Wind shear is predicted to start in a bit less than 24 hours. That should help to weaken it some.
(need I add?)
See, I told you. PING the Southern AL/MS FReepers and tell them to evacuate NOW
I wonder if it will park over the Flag Land Base?
Those hateful conservatives...constantly telling the truth and messing everything up. they must be silenced.
As far as I can tell, Irma has not yet turned the corner to head more northerly. She has been to the SW of the projected track for at least a day. Too bad the eye is still over water though.
Irma did not shift toward the west coast of Florida after hitting into Cuba. It is still in Cuba. Maybe they mean to say that their models have it eventually turning north toward the west coast of Florida, but irma is still in florida and still on its northern coast.
According to many of tracking paths, several have Irma basically at my front door.
I just finished videoing the entire house and contents just in case the worse comes to pass...
Anyone keeping an eye on the norks?
The danger is enhanced because the NE quadrant from the eye is the sector which produces the most tornadoes.
Had Irma struck the Florida Atlantic coast the NE quadrant would be over the ocean.
With a Gulf coast landfall the NE quadrant will be over land.
Is this anymore dangerous than had it gone up the east coast?
Let us know you are ok.
Well worth the read. Here is the main point:
What does all this mean?Well, information is how we make prudent decisions. If you overlay the National Hurricane Center timeline with the local tidal charts for the impacted communities; you see the potential worst case scenario for storm surge that could dwarf all prior forecasts of the worst case scenario. These Maps could be under-stating the risk; they most certainly are not over-stating it.
Im not trying to alarm anyone, but if you are near the coast -anywhere near the coast- from Ten Thousand Islands up to Tampa and St. Pete; especially in Charlotte Harbor or along the Caloosahatchee river basin; or if you are even in a moderate non-evacuated flood zone; if you live West of U.S. 41; and if you are wondering whether you should seek shelter on higher ground today . JUST DO IT !
We have seen hurricanes carve up barrier Islands, remove and build others, and swamp coastal communities with storm surge. We have never seen a recorded major hurricane track from South to North on, or near, the West coast of Florida.
The west coast tides and the arrival of the Atlantic regions most powerful hurricane are in alignment for a worst case scenario for flooding and storm surge. There is still time today to take shelter from that storm surge, and for those North of Boca Grande (North of Lake Okeechobee 28° latitude) theres still time to evacuate.
Weather monitoring and communication are so much more informative than they were in the 1960s.
No room at the Inn;(
I remember Dora in 1964. Husband overseas and I was a mother of a 2 yr. old son and a TWO WEEK old baby, living with mother-in-law on Tybee Island, Ga. My MIL called her sister to see if we could stay further inland with her. Her answer was NO!!!!! So we drove to a motel in Savannah and stayed overnight. The next morning, we returned to Tybee - believing the worst was over. However, a concerned neighbor raced over and asked us why on earth we came back so soon. She ordered us to go with her and stay with her family much further inland. Great neighbor and her family. My poor mother-in-law was devastated that her neighbor was a better Christian that her own sister!!!!!!!
Ahh, Memories!
AS of 11:00 am Irma has not moved north, idiots at ABC.
The legislators can fix this!
Just declare the US a hurricane-free zone.
Irma has been downgraded to a Cat 3 hurricane and is still a dangerous threat. Let’s hope that she continues to lose strength as she approaches landfall.
If only the US had issued great big checks to the UN, none of this would be happening.
I’m sitting here in fort myers, FL at the hospital which is doubling as a shelter.
Could be worse, but it’s just getting started.