I'd love to see that...
Posted on 11/07/2017 10:38:40 AM PST by SarahPalin2012
I just voted in SW Virginia. Rural area, goes usually about 58-42 for the good guys (or at least the less-evil guys). More cars than usual for off year elections but no real wait inside. This was about noon. I'd guess that it was half of 2016 (Trump), and about equal to when Cuccinelli lost a very close race without any establishment help in 2013 to McAuliffe. Although the Dems have an edge in VA now, I still think it is very winnable for Republicans. My hope is that we pull out a win in a close election. For those conservatives sitting out because Gillespie is kind of gutless, I know you won't listen but it still needs to be said. You are not helping.
I would love to see it once with Fairfax forced to report first instead of dead last like they always always do!
Sound all too familiar, doesn’t it?
OK. To start with, any rat in a statewide office in VA has a 3 to 5 point lead just for breathing. The demographics have changed and the People’s Republic of Northern Virginia has tipped the scales to the extent that VA is pretty much a blue state. The stars all have to pretty much be in alignment for a gop candidate to win.
That said, my prediction is Amnesty Ed wins in a squeaker with Jill Vogel winning as well. Why:
-Amnesty Ed ran a competent campaign. This is almost unheard of for a Virginia gop gubernatorial candidate. But he has done a surprisingly good job. No stupid mistakes. He may be an establishment putz, but he ran a good campaign.
- There was no organized opposition within the gop to Amnesty Ed’s candidacy as Cuccinelli faced in 2013.
-The ad. It did p### off some folks that otherwise stay home.
- Northam didn’t rally the rat base.
-Corey Stewart has been actively campaigning for him and DJT has endorsed. That helped persuade some conservatives who think Ed sucks to show up.
-Down ticket candidates, especially Jill Vogel, are pretty good and may have a small coattail effect.
- No Robert Sarvis to bleed off votes. The libertarian candidate wasn’t that active and didn’t have the funding Sarvis did in 2013.
- The weather in the liberal belt of Virginia sucks today. Wet, rainy, cold, and miserable.
-I’ve seen mention of reliable polls that say Northam has it by a couple points. Virginia is incredibly tough to poll, especially in an odd numbered year. As there are elections here every year, people have become quite adept at avoiding and lying to pollsters.
All in all, Amnesty Ed has played his cards remarkably well and has been very lucky.
And lest I forget to mention it: politics is a scam.
Republicans hve a virtually infinite capacity to lear teh wrong lesson.
Franklin County, VA - conservative stronghold.
Voted about 11 AM and there was a line with lots of people coming and going. I’d say it was similar to 2016.
Wouldn’t it be fun if Gillespie, in his victory speech, thanks the Latino Victory Fund? Make some liberal heads explode.
Naaah. McAwful is more machiavellian. Very much in the clinton mold. Amnesty Ed is just a garden variety, gop-e putz.
Honestly he should.. if he wins (and I believe he will) its fully thanks to that insanely and fragrantly racist ad... without it I think he comes up short.
I remember 1970 when Jim Buckley was elected senator from New York on the Conservative Party line alone. Charles Goodell, the father of the current NFL commissioner, had the Republican and Liberal lines, and Richard Ottinger was the Democrat.
I said in August that Buckley would win.
On Election Night, they kept going back to House races or already decided governor’s races and the longer they avoided to report the New York Senate race, the more certain I was that Buckley had won. I even said so. “If not, they would have called it by now.”
Eventually, they had to call it, and boy. were they upset. But it was long past when they should have called it.
Saw this Dem hoping for an opportunity, here ⬇
12 House Rs vacating winnable seats so far:
Ros-Lehtinen
Reichert
Trott
Dent
Murphy
Tiberi
Jenkins
Pearce
Renacci
Barletta
McSally
LoBiondo— Jesse Lehrich (@JesseLehrich) November 7, 2017
I'd love to see that...
Now THAT would be entertaining. I doubt he would do it, but he would get a healthy amount of street cred for doing so.
The entire state could vote republican and be overridden by the deep state residing in Fairfax County.
When I saw that ad my first thought was “false flag”. It was to camp, to perfect.
Sarvis and Hyra are both LINOs. Most Libertarian candidates these days are. None more so than Johnson and Weld.
Also NoVa here, in the belly of the beast (Fairfax Cty). Low 40’s and cold rain when I voted late morning. No wait but the school parking lot was full - I’m hoping there was some other activity to acct for the full parking lot, because a big turnout in NoVa will guarantee a Dim win.
Maybe we can get real Republicans in those seats.
The GOP is fortunate that Northam is a terrible candidate and that Gillespie lost a statewide race in a squeaker (2014 Senate race against Mark Warner). I agree that downticket will help and that Vogel will prob. win Lt. Governor. The big problem remains Fairfax with a huge concentration of federal employees, with heavy support from Arlington and Alexandria which will give Northam prob. a 200,000 vote edge that needs to be made up in the rural/small town areas of the “real” Virginia. If Gillespie can take Loudon and Prince William counties, I think he will win; if not, we may be waiting, as is traditional, for the “held’ votes in Norfolk and Newport News to come in at their usual 9.8 to 1 for the Dems.
That’s what I’M hoping!! More #MAGA!!
I just wonder if they see the writing on the wall, or....is there something else going on?
Agree with you as to Sarvis, but not Hyra. Cliff Hyra is the sort of candidate the RPV should run, but won’t so long as they can find some establishment twit.
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