Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Democrats’ top problem in 2018: the math’s still against them
NY Post ^ | September 8, 2017 | Douglas E. Schoen and Andrew Stein

Posted on 09/08/2017 10:32:33 PM PDT by Oshkalaboomboom

If history is any indication, the Democratic Party should be poised to win back the House in 2018 and improve its standing in the Senate. The party out of power has traditionally scored substantial gains in midterm elections. Given that President Trump’s job approval hit an all-time low of 34 percent in the most recent Gallup poll, the Democrats should be in a stronger position than ever. However, this is not the case.

Based on the last three midterm election years when there was a change in party control of the House, this year should translate into a Democratic landslide. In 1994, Republicans’ “Contract with America” helped them gain 54 seats and control of the House.

In 2006, Democrats capitalized on the declining public image of President George W. Bush, due to the failures over Hurricane Katrina and the Iraq War, and picked up 31 seats and a lock on the House. And in 2010, the Republicans leveraged voter discontent with President Barack Obama and ObamaCare, a massive stimulus and a government bailout to take back the House, gaining 63 seats. In 2018, Democrats only need a net gain of 24 seats to gain control of the lower body. Based on history, that should be a piece of cake. Yet, 2018 could be different. Republicans may wind up retaining control of both chambers.

Why? Primarily, Democratic support has eroded substantially since 2009.

In 2009, the Democrats held 256 seats in the House and 55 seats in the Senate. Today they hold 194 and 46 respectively. In that time, Dems lost 21 House seats in the key Midwestern states of Pennsylvania, Ohio, Michigan, Wisconsin and Indiana, while Republicans gained 17 seats in these five states.

(Excerpt) Read more at nypost.com ...


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS:
Because Republicans have been making solid gains statewide in legislatures and governorships for most of the Obama years they have also been able to do a lot of redistricting, which also makes it more difficult for Dems to take back control in those states. Now if we could just elect people who act like Republicans and not RINO wimps there could be an actual chance to carry out the Trump agenda.
1 posted on 09/08/2017 10:32:34 PM PDT by Oshkalaboomboom
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: Oshkalaboomboom
And, here is the other top problem:


2 posted on 09/08/2017 10:40:03 PM PDT by Slyfox (Are you tired of winning yet?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Oshkalaboomboom

That last part is the HARD part!!

Plus I hear Trump’s approval is down to .03 percent.

i think it was cnn. :)


3 posted on 09/08/2017 10:52:28 PM PDT by dp0622 (The Left should know that if Trump is kicked out of office, it is WAR!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Oshkalaboomboom
Democrats’ top problem in 2018: the math’s still against them

They're not depending on math, they're depending on vote fraud.

4 posted on 09/08/2017 10:57:53 PM PDT by Steely Tom (Liberals think in propaganda)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

And the math is also against us if we don’t Primary the undocumented Democrats.


5 posted on 09/08/2017 11:02:53 PM PDT by Gene Eric (Don't be a statist!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Oshkalaboomboom
Dems need a pro-growth economic agenda coupled with a reassertion of traditional values, fiscal discipline, cultural conservatism and, most of all, a set of inclusive policies designed to unify, not divide.

LOL! Ya, right.

6 posted on 09/08/2017 11:27:22 PM PDT by VeniVidiVici (Democrats want to teach anal sex in school. Republicans want to teach gun safety.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Oshkalaboomboom

How has fundraising been for the Dems since losing to Trump?

Also, how much did the Dems spend not electing Jon Ossoff in Georgia?

Right now the Dems are experiencing division mired in a string of demoralizing political losses. This bodes very well for Pro-Trump Candidates in 2018.


7 posted on 09/08/2017 11:34:04 PM PDT by proudpapa (This is not the tagline you are looking for.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Oshkalaboomboom
Not a chance. Its Uniparty government. Elections determine whether the Crips or Bloods plunder the nation.

After a lifetime of never missing an election, I sat out the congressional portion of the 2016 contest. Yes, I voted for Trump.

The Confessions of Congressman X.

8 posted on 09/09/2017 1:32:48 AM PDT by Jacquerie (ArticleVBlog.com)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Oshkalaboomboom
Why? Primarily,Trump is exposing the DemocRATS Leftism.
9 posted on 09/09/2017 1:48:21 AM PDT by CptnObvious (uestion her now.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Oshkalaboomboom

The Ultimate IRONY supporting a guy working with Socialists Democrats Pelosi & Schummer while wanting to get rid of RINOs! You just joined the Swamp. Trump/Pelosi 2020 your new campaign slogan.


10 posted on 09/09/2017 1:54:12 AM PDT by Captain Beyond (The Hammer of the gods! (Just a cool line from a Led Zep song))
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Slyfox

ROTFLOL........that abut sums it up for the old bag.


11 posted on 09/09/2017 3:14:14 AM PDT by Liz (Four boxes to defend liberty: soap, ballot, jury and ammo; used in that order.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: All
Republicans control legislature/executive in 26 states.

Democrats have control of the legislative and executive in a puny six states.

Population of Dem-controlled states: 50,190,213
Population of GOP-controlled states: 164,139,104

Republican control states holding vast amts of oil, natural gas, minerals,
food supplies, the nation's water sources, thriving commerce....and so on.

Democrats control blue states, bankrupt places where Obamacare is flopping bigtime.

(Excerpt) Read more at atr.org ...


12 posted on 09/09/2017 3:34:16 AM PDT by Liz (Four boxes to defend liberty: soap, ballot, jury and ammo; used in that order.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 11 | View Replies]

To: Oshkalaboomboom

But the Republicans are doing everything possible to limit the Democrat losses.


13 posted on 09/09/2017 3:55:05 AM PDT by DoodleDawg
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Oshkalaboomboom

Incredibly, Schoen and Andrew Stein, while Democrats and admittedly superior analysts, still make use of Gallup polling that in the last election was found to be terribly flawed. Are they getting stale? Losing their touch?


14 posted on 09/09/2017 5:44:00 AM PDT by Bookshelf
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Oshkalaboomboom

The Dems path to victory is clear, go hard left!

Go left, Dems, go left. Victory is yours, if you continue your move to the hard left. It is the only way you can win.

Perez & Ellison need to recruit solidly hard left candidates for the 2018 elections. Start with Antifa, plenty of potential recruits there.


15 posted on 09/09/2017 7:45:48 AM PDT by joshua c (To disrupt the system, we must disrupt our lives)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson