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Hurricane Florence Live Thread II
NHC/NOAA ^ | 12 September 2018 | NHC/NOAA

Posted on 09/12/2018 1:53:29 PM PDT by NautiNurse

The National Hurricane Center has been issuing advisories for Hurricane Florence since August 30. The five day "Cone of Uncertainty" archive progression since Aug. 30 may be found here. As the super-size storm named Florence approached the U.S. Atlantic Coast, stories abound of people who are refusing to evacuate barrier islands.

The 82nd Airborne has relocated all of its assets, while FEMA is using Fort Bragg as a major staging area for post-storm supplies, including meals, water and cots. Fort Jackson (Columbia SC) has cancelled events including basic training graduation to prepare for military and civilian evacuees from coastal locations.

While hurricane preparations are rushed to completion, some stores are closing for lack of hurricane supplies inventory. Smart phone app Gas Buddy provides updates for gasoline availability along evacuation routes.

Wave heights to 83 ft. were recorded while Hurricane Florence churned 435 miles from Wilmington, NC. Storm surge is predicted to reach 6-13 ft along the coastline to the N of landfall. Steering currents are forecast to collapse at or near landfall, resulting in Florence meandering for days. This is expected to result in up to 40 inches of rainfall in isolated areas in the Carolinas, and up to a foot of rain in the Appalachian Mountains.

Tropical Storm Isaac: The government of France has issued Tropical Storm Warnings and Watches for the Lesser Antilles.

Invest 95L: The National Hurricane Center predicts 70% chance of development in the Gulf of Mexico. Limited forecast models, satellite graphics and GOM buoy info are available for Invest 95L below.

Mash the graphics below to enlarge. All links and images are self-updating.

Hurricane Florence Isaac Invest 95L
No Forecast Cone for Invest 95L
at publication deadline

Florence Public Advisory Isaac Public Advisory
Florence Forecast Discussion Isaac Forecast Discussion
Buoy/Observations near Florence Buoy/Observations near Isaac Buoys Western GOM

National Data Buoy Center

Local Weather:
Norfolk VA
Morehead City NC
Raleigh NC
Fayetteville NC
Wilmington NC
Charleston SC/Savannah GA
Jacksonville FL
San Juan PR

Hurricane Florence & Isaac Thread I



TOPICS: Breaking News; Extended News; Front Page News; News/Current Events; US: North Carolina; US: South Carolina
KEYWORDS: braking; florence; hurricane; hurricaneflorence; hurricaneflorenceii; isaac; nautinurse; tropical
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To: NautiNurse

At that speed, with the drop in intensity we’ve seen already, it may die before it makes it much past the coast.


661 posted on 09/14/2018 6:48:30 PM PDT by thoughtomator (Number of arrested coup conspirators to date: 1)
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To: All
The Storm Surge Warning and Tropical Storm Warning have been
discontinued north of Ocracoke Inlet, North Carolina.

RAINFALL:
Florence is expected to produce heavy and excessive
rainfall in the following areas...

Southeastern coastal NC into far northeastern SC...an additional
20 to 25 inches, with isolated storm totals of 30 to 40 inches. This
rainfall will produce catastrophic flash flooding and prolonged
significant river flooding.

Remainder of SC and NC into southwest Virginia...5 to 10 inches,
isolated 15 inches. This rainfall will produce life-threatening flash
flooding.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions will continue through Saturday
in portions of the warning area along the coast and also over large
portions of eastern NC and extreme eastern SC, with tropical storm
force wind gusts spreading well inland.

TORNADOES: A few tornadoes are possible in southeastern NC and
northeastern SC through Saturday night.

SUMMARY OF 1100 PM Advisory...
----------------------------------------------
About 15 MI...WNW of Myrtle Beach SC
About 45 MI...SE of Florence SC
Maximum Sustained Winds...65 MPH
Present Movement...WSW at 5 MPH
Minimum Central Pressure...980 MB...

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles.

662 posted on 09/14/2018 8:23:50 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Do not make me pay Ferrari prices for Chevy Vega health insurance.)
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To: NautiNurse

Thank you NautiNurse for the update.

Just linking the 11 PM update page

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at1+shtml/153133.shtml?key_messages#contents


663 posted on 09/14/2018 8:25:44 PM PDT by HollyB
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To: HollyB

Tornado warning information

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 375
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1100 PM EDT Fri Sep 14 2018

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of
Southeast North Carolina
Coastal Waters

* Effective this Friday night and Saturday morning from 1100 PM
until 700 AM EDT.

* Primary threats include...
A couple tornadoes possible

SUMMARY...A moist air mass and strong low-level wind field will
continue to yield low-topped/transient supercells on the periphery
of Florence.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 50 statute miles
north and south of a line from 60 miles west of Jacksonville NC to
55 miles south southeast of New Bern NC. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU5).

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0375.html


664 posted on 09/14/2018 8:29:53 PM PDT by HollyB
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To: HollyB
Wilmington radar has been down since before noon today. NHC 1100 PM Discussion addresses this.

p.s. links for NHC Advisories and Discussions are provided at the top of the thread between forecast models and satellite images.

665 posted on 09/14/2018 8:39:55 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Do not make me pay Ferrari prices for Chevy Vega health insurance.)
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To: NautiNurse

Thank you. That saves me some time. I have pretty some pretty serious vision issues. I saw the maps, but not the links for the updates. I’ll check again. You’re pretty awesome at this. So, Thanks again!!


666 posted on 09/14/2018 8:43:55 PM PDT by HollyB
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To: NautiNurse

This giant fizzler has become too painful to watch. Faux has sucked all it can out of this rain . I know many of you are like me. I have fled to One America News. They cover real news , not this snowflake tripe. I endorse OAN !!


667 posted on 09/14/2018 9:07:14 PM PDT by raiderboy (Trump promised “shut down the government” in September; if no wall!!)
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To: alancarp

I understand being financially prepared for a storm emergency is important but it’s simply not as easy as some make it seem to evacuate. It’s VERY costly for some families. I realize you understand this... I just thing the public in general needs reminding that’s all.


668 posted on 09/14/2018 9:14:45 PM PDT by DrewsMum (The public cannot be too curious concerning the choharacters of public menÂ…(or WOMEN) Samuel Adam)
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To: NautiNurse

Thank you for your diligence. I know it’s time consuming. But it’s appreciated!


669 posted on 09/14/2018 9:16:44 PM PDT by DrewsMum (The public cannot be too curious concerning the choharacters of public menÂ…(or WOMEN) Samuel Adam)
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To: Oorang

Power has been out in most of Fayetteville, NC since late yesterday afternoon. Test ran the generator last night - works great. Cable/ internet is down. Working off my phone.


670 posted on 09/15/2018 3:06:06 AM PDT by PeteB570 ( Islam is the sea in which the Terrorist Shark swims. The deeper the sea the larger the shark.)
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To: NautiNurse

For sure. It’s an all volunteer work force down here,all Fla.Keys electric co. employees.A bunch of really good guys.


671 posted on 09/15/2018 3:06:43 AM PDT by rodguy911 (Home of the free because of the brave! MAGA!!)
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To: Oorang

Maybe m


672 posted on 09/15/2018 3:22:40 AM PDT by PeteB570 ( Islam is the sea in which the Terrorist Shark swims. The deeper the sea the larger the shark.)
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To: rodguy911; NautiNurse

Hi folks! Just checking in from Whiteville, NC. Power is still out - I’m using my Verizon 4G on my Amazon FIre tablet. Things are quieting down and I’ll be cranking up the generator when daylight comes. Don’t have enough gas to run it long f or mere comfort, just plan to cool down my freezers/refrigerator, recharge phones, etc., and get a nice shower.

The real problem will be the flooding as the Cape Fear, Lumber and Pee Dee Rivers keep rising over the next three days. Of course the MSM will have moved on and we’ll be “old news”! Battery’s almost gone, will check back in when I can.


673 posted on 09/15/2018 4:15:36 AM PDT by tarheelswamprat
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To: tarheelswamprat

Glad to know you are intact and online with emergency backup generator. Thanks for checking in. Keep us updated when you are able.


674 posted on 09/15/2018 4:55:38 AM PDT by NautiNurse (Do not make me pay Ferrari prices for Chevy Vega health insurance.)
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To: PeteB570

Thank you for your valuable local update. Good to know you have emergency backup generator. Please keep us updated when you are able.


675 posted on 09/15/2018 4:57:20 AM PDT by NautiNurse (Do not make me pay Ferrari prices for Chevy Vega health insurance.)
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To: All
TS Florence creeping W at 2 MPH...
The storm is still drawing in deep moisture at the coast...
Torrential rains and catastrophic flooding continue...
Max sustained winds 50 mph.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles from
the center.

676 posted on 09/15/2018 5:15:59 AM PDT by NautiNurse (Do not make me pay Ferrari prices for Chevy Vega health insurance.)
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To: All
Wilmington radar appears to be back online this morning.


677 posted on 09/15/2018 5:38:48 AM PDT by NautiNurse (Do not make me pay Ferrari prices for Chevy Vega health insurance.)
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To: DrewsMum

It’s not costly if you’re willing to stay in a shelter. Getting to the shelters might be a bigger problem if local governments didn’t have provisions for folks without transpo.

Continuing prayers for all in harm’s way.


678 posted on 09/15/2018 5:45:29 AM PDT by mewzilla (Has the FBI been spying on members of Congress?)
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To: All
...and Wilmington radar appears to be down again.

Isaac has dissipated. NHC issued its last advisory at 0500 Saturday.

679 posted on 09/15/2018 6:09:25 AM PDT by NautiNurse (Do not make me pay Ferrari prices for Chevy Vega health insurance.)
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To: NautiNurse

We’re starting to get rain in the Roanoke area. Steady, not torrential. Just a little breezy so far.


680 posted on 09/15/2018 6:30:36 AM PDT by randita (PLEASE STOP ALL THE WORTHLESS VANITIES!)
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