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Hurricane Irma Live Thread Part II
NHC/NOAA ^ | NHC/NOAA | NHC/NOAA

Posted on 09/07/2017 8:09:47 AM PDT by NautiNurse

Dangerous Category 5 Hurricane Irma had a devastating impact on islands in the Caribbean.

Hurricane and Storm surge watches were issued Thursday morning for South Florida. The Florida Keys began evacuating visitors and residents, followed by flood zones in Miami and Miami Beach. Sarasota FL declared a local state of emergency Thursday morning.

Polk County FL Sheriff Grady Judd said Wednesday that law enforcement authorities would check the identities of people who turn up at shelters--and take to jail anyone found to have an active arrest warrant. “If you go to a shelter for Irma and you have a warrant, we’ll gladly escort you to the safe and secure shelter called the Polk County Jail... “If you have a warrant, turn yourself in to the jail — it’s a secure shelter.” Judd also posted that sex offenders and sex predators would not be admitted to the shelters. "We cannot and we will not have innocent children in a shelter with sexual offenders & predators. Period." Judd's statements unleashed a liberal firestorm via Twitter.


Mash image to find lots of satellite imagery links

Public Advisories
NHC Discussions


NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Miami, FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Melbourne, FL
NOAA Local Weather Statements/Radar Jacksonville, FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Charleston, SC
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Wilmington, NC, FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Morehead City, FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Norfolk, VA
Buoy Data Caribbean
Buoy Data SE US & GOM
Buoy Data NC/SC/GA


Hebert Box - Mash Pic for Tutorial
Credit: By J Cricket - Modification of map from Wiki

Hurricane Irma Live Thread I


TOPICS: Breaking News; Extended News; Front Page News; US: Florida; US: Georgia; US: North Carolina; US: South Carolina
KEYWORDS: hurricane; hurricaneirma; hurricanejose; hurricanekatia; irma; livehurricaneirma
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To: Ingtar
So, in their faith, it is turning. No matter what their eyes tell them.

The Weather Channel is holding to their original tracking. The eye is west of Miami but they just showed a graphic of it turning around to head back east to hit Miami.

2,621 posted on 09/09/2017 4:09:46 PM PDT by bgill (CDC site, "We don't know how people are infected with Ebola.")
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To: thecodont
That image looks eerily familiar. Sort of like the "planet killer" machine on Star Trek TOS.

Heh, just a few hours ago I made the same observation in a text to my cousin. "Right out of Hell, I SAW it..."

2,622 posted on 09/09/2017 4:20:51 PM PDT by Charles Martel (Progressives are the crab grass in the lawn of life.)
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To: mewzilla

Hopefully not this one....

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X-DxGoIVUWo


2,623 posted on 09/09/2017 4:44:54 PM PDT by Kozak (DIVERSITY+PROXIMITY=CONFLICT)
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To: dirtboy

Here we are hoping for a more movement west .
It’s a odd storm with many surprises .


2,624 posted on 09/09/2017 4:50:57 PM PDT by ncalburt (ll)
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To: Ingtar
I think you are confused. I have never heard anyone blame the path of a storm on global warming. The forecast is dictated by the results of using multiple supercomputers costing tens of millions of dollars each.

To date, they have been very good. They predicted Harvey's landfall near Corpus Christie and they were off by only 50 miles...not too shabby, as well as, accurately predicting 50 inches of rain. And so it was.

2,625 posted on 09/09/2017 4:56:35 PM PDT by Dave W
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To: boycott

Thanks - cool image, but what I actually want is a plot of the center’s track, maybe in 30 minute increments...


2,626 posted on 09/09/2017 4:56:42 PM PDT by Paul R. (I don't want to be energy free, we want to be energy dominant in terms of the world. -D. Trump)
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To: Charles Martel
"Right out of Hell, I SAW it..."

That applies all too well...

2,627 posted on 09/09/2017 4:58:09 PM PDT by Paul R. (I don't want to be energy free, we want to be energy dominant in terms of the world. -D. Trump)
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To: Fawn

2,628 posted on 09/09/2017 4:59:17 PM PDT by Kozak (DIVERSITY+PROXIMITY=CONFLICT)
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To: snarkytart
Still Cat III

Still winds at 125mph

Still moving west along the coast of Cuba.

2,629 posted on 09/09/2017 5:05:47 PM PDT by Dustoff45 (Pass the spicy catsup. We've got Trump now.)
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To: Dustoff45

sees to be undergoing gan eye wall replacement again..winds down a bit

LOCATION...23.3N 80.8W
ABOUT 30 MI...45 KM ENE OF VARADERO CUBA
ABOUT 110 MI...175 KM SE OF KEY WEST FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...932 MB...27.52 INCHES


2,630 posted on 09/09/2017 6:17:26 PM PDT by janetjanet998
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To: Dustoff45
This gif suggested a 'jump' NNW at the end:


2,631 posted on 09/09/2017 6:54:35 PM PDT by alancarp (George Orwell was an optimist.)
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To: alancarp
This gif suggested a 'jump' NNW at the end:

And NOAA radar out of Key West shows the same trend. Look like Irma has finally made its turn.

2,632 posted on 09/09/2017 7:00:06 PM PDT by Dustoff45 (Pass the spicy catsup. We've got Trump now.)
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To: Dustoff45

Just found two tweets from meteorologists independently suggesting the feared rapid/explosive intensification is now underway.


2,633 posted on 09/09/2017 7:33:21 PM PDT by alancarp (George Orwell was an optimist.)
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To: alancarp
Oh and this scenario does not make me happy, either.

That's my house it's moondancing around for 3 days in that big circle (worse: Nashville will be flooded, big time).

2,634 posted on 09/09/2017 7:37:39 PM PDT by alancarp (George Orwell was an optimist.)
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To: alancarp
New Thread
2,635 posted on 09/09/2017 7:47:33 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Tear down the Mexican Carrier plant and use the materials to build the wall)
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To: NautiNurse

Dang it... wrong browser window!


2,636 posted on 09/09/2017 8:04:47 PM PDT by alancarp (George Orwell was an optimist.)
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To: Dave W; dfwgator
Read the post (#2163) right before yours. GIGO!! ("Garbage in = Garbage out").

~~~~~~~~~~

With "tens of millions of dollars of supercomputers", you just get more garbage out -- faster...

That is one of the major problems with "Climate Change": an infinitesimal error in starting assumptions (or ignoring a single other influencing factor) yields mountainous error after projection. And, the farther out you try to project, the worse the error and divergence gets.

~~~~~~~~~~~~

Nobody (with "tens of millions of dollars of supercomputers") can predict where that huge hurricane will be one day from now. What makes them think that "tens of millions of dollars of supercomputers" can help them forecast the effect of an infinitesimally small change in the infinitesimally small fraction of the atmosphere that is CO2 -- and extend that asinine forecast out across DECADES?

That's especially true when they start with the asinine assumption that a minuscule micro-fraction of a single gas in the entire atmosphere actually affects the whole in any measurable manner -- without tracking the effects of every other possible atmospheric component -- at the same time..

MOOSAKE!!!

Physical chemist sends...

2,637 posted on 09/09/2017 8:17:17 PM PDT by TXnMA (Remember the Alamo! Remember Goliad! REPEAT San Jacinto!!!)
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To: TXnMA

blah...blah...blah

They were only 50 miles incorrect with Harvey and they accurately forecasted 50 inches of rain, but there is always someone who wants to pretend they are smarter and loves to trash someone or a group that actually makes a difference.


2,638 posted on 09/09/2017 8:46:18 PM PDT by Dave W
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To: fatima

Thank you for your prayers. The US military flew Americans to Puerto Rico ahead of the arrival of hurricane Jose. We are all very relieved.


2,639 posted on 09/09/2017 8:49:04 PM PDT by Freee-dame (Best election ever.)
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To: FamiliarFace

Freeper Travis McGee, an author himself, named himself after the main character in the John MacDonald books.


2,640 posted on 09/09/2017 8:54:52 PM PDT by Freee-dame (Best election ever.)
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