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Hurricane Irma Live Thread Part II
NHC/NOAA ^ | NHC/NOAA | NHC/NOAA

Posted on 09/07/2017 8:09:47 AM PDT by NautiNurse

Dangerous Category 5 Hurricane Irma had a devastating impact on islands in the Caribbean.

Hurricane and Storm surge watches were issued Thursday morning for South Florida. The Florida Keys began evacuating visitors and residents, followed by flood zones in Miami and Miami Beach. Sarasota FL declared a local state of emergency Thursday morning.

Polk County FL Sheriff Grady Judd said Wednesday that law enforcement authorities would check the identities of people who turn up at shelters--and take to jail anyone found to have an active arrest warrant. “If you go to a shelter for Irma and you have a warrant, we’ll gladly escort you to the safe and secure shelter called the Polk County Jail... “If you have a warrant, turn yourself in to the jail — it’s a secure shelter.” Judd also posted that sex offenders and sex predators would not be admitted to the shelters. "We cannot and we will not have innocent children in a shelter with sexual offenders & predators. Period." Judd's statements unleashed a liberal firestorm via Twitter.


Mash image to find lots of satellite imagery links

Public Advisories
NHC Discussions


NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Miami, FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Melbourne, FL
NOAA Local Weather Statements/Radar Jacksonville, FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Charleston, SC
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Wilmington, NC, FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Morehead City, FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Norfolk, VA
Buoy Data Caribbean
Buoy Data SE US & GOM
Buoy Data NC/SC/GA


Hebert Box - Mash Pic for Tutorial
Credit: By J Cricket - Modification of map from Wiki

Hurricane Irma Live Thread I


TOPICS: Breaking News; Extended News; Front Page News; US: Florida; US: Georgia; US: North Carolina; US: South Carolina
KEYWORDS: hurricane; hurricaneirma; hurricanejose; hurricanekatia; irma; livehurricaneirma
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To: MplsSteve

100% on all points, yes.


181 posted on 09/07/2017 11:07:57 AM PDT by alancarp (George Orwell was an optimist.)
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To: NautiNurse
Slight shift to the west for the latest Euro run, and stronger:


182 posted on 09/07/2017 11:08:17 AM PDT by dirtboy
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To: NautiNurse; cll; All

I spoke with my son near San Juan, Puerto Rico around 5 pm Wednesday. He said they were prepared and not worried as the eye was 50 miles north of PR. He sent me this link for good weather visuals for PR and nearby lands.

http://marquitosweather.com/


183 posted on 09/07/2017 11:08:18 AM PDT by gleeaikin
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To: DouglasKC

Hurricanes don’t steer themselves, they react to weather patterns around them. Once the high noses out, the trof to the north becomes the dominant steering force and basically pulls the hurricane towards it. Think of a tarp suspended in air with a stone in the middle. Roll a marble. The marble will roll down towards the cone created by the stone.


184 posted on 09/07/2017 11:11:21 AM PDT by dirtboy
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To: DCBryan1

Didn’t see the new thread so haven’t seen if this was posted yet, but Pinellas County (west coast of FL) has issued a mandatory evacuation order for Zone A and mobile homes beginning Friday AM. They will vote tomorrow to decide whether to issue mandatory order for Zone B and C.


185 posted on 09/07/2017 11:12:38 AM PDT by pinkandgreenmom
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To: NautiNurse
From above: What Saint Martin looks like after Hurricane Irma

More at https://qz.com/1071894/hurricane-irma-what-the-damage-on-saint-martin-looks-like-from-above/

Trump's property BEFORE Hurricane Irma. Haven't found an AFTER Hurricane Irma picture yet.


186 posted on 09/07/2017 11:13:14 AM PDT by Jim W N
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To: DouglasKC

The Hurricane is moving from the tropics to the temperate mid latitudes. Tropical trade winds move east to west. Temperate winds move West to east. The Hurricane is rotating counter clockwise. So as it moves north, there will be drag in the northern section of the hurricane. Drag will pull it. Or the temperate flow will steer it. We just saw that in Harvey, but Harvey stalled for 4 days. If that happens near Miami, we can rename it Atlantis.


187 posted on 09/07/2017 11:14:53 AM PDT by justa-hairyape (The user name is sarcastic. Although at times it may not appear that way.)
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To: NautiNurse

Live cams in the Virgin Islands are all knocked out or off line. Before the strom hit, one of them had some time lapse photos from Crown hill looking East. The first one showed a sunny day, then storms clouds coming from the East and the last one showed nothing but gray clouds and rain BUT you could see large objects, probably roofs and trees limbs, flying in the air.

Been there after the last major hurricane and the damage was awful. Not repaired for some years later if at all.

God help those folks.


188 posted on 09/07/2017 11:22:08 AM PDT by wildbill (If you check behind the shower curtain for a slasher, and find one.... what's your plan?)
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To: dirtboy; NautiNurse; Rebelbase; Romulus; PeteB570; All

In May 2006, I drove from Miami to New Orleans along the Gulf coast. Visited a straw bale home near Pensacola. Two foo-thick trees had blown down near the house, and in the neighborhood, a number of homes still had blue tarps on their roofs a year after the big storms. There was absolutely no damage to the straw bale house. FU big bad wolf.


189 posted on 09/07/2017 11:26:34 AM PDT by gleeaikin
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To: Jim 0216

Only 2 possible media narratives on Trump’s property:
1. God destroyed it because Trump’s evil.
2. The Devil protected it.

That’s some serious, pervasive damage. Looks like everyone is in the middle of installing rooftop swimming pools.


190 posted on 09/07/2017 11:28:42 AM PDT by mrsmith (Dumb sluts: Lifeblood of the Media, Backbone of the Democrat/RINO Party!)
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To: dirtboy

Sonofabiscuit! That new ECMWF run goes right up the gut. West coast Floridians need to pay closer attention.


191 posted on 09/07/2017 11:29:59 AM PDT by numberonepal (First they came for Sarah, then they came for Herman, and now they've come for Trump.)
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To: janetjanet998

Euro taking it more up the center of the Peninsula now. For anyone along the SE Florida coast who thinks that is a good thing for them, realize you will be on the stronger side of the storm with that track, and just about all of the pensinsula would become impassible.


192 posted on 09/07/2017 11:31:15 AM PDT by dirtboy
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To: Black Agnes
Both these articles point out that those high rise building cranes will become missiles during a cat4/5 event. Yikes.

Saw on local news last night they will not tether the cranes. Instead, they will let them swing with the winds like a weather vane.

193 posted on 09/07/2017 11:32:27 AM PDT by numberonepal (First they came for Sarah, then they came for Herman, and now they've come for Trump.)
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To: numberonepal

All of the Florida Peninsula has been in the cone. They needed to be paying attention all along.


194 posted on 09/07/2017 11:33:04 AM PDT by dirtboy
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To: dirtboy
All of the Florida Peninsula has been in the cone. They needed to be paying attention all along.

Thank you for saving me from repeating it again.

195 posted on 09/07/2017 11:34:41 AM PDT by NautiNurse (Tear down the Mexican Carrier plant and use the materials to build the wall)
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To: magna carta
Looks like my sister on Anna Maria Island will be OK

I'm not so sure about that. I'm in Pass A Grille just to the north side of the mouth of the bay. After the newest ECMWF model I'm back in fight or flight mode. If the storm passes 80.5 long, it's FLIGHT for me.

196 posted on 09/07/2017 11:37:42 AM PDT by numberonepal (First they came for Sarah, then they came for Herman, and now they've come for Trump.)
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To: NautiNurse; dirtboy

Well you two know that I, of course as a Cane Geek, have been paying attention. However, it got a little bit more real with the last models. West of 80.5 long and we bug out.


197 posted on 09/07/2017 11:43:58 AM PDT by numberonepal (First they came for Sarah, then they came for Herman, and now they've come for Trump.)
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To: numberonepal

“Saw on local news last night they will not tether the cranes. Instead, they will let them swing with the winds like a weather vane.”

Not a good idea.

https://www.liveleak.com/view?i=e5d_1504754266&comments=1


198 posted on 09/07/2017 11:46:55 AM PDT by Rebelbase
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To: NautiNurse
Irma has now moved into the field of the colorized GOES CONUS IR satellite loop:

Click the pic or the link above for the current animated loop...

~~~~~~~~

Even though the west-east flow of Pacific moisture is still strong, it appears that the TS-remnant is staying put in the western Gulf -- and may be weakening. I expect that is good news for Florida...

199 posted on 09/07/2017 11:49:21 AM PDT by TXnMA (Remember the Alamo! Remember Goliad! REPEAT San Jacinto!!!)
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To: dirtboy

Your trend graphics are very useful. Old “ Weather Eyes” know, watch the trend, not the storm, till about 24 hours out, then watch both.

As Matthew proved, getting raked during an oblique passage sucks.

As Katrina proved, head-on sucks much worse.


200 posted on 09/07/2017 11:50:48 AM PDT by jeffers
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