmare again.
That’s totally hearsay. I dont know.
Right now ........ that EYE looks like an EVIL EYE.
Has it made the turn yet?
I have friends in south Ms and they are literally so confident all is well.
They’ve done ZERO to prepare.
I know technology is awesome these days but... hurricanes will never be an exact science.
Hurricane camille didn’t turn when they said it would either.
More recently Rita’s last minute jog east....
Maybe with the upgrade to Cat 4 overnight, the folks will wake up this morning and head north or west.
_________
"loses the warn water" --- WHEN is that?
Tons of people were heading west yesterday...I-10 was packed on the west bound side here in Mobile.
Turning more east. Hopefully Panama City will be on the weaker West Side. Going to be close
I’ve had the same problem with friends vacationing in Biloxi. No way I would be staying ON THE BEACH with a Cat 4 hurricane that close. Too unpredictable. Too dangerous.
This is going to get very close to a cat 5. Pressure now under 930 mb
Is anyone on here from Apalachicola? We evacuated but would like to get live updates if possible. Thank you.
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