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Hurricane Irma Live Thread Part II
NHC/NOAA ^ | NHC/NOAA | NHC/NOAA

Posted on 09/07/2017 8:09:47 AM PDT by NautiNurse

Dangerous Category 5 Hurricane Irma had a devastating impact on islands in the Caribbean.

Hurricane and Storm surge watches were issued Thursday morning for South Florida. The Florida Keys began evacuating visitors and residents, followed by flood zones in Miami and Miami Beach. Sarasota FL declared a local state of emergency Thursday morning.

Polk County FL Sheriff Grady Judd said Wednesday that law enforcement authorities would check the identities of people who turn up at shelters--and take to jail anyone found to have an active arrest warrant. “If you go to a shelter for Irma and you have a warrant, we’ll gladly escort you to the safe and secure shelter called the Polk County Jail... “If you have a warrant, turn yourself in to the jail — it’s a secure shelter.” Judd also posted that sex offenders and sex predators would not be admitted to the shelters. "We cannot and we will not have innocent children in a shelter with sexual offenders & predators. Period." Judd's statements unleashed a liberal firestorm via Twitter.


Mash image to find lots of satellite imagery links

Public Advisories
NHC Discussions


NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Miami, FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Melbourne, FL
NOAA Local Weather Statements/Radar Jacksonville, FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Charleston, SC
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Wilmington, NC, FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Morehead City, FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Norfolk, VA
Buoy Data Caribbean
Buoy Data SE US & GOM
Buoy Data NC/SC/GA


Hebert Box - Mash Pic for Tutorial
Credit: By J Cricket - Modification of map from Wiki

Hurricane Irma Live Thread I


TOPICS: Breaking News; Extended News; Front Page News; US: Florida; US: Georgia; US: North Carolina; US: South Carolina
KEYWORDS: hurricane; hurricaneirma; hurricanejose; hurricanekatia; irma; livehurricaneirma
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To: metmom
Not any more I'll warrant....

Salt Cay was ordered evacuated two days ago. Hopefully there's no one there now.

301 posted on 09/07/2017 1:55:22 PM PDT by snarkpup (The swamp is draining; and the alligators are allegating.)
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To: dfwgator
I can’t believe UF didn’t cancel the game on Saturday, they moved it to noon, but it makes no sense to even have the game in the first place.

They ought to move the date up or back, even if tickets have to be refunded to many. Holding it on the weekend makes no sense. Although there was a Virginia Tech - N. Carolina State game played last year in the bands of a deteriorating hurricane and it was one of the most entertaining games all year.

302 posted on 09/07/2017 1:56:12 PM PDT by OrangeHoof (Let Trump Be Trump. Would you rather have Hillary?)
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To: metmom
I ***HATE*** sitting in those long 2-3 lane parking lots with cutthroat drivers cutting people off and weaving in and out of traffic at ever opportunity.

I agree completely. The chance the cutters and weavers will get there significantly faster than those they are cutting off is close to zero, and the chance they will cause an accident that will compound the delay and make things worse is a lot higher.

303 posted on 09/07/2017 1:56:58 PM PDT by aposiopetic
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To: NautiNurse

Georgia has implemented one of its evacuation procedures.
Interstate 16 is now flowing inland in both directions
from I-95 in Savannah to Dublin.


304 posted on 09/07/2017 1:57:01 PM PDT by Repeal The 17th (I was conceived in liberty, how about you?)
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To: dirtboy

Roofing rock is no longer allowed for ballast on roofs in hurricane prone areas. The roofs all have to be mechanically fastened.


305 posted on 09/07/2017 1:57:13 PM PDT by foundedonpurpose (Prayers for Gods People! Salvation & Restoration!)
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To: hillarynot

404 page not found


Weather.com has crashed for me. Ruh roh.


306 posted on 09/07/2017 1:57:29 PM PDT by lodi90
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To: Cementjungle

Go to Google maps put in Atlanta airport hotels...take your pick and there are more than this...most have shuttle to and from airport,


307 posted on 09/07/2017 1:58:03 PM PDT by DAVEY CROCKETT (Thank you Free Republic. Thank you President Donald J Trump)
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To: editor-surveyor; metmom

metmom, if you are looking for the image SOURCE, in IE, right click the image and then go to “Properties” at the bottom of the menu that pops up.


308 posted on 09/07/2017 1:58:22 PM PDT by Paul R. (I don't want to be energy free, we want to be energy dominant in terms of the world. -D. Trump)
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To: SomeCallMeTim

I am about 40 miles north of Atlanta and that cold front has brought blue skies and cooler temps into the state.. to be in the 50’s tonight. To continue to at least Saturday. It could change which direction Irma turns. I’ve seen a high keep strong storms at bay.. I just can’t see Irma pushing the high back north and west. However, it looks huge and it looks dangerous.


309 posted on 09/07/2017 1:58:42 PM PDT by frnewsjunkie
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To: OrangeHoof

Memphis at UCF moved to tomorrow from Saturday. 2nd game in a row for Memphis effected by tropical weather. Florida got accused of shutting down the game with LSU for nothing last year, and seem to be overreacting in the other direction this year.


310 posted on 09/07/2017 1:59:17 PM PDT by Ingtar
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Q: Just curious. Why was Houston too big to evacuate, but not Southern Florida?


311 posted on 09/07/2017 2:00:49 PM PDT by mewzilla (Was Obama surveilling John Roberts? Might explain a lot.)
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To: Repeal The 17th

Lots of rooms available an hour or so north of Atlanta. If anyone gets north of Atlanta and needs a hand with anything,just let me know.


312 posted on 09/07/2017 2:01:00 PM PDT by foundedonpurpose (Prayers for Gods People! Salvation & Restoration!)
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To: Ingtar

Jose now a Cat 3 hurricane.


313 posted on 09/07/2017 2:01:13 PM PDT by Parley Baer
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To: The 10th man

Welcome to FreeRebublic,
and may GOD bless you and your family.


314 posted on 09/07/2017 2:03:16 PM PDT by Repeal The 17th (I was conceived in liberty, how about you?)
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To: mewzilla

if this was heading for Houston they would

No one believed Harvey would dump 30-50 inches of rain over the whole metro...

This is more blunt


315 posted on 09/07/2017 2:03:19 PM PDT by janetjanet998
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To: Paul R.

.
Are you actually still using “internet explorer?”
.


316 posted on 09/07/2017 2:03:26 PM PDT by editor-surveyor (Freepers: Not as smart as I'd hoped they'd be)
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To: frnewsjunkie

Hi neighbor!


317 posted on 09/07/2017 2:03:48 PM PDT by foundedonpurpose (Prayers for Gods People! Salvation & Restoration!)
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To: janetjanet998

Hurricane Irma Discussion Number 35
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL112017
500 PM EDT Thu Sep 07 2017

Hurricane Irma continues to have an impressive satellite
presentation with a very distinct eye. There is not much more to add
about the current intensity except that numerous data from the Air
Force reconnaissance plane indicate that the winds remain at 150
kt.

The environment along the future track of Irma is favorable for the
hurricane to maintain most of its current intensity, although some
fluctuations are likely due to eyewall replacement cycles which are
difficult to predict. There are no obvious reasons why Irma should
not remain a powerful major hurricane for the next 3 days while it
is heading for Florida or its adjacent surroundings. Thereafter, an
increase in the wind shear and the interaction with land should lead
to gradual weakening.

The best estimate of the initial motion is toward the west-northwest
or 285 degrees at 14 kt. Irma is being steered by the flow around
the south side of the subtropical ridge, but in 2 or 3 days the
hurricane is expected to be located on the southwestern edge of the
aforementioned ridge, and a turn to the northwest and north-
northwest should then begin. The forecast track for the first 2 days
was adjusted a little bit to the south given that the ridge to the
north continues to be strong, and the ECMWF and HFIP corrected
consensus (HCCA) models have shifted southward a little bit. These
two models have been performing very well during Irma. This
adjustment also results in a westward shift of the track near
Florida and northward.

KEY MESSAGES:

1. Irma is a potentially catastrophic category 5 hurricane and will
continue to bring life-threatening wind, storm surge, and rainfall
hazards to the northern coast of Hispaniola tonight. These hazards
are already spreading across the Turks and Caicos and will affect
the Bahamas tonight through Saturday. Hurricane conditions will also
spread over portions of the north coast of Cuba, especially over
the adjacent Cuban Keys through Saturday.

2. It has become more likely that Irma will make landfall in
southern Florida as a dangerous major hurricane, and bring
life-threatening storm surge and wind impacts to much of the state.
A Hurricane Watch is in effect for South Florida, the Florida Keys,
Lake Okeechobee, and Florida Bay, and will likely be expanded
northward tonight.

3. A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for portions of South Florida
and the Florida Keys. This means there is the possibility of
life-threatening inundation from rising water moving inland from the
coastline during the next 48 hours in these areas. The Potential
Storm Surge Flooding Map depicts a reasonable worst-case scenario -
the amount of inundation that has a 10 percent chance of being
exceeded. Because the Flooding Map is based on inputs that extend
through 72 hours, it best represents the flooding potential in the
watch area.

4. There is a chance of direct impacts in portions of Georgia,
South Carolina, and North Carolina, but it is too early to specify
the magnitude and location of these impacts.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 07/2100Z 20.9N 71.1W 150 KT 175 MPH
12H 08/0600Z 21.6N 73.1W 145 KT 165 MPH
24H 08/1800Z 22.2N 75.5W 140 KT 160 MPH
36H 09/0600Z 22.7N 77.6W 135 KT 155 MPH
48H 09/1800Z 23.4N 79.3W 135 KT 155 MPH
72H 10/1800Z 26.2N 80.7W 115 KT 130 MPH...INLAND
96H 11/1800Z 31.5N 82.0W 80 KT 90 MPH...INLAND
120H 12/1800Z 36.0N 84.0W 40 KT 45 MPH...INLAND


318 posted on 09/07/2017 2:04:14 PM PDT by janetjanet998
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To: lodi90

Yes, come over to Alabama. We are not supposed to get much weather from it. Check Montgomery, Birmingham, Huntsville. I know there are still rooms available here on I-65 at Hope Hull just outside of Montgomery.


319 posted on 09/07/2017 2:05:32 PM PDT by Himyar (Comes A Stillness)
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To: Cementjungle

Use the other travel sites Travelocity and Obits...you will get deal on line, I have worked in a hotels. They never gives deals when you call on phone direct to the hotel.


320 posted on 09/07/2017 2:05:34 PM PDT by DAVEY CROCKETT (Thank you Free Republic. Thank you President Donald J Trump)
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