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Hurricane Florence Live Thread II
NHC/NOAA ^ | 12 September 2018 | NHC/NOAA

Posted on 09/12/2018 1:53:29 PM PDT by NautiNurse

The National Hurricane Center has been issuing advisories for Hurricane Florence since August 30. The five day "Cone of Uncertainty" archive progression since Aug. 30 may be found here. As the super-size storm named Florence approached the U.S. Atlantic Coast, stories abound of people who are refusing to evacuate barrier islands.

The 82nd Airborne has relocated all of its assets, while FEMA is using Fort Bragg as a major staging area for post-storm supplies, including meals, water and cots. Fort Jackson (Columbia SC) has cancelled events including basic training graduation to prepare for military and civilian evacuees from coastal locations.

While hurricane preparations are rushed to completion, some stores are closing for lack of hurricane supplies inventory. Smart phone app Gas Buddy provides updates for gasoline availability along evacuation routes.

Wave heights to 83 ft. were recorded while Hurricane Florence churned 435 miles from Wilmington, NC. Storm surge is predicted to reach 6-13 ft along the coastline to the N of landfall. Steering currents are forecast to collapse at or near landfall, resulting in Florence meandering for days. This is expected to result in up to 40 inches of rainfall in isolated areas in the Carolinas, and up to a foot of rain in the Appalachian Mountains.

Tropical Storm Isaac: The government of France has issued Tropical Storm Warnings and Watches for the Lesser Antilles.

Invest 95L: The National Hurricane Center predicts 70% chance of development in the Gulf of Mexico. Limited forecast models, satellite graphics and GOM buoy info are available for Invest 95L below.

Mash the graphics below to enlarge. All links and images are self-updating.

Hurricane Florence Isaac Invest 95L
No Forecast Cone for Invest 95L
at publication deadline

Florence Public Advisory Isaac Public Advisory
Florence Forecast Discussion Isaac Forecast Discussion
Buoy/Observations near Florence Buoy/Observations near Isaac Buoys Western GOM

National Data Buoy Center

Local Weather:
Norfolk VA
Morehead City NC
Raleigh NC
Fayetteville NC
Wilmington NC
Charleston SC/Savannah GA
Jacksonville FL
San Juan PR

Hurricane Florence & Isaac Thread I



TOPICS: Breaking News; Extended News; Front Page News; News/Current Events; US: North Carolina; US: South Carolina
KEYWORDS: braking; florence; hurricane; hurricaneflorence; hurricaneflorenceii; isaac; nautinurse; tropical
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To: VastRWCon

I thought that was what I wrote?

Anyway, my point was the 500 million people without power couldn’t be due to Floridians :-)


601 posted on 09/14/2018 10:22:27 AM PDT by CottonBall (Thank you , Julian!)
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To: alancarp

For sure there are many older parts of the city that are along the river. There’s about 7 bluffs to the north and west where the city expanded in the 1940’s and since.

If the river tops it’s banks it will be mostly low income property on the west side and country folk on the east side that get flooded out.


602 posted on 09/14/2018 10:23:02 AM PDT by PeteB570 ( Islam is the sea in which the Terrorist Shark swims. The deeper the sea the larger the shark.)
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To: PeteB570

...exactly the sorts of people who don’t evacuate.


603 posted on 09/14/2018 10:23:57 AM PDT by alancarp (George Orwell was an optimist.)
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To: jeffers

...from the warning...”moving NE at 60 mph”.

This will get ahead of the warning system.


604 posted on 09/14/2018 10:24:43 AM PDT by jeffers
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To: jeffers

They have to go up to avoid the surge and flooding, but need protection from fast moving tornados that are difficult to see, much less forecast.

I’m thinking concrete lined stairwells and elevator shafts. Parking garages often have concrete stairwells.


605 posted on 09/14/2018 10:28:30 AM PDT by jeffers
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To: jeffers

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
106 PM EDT FRI SEP 14 2018

The National Weather Service in Newport has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
Southeastern Craven County in eastern North Carolina...
Central Carteret County in eastern North Carolina...
Pamlico County in eastern North Carolina...

* Until 145 PM EDT.

* At 105 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located over Marshallberg, or near Harkers Island, moving
northwest at 60 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.


606 posted on 09/14/2018 10:28:47 AM PDT by NautiNurse (Do not make me pay Ferrari prices for Chevy Vega health insurance.)
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To: NautiNurse

Headline: North Carolina to play key role in 2020 election.

North Carolina with it’s population of 500,000,000 is sure
to be a bellwether in the coming presidential election...


607 posted on 09/14/2018 10:30:32 AM PDT by tet68 ( " We would not die in that man's company, that fears his fellowship to die with us...." Henry V.)
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To: tet68

LOL!


608 posted on 09/14/2018 10:42:30 AM PDT by American Quilter (When does the wall start going up?)
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To: NautiNurse
Pretty good correlation between the "horn-shaped structures" shown on the Reflectivity plot (upper left) and the NROT plot (lower right). Note similar colored arrows.

 photo 1340 Correlation.jpg
609 posted on 09/14/2018 10:44:32 AM PDT by jeffers
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To: tet68
They will need to adjust congressional representation to accommodate the substantially larger population OR give each current congress critter from NC 283 votes.

Ground saturation is causing trees to topple.

610 posted on 09/14/2018 10:44:44 AM PDT by NautiNurse (Do not make me pay Ferrari prices for Chevy Vega health insurance.)
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To: jeffers

“Hurricane Hook Echoes?”


611 posted on 09/14/2018 10:45:42 AM PDT by jeffers
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To: NautiNurse

Ground saturation is causing trees to topple.

A real problem with that much rain.


612 posted on 09/14/2018 10:46:30 AM PDT by tet68 ( " We would not die in that man's company, that fears his fellowship to die with us...." Henry V.)
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To: NautiNurse

I was watching and waiting for thread 1 starting a couple of days ago. I never saw it. I thought maybe FR had given up on Hurricane threads. Glad to see one up now.


613 posted on 09/14/2018 11:21:53 AM PDT by Revel
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To: RubyR

Yes indeed. That pic explains a lot., and that was early on. Thank you. I’ll have to check out Winfy.


614 posted on 09/14/2018 11:29:12 AM PDT by HollyB
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To: NautiNurse

Florence. The short form of that is Flo. Flo is the spokesperson for Progressive Insurance. Therefore, progressives are complicit in the hurricane.


615 posted on 09/14/2018 11:29:30 AM PDT by TBP (Progressives lack compassion and tolerance. Their self-aggrandizement is all that matters.)
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To: Revel

The first thread was posted Sept. 9. I always assign keyword tropical, and usually also assign keyword hurricane. OR you can search posts via User NautiNurse. The storm was waaaaay too far out in the Atlantic to post the first thread in Breaking News. It was in Front Page news, however. I defer to the Mods to decide where the hurricane threads should land.


616 posted on 09/14/2018 11:31:36 AM PDT by NautiNurse (Do not make me pay Ferrari prices for Chevy Vega health insurance.)
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To: NautiNurse

So far, sunny and mild in Atlanta GA.


617 posted on 09/14/2018 11:33:08 AM PDT by Lazamataz (On future maps, I suggest we remove the word "California" and substitute "Open-Air Asylum".)
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To: tet68

Who writes these things......someone in Jr High?


618 posted on 09/14/2018 11:48:01 AM PDT by Guenevere
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To: NautiNurse

First fatalities are being reported now: 2 people in Wilmington... house collapse.


619 posted on 09/14/2018 12:00:31 PM PDT by alancarp (George Orwell was an optimist.)
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To: NautiNurse

Blue Shed Survivor, Outer Banks Surge:

https://youtu.be/7R8YFHbTmPI


620 posted on 09/14/2018 12:02:26 PM PDT by jeffers
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