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Trump's Nightmare (Demovrats to gain +40 seats house?)
Axios ^ | 1-14-17 | Mike Allen

Posted on 01/14/2018 2:27:38 PM PST by Angels27

Trump's day of reckoning ... The one thing that could dramatically diminish President Trump’s chances of avoiding impeachment and chalking up legislative wins is Democrats winning the House. And, thanks to series of recent developments, Trump knows this no longer just seems plausible, but probable.

Hill sources tell us that a House Democratic takeover is now likely.

One strategist close to Republican leaders believes that a loss of the House is "baked in," and said top Republicans don't see a way to avoid it.

It would take a flip of 24 seats for Dems to take over. The average loss for the president's party in his first midterm is about 32 seats, and we're hearing forecasts of 40+ losses.

(Excerpt) Read more at axios.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; US: California
KEYWORDS: 2018midterm; 2018midterms; axios; california; dempickups; mediawingofthednc; mikeallen; nancypelosi; nevertrumper; nevertrumpers; partisanmediashills
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To: Angels27

We can only hope that once the deep state coup outrage takes hold, no Demoncrat gets elected ever again.


41 posted on 01/14/2018 3:19:27 PM PST by databoss
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To: DollyCali

1) Current edge is 239-194 or 46 difference.
2) Rs have vastly outraised Ds in $$ at every single level, four or five to one.
3) Voter registrations in battleground states continue to run in R favor. We can’t track every state, or even all of the battleground states, but in all but the bluest of states (OR, NJ, CA) the trend is to Rs. Even in CO, which was moving steadily D for three years, it has plateaued.

True, registration does NOT equal victory-—look at AL where 685,000 Rs stayed home from the previous November. Still, the single best indicator of how a person will vote is party ID. If we get the base out, we’ll win, because the economic tide is completely with us.

4) Speaking of economics, Rs just have to run on Trumpism and the economic growth, and it should be a cinch.

5) Way too early to pick a house race, let alone 435. Many places, the candidates haven’t even announced.

6) One of the biggest non-discussed issues is the number of Rs not running. I think 90% of these have something to do with the sex fund scandal, that they are being blackmailed and as long as they step down, nothing will come out. The good news is that of that fund, some 100 names are yet to be released/made public, and at least 60-70 of those will be Ds. (A higher percentage because so far 24 Rs have said they won’t run vs. 7 Ds). I think you’ll see A LOT of those names come out. We have no idea how that will shake up the 2018 races.

The one big pitfall is CANDIDATES. We need solid candidates in each race. It’s looking like we should keep the Senate plus 2-5 with what’s there now, but the sad thing is that had more R governors/congressmen been more aggressive, we could have had a supermajority in 2018. I don’t see how we get that now.


42 posted on 01/14/2018 3:20:14 PM PST by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: italianquaker

Only if they lie, cheat, and steal.


43 posted on 01/14/2018 3:22:10 PM PST by 2CAVTrooper (Democrats... BETRAYING America since 1828.)
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To: Dilbert San Diego

I’m confident Trump will not be their problem if republicans lose. Their problem will be with their base and their obstruction will be on the minds of moderates. If they have any clue they will board the Trump wagon and ride that momentum.


44 posted on 01/14/2018 3:23:27 PM PST by enduserindy ( I always smile when my competition doubles down on stupid.)
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To: Angels27

Remember, It is the Economy, “stupid”. When our economy is booming throughout the year remember to ask your friends with their new cars or houses why they didn’t buy them under Obama?

Ask them if they believe in a living wage how it makes sense to allow illegals into the country to depress wages for all and especially our minority and poorest members of society.

Ask them why they favor H1b visas and training foreigners to replace themselves in their hi-tech jobs.

Ask them why they are surrendering their children’s futures to those who hate America.

Ask them if they believe one man one vote why they don’t want to protect the integrity of the voting booth with the same passion we protect the integrity of amateur youth sports. (Birth certificate and photo ID for youth soccer tournaments) with sworn league officer affidavits.

We must make our fellow citizens think critically, even if it blows up their heads!


45 posted on 01/14/2018 3:27:39 PM PST by Billyv (Freedom isn't Free! Get off the sidelines!)
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To: Angels27; All
After his first year in office, Pres. Trump now knows which lawmakers are enemies of the people, and is planning to campaign for candidates who will support his vision for MAGA.
After Alabama loss, Trump has ambitious plans to campaign in 2018 midterms (MAGA Phase II)

46 posted on 01/14/2018 3:29:24 PM PST by Amendment10
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To: Angels27

In other news: polls show that Hillary Clinton will win in a landslide.


47 posted on 01/14/2018 3:32:05 PM PST by euram
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To: buckalfa

And this seems so crazy, that the GOP are ok being the minority. What the heck is going on, that a political party would actually prefer not to win elections, prefer not to be in power?


48 posted on 01/14/2018 3:33:14 PM PST by Dilbert San Diego
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To: Angels27
Axios? Sure...


49 posted on 01/14/2018 3:35:16 PM PST by jonno (Having an opinion is not the same as having the answer...)
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To: Angels27

Anything can happen any year. What I think will happen is a Democrat gain of about 10 seats in the house and a Republican gain of about 3 seats in the senate.


50 posted on 01/14/2018 3:35:29 PM PST by Dragonspirit (President Trump do not give CNN a debate in 2020)
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To: Ouderkirk

That still doesn’t change the fact there’s an awful lot of retirements and resignations happening.

Which with all the winning...I don’t get it.


51 posted on 01/14/2018 3:35:58 PM PST by EBH ( May God Save the Republic)
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To: Angels27
Mike Allen is a Dem party liar and fraud .

His wife works for the DNC .

He is a lying snake .

Lying Mikey is famous for having water gun fights with Biden at the WH.

Axios is Just Left wing Politico garbage recycled by the same Dems .

52 posted on 01/14/2018 3:38:33 PM PST by ncalburt (he)
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To: Angels27

No way Jose (whoops, is that racist?)


53 posted on 01/14/2018 3:38:51 PM PST by From The Deer Stand
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To: Wyrd bið ful aræd

The national party (Mitch the bitch, etc) never supported Moore.

The President was late in his support.

There was massive collusion between the highway 31 PAC and the jones campaign.

Even the AL SoS was paid off to undermine the investigation of voter fraud. Some dimwit jones supporter even admitted on camera that there was fraud “We came from all over the country to vote for jones”.

There was a massive voter intimidation campaign (billboards, yard signs, radio and tv ads, robo-calls) paid for by the dnc (vote or die, etc).

There were paid agitators of the dnc (allred) who in turn paid for liars to smear Moore. Two of which Judge Moore had ruled against them in civil cases. Another was a member of the jones campaign.


54 posted on 01/14/2018 3:45:16 PM PST by 2CAVTrooper (Democrats... BETRAYING America since 1828.)
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To: Dilbert San Diego

We have work to do and plenty of time to do it

************

However the primaries are only a short time out. That is
where the candidates need to be selected that can win in Nov.

Texas and Illinois are in Mar and then several more come up
in May.

State Primary Election dates:
http://www.ncsl.org/research/elections-and-campaigns/2018-state-primary-election-dates.aspx


55 posted on 01/14/2018 3:48:31 PM PST by deport
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To: Dilbert San Diego

It is not so crazy when you realize that the new world order cabal influences both of our political parties and the leadership of each is further united by their personal hatred of the President. Why lead when you can follow and enjoy the same perks of the office?


56 posted on 01/14/2018 3:50:59 PM PST by buckalfa (I was so much older then, but I'm younger than that now.)
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To: Angels27

The GOP Swamp continues to ooze

We’ll see how a good economy does


57 posted on 01/14/2018 3:52:20 PM PST by Nifster (I see puppy dogs in the clouds)
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To: Angels27

More than half of the Republican retirements are lawmakers running for a Senate seat/gov of their state or are committee chairs who are termed out of their posts. And keep in mind, when a congressman is no longer a chairman of a committee, its like going back to the stockroom of the company after being a VP for many years.


58 posted on 01/14/2018 3:54:29 PM PST by paltz
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To: Angels27
You’re our original Chicken Little. Of course you think it could happen.
59 posted on 01/14/2018 3:59:19 PM PST by Rastus
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To: Will88

I think the Republicans will triple their turnout to prevent this from happening. They forget to mention that part of the equation.


60 posted on 01/14/2018 4:02:15 PM PST by dandiegirl (BO)
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