That’s an underwhelming lead. He should be well over 50%.
This was taken before the yearbook lie was exposed today.
He is.
If the same polling outfit showed a 48%-44% lead for Jones within the last couple of weeks, then the shift here is pretty dramatic.
Wonder how heavy they overweighted the Dems on this poll?
Agreed, in AL he is well over what is showing.
Glad I didn't believe you all. By 9:30 that night, I knew that Trump would win even though it would be five more hours before the rest of the world admitted it. What a glorious night that was. Should have stayed in the city. Those folks partied down.
If you picked up the August polling, Moore had a 7-point margin over Jones. Basically, I don’t think anything really changed or occurred. It stayed basically in the same pattern. Most Alabama folks were skeptical of the WaPo story when it came out. The more that came out....the more skeptical folks were.
The interesting thing is that it’s the mostly highly spent campaign in Alabama history, with Jones likely getting a three to one edge on donations and money spent. For Jones to lose, it means that the old strategy of dumping on folks and massive publicity ads...won’t work anymore. That might be a shocker for 2018’s election period.
Gravis’s earlier polls skewed about ten points to the left. So them having Moore up five is like local pollsters having him up fifteen.