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Gap Narrows in CD12 Special
Monmouth University Polling Institute ^

Posted on 08/05/2018 3:38:43 PM PDT by map

The race to fill the open seat in Ohio’s 12th Congressional District has shifted from a Republican advantage last month to a toss-up now, according to the Monmouth University Poll...

... Voter opinion of Trump’s overall job performance stands at 46% approve and 49% disapprove.

(Excerpt) Read more at monmouth.edu ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: Ohio
KEYWORDS: balderson; dannyoconnor; oh12; oh2018; ohio; ohio12; troybalderson
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Trump won this district by 10% in 2016. Is it even conceivable that his approval is now underwater at 46/49?

I think the poll all the pundits have been quoting used a seriously slanted sample.

This is a voter suppression poll. Troy Balderson will win handily.

1 posted on 08/05/2018 3:38:43 PM PDT by map
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To: map

I’m not so sure.

Propaganda works - otherwise, they wouldn’t spend so much on it.

And the anti-Trump propaganda campaign has been of unprecedented ferocity, size, and scope.


2 posted on 08/05/2018 3:44:40 PM PDT by Jim Noble (p)
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To: map

Right? A district POTUS won by 10 pts has his approval rating LOWER than the national polls?

Interesting, indeed. However, never underestimate the hate motivator.


3 posted on 08/05/2018 3:45:03 PM PDT by snarkytart
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To: snarkytart

Apparently, this flawed poll has been this week’s talking point.


4 posted on 08/05/2018 3:46:26 PM PDT by map
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To: Jim Noble

Not to mention the walk around money, paid protestors AND voter fraud. We have to get out and vote at an intensity like never before to over come their fraud and money.


5 posted on 08/05/2018 3:46:32 PM PDT by snarkytart
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To: Jim Noble

Propaganda does work, that’s why they have to get out the vote.

This poll alone has been driving all the angst this week.


6 posted on 08/05/2018 3:51:15 PM PDT by map
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To: map

It’s Monmouth

Tuesday will tell


7 posted on 08/05/2018 3:54:48 PM PDT by Nifster (I see puppy dogs in the clouds)
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To: map

The map is almost entirely red.


8 posted on 08/05/2018 3:55:38 PM PDT by FreeperCell
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To: Nifster

Yesterday’s rally will clinch it on Tuesday.


9 posted on 08/05/2018 3:56:25 PM PDT by map
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To: FreeperCell

Who you callin’ red?


10 posted on 08/05/2018 3:57:02 PM PDT by map
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To: map

Monmouth under polled Republicans and refused to publicize the answer to question 10. It asked which party CD 12 responedents wanted to be in charge of Congress. They said Republican by 41/36. DON’T READ THESE FAKE 2016 STYLE POLLS.


11 posted on 08/05/2018 3:59:07 PM PDT by jmaroneps37 (Conservatism is truth. Liberalism is lies.)
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To: map

Troy Balderson can make drying paint look exciting.


12 posted on 08/05/2018 4:00:56 PM PDT by JonPreston
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To: jmaroneps37

Can anyone make any sense of the Demographics Box near the end?

DEMOGRAPHICS (weighted)
Party Registration

47% Republican
26% Democrat
27% Neither

Self-Reported Party ID

39% Republican
38% Independent
23% Democrat

49% Male
51% Female

19% 18-34
24% 35-49
30% 50-64
27% 65


13 posted on 08/05/2018 4:08:31 PM PDT by map
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To: map

I’d be worried if it wasn’t Monmouth.


14 posted on 08/05/2018 4:12:39 PM PDT by Trump20162020
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To: Trump20162020

True, and it shouldn’t be the only game in town.


15 posted on 08/05/2018 4:15:22 PM PDT by map
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To: JonPreston

Sounds like you’re getting an excuse ready instead of encouraging people in that district to get out and vote.


16 posted on 08/05/2018 4:17:04 PM PDT by snarkytart
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To: LS

Anything to this? Or same willful ignorance as displayed in ‘16?


17 posted on 08/05/2018 4:20:53 PM PDT by SE Mom (Screaming Eagle mom)
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To: map
... Voter opinion of Trump’s overall job performance stands at 46% approve and 49% disapprove

It’s kinda funny when you look at it. Back in the first week of November 2016, Trump’s national approval rating from Gallup was a heart sinking 34%!

https://news.gallup.com/poll/197576/trump-favorability-trails-presidents-elect.aspx

It’s virtually impossible for anyone to win with a super low approval rating like that yet a Trump did it. It just gives you an idea of the obstacles and the odds that Trump had to overcome, and how it really tough he is.

18 posted on 08/05/2018 4:24:12 PM PDT by SmokingJoe
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To: map

.
Monmouth goes fake again!

Trump approval is getting close to 60%.
.


19 posted on 08/05/2018 4:26:12 PM PDT by editor-surveyor (Freepers: Not as smart as I'd hoped they'd be)
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To: SE Mom
Check out Donald Trump’s approval rating from Gallup just before the November 2016 elections.

https://news.gallup.com/poll/197576/trump-favorability-trails-presidents-elect.aspx

20 posted on 08/05/2018 4:27:03 PM PDT by SmokingJoe
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