Posted on 09/08/2017 10:32:33 PM PDT by Oshkalaboomboom
If history is any indication, the Democratic Party should be poised to win back the House in 2018 and improve its standing in the Senate. The party out of power has traditionally scored substantial gains in midterm elections. Given that President Trumps job approval hit an all-time low of 34 percent in the most recent Gallup poll, the Democrats should be in a stronger position than ever. However, this is not the case.
Based on the last three midterm election years when there was a change in party control of the House, this year should translate into a Democratic landslide. In 1994, Republicans Contract with America helped them gain 54 seats and control of the House.
In 2006, Democrats capitalized on the declining public image of President George W. Bush, due to the failures over Hurricane Katrina and the Iraq War, and picked up 31 seats and a lock on the House. And in 2010, the Republicans leveraged voter discontent with President Barack Obama and ObamaCare, a massive stimulus and a government bailout to take back the House, gaining 63 seats. In 2018, Democrats only need a net gain of 24 seats to gain control of the lower body. Based on history, that should be a piece of cake. Yet, 2018 could be different. Republicans may wind up retaining control of both chambers.
Why? Primarily, Democratic support has eroded substantially since 2009.
In 2009, the Democrats held 256 seats in the House and 55 seats in the Senate. Today they hold 194 and 46 respectively. In that time, Dems lost 21 House seats in the key Midwestern states of Pennsylvania, Ohio, Michigan, Wisconsin and Indiana, while Republicans gained 17 seats in these five states.
(Excerpt) Read more at nypost.com ...
That last part is the HARD part!!
Plus I hear Trump’s approval is down to .03 percent.
i think it was cnn. :)
They're not depending on math, they're depending on vote fraud.
And the math is also against us if we don’t Primary the undocumented Democrats.
LOL! Ya, right.
How has fundraising been for the Dems since losing to Trump?
Also, how much did the Dems spend not electing Jon Ossoff in Georgia?
Right now the Dems are experiencing division mired in a string of demoralizing political losses. This bodes very well for Pro-Trump Candidates in 2018.
After a lifetime of never missing an election, I sat out the congressional portion of the 2016 contest. Yes, I voted for Trump.
The Ultimate IRONY supporting a guy working with Socialists Democrats Pelosi & Schummer while wanting to get rid of RINOs! You just joined the Swamp. Trump/Pelosi 2020 your new campaign slogan.
ROTFLOL........that abut sums it up for the old bag.
Democrats have control of the legislative and executive in a puny six states.
Population of Dem-controlled states: 50,190,213
Population of GOP-controlled states: 164,139,104
Republican control states holding vast amts of oil, natural gas, minerals,
food supplies, the nation's water sources, thriving commerce....and so on.
Democrats control blue states, bankrupt places where Obamacare is flopping bigtime.
(Excerpt) Read more at atr.org ...
But the Republicans are doing everything possible to limit the Democrat losses.
Incredibly, Schoen and Andrew Stein, while Democrats and admittedly superior analysts, still make use of Gallup polling that in the last election was found to be terribly flawed. Are they getting stale? Losing their touch?
The Dems path to victory is clear, go hard left!
Go left, Dems, go left. Victory is yours, if you continue your move to the hard left. It is the only way you can win.
Perez & Ellison need to recruit solidly hard left candidates for the 2018 elections. Start with Antifa, plenty of potential recruits there.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.