Hurricane Irma Live Thread

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[rodguy911]

I’m getting out. Going to the Villages. Even if it hits there it won’t hit as a 5 which is cruel and unusual....

[dirtboy]

Central Cuba is pretty flat, the mountains are in the far SE.

[eyedigress]

I have a HUGE trip set up for Hatteras. I don’t wish this monster on anyone. I was hoping for a trek that takes it into open water. I doesn’t seem like that will happen.

[rdl6989]

Okeechobee hurricane of 1928:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1928_Okeechobee_hurricane

[PJ-Comix]

I’m thinking that Irma will be like a repeat of Isaac in 2012 in terms of track and rain.

[alancarp]

What is the problem with Okeechobee for us out of staters?

Not sure what anyone else might be thinking on the subject, but a lot of rainfall on that lake and in the Everglades would tend to 'flush' the swamp... most likely toward Miami.

While that would cause locally heavy flooding (hey, everything is low-level over there anyway), it would also flush the snakes and gators back into populated areas.

[zzeeman]

https://twitter.com/RyanMaue/status/905136481035046912

"No change to ECMWF 12z forecast from last night's model run. A long sojourn over Cuba & then a hard right turn north across FL keys."

[palmer]

Not my first rodeo,I've experienced every storm in South Fla. since 46.

Ok then. Think Donna 1960 minus the track after FL (Irma will most likely turn west, not race up the coast).

Irma will only be Donna if it maintains most of its strength. In contrast Irma will interact with Puerto Rico, Hispaniola, and possibly Cuba on the forecast track. So very likely will be weaker when it gets there.

[rodguy911]

Thanks very much NN.
I do to,although looks like the villages may see some action as well,but still nothing like what we will get in the keys.Got an Fr mail for ya.

[Veto!]

Hopefully, Hemingway kitties and every other. cat on the island will be taken to the solid coral rock Hemingway House and kept away from windows. The house will stand even if everything else blows away.

[American Quilter]

I’m getting out. Going to the Villages. Even if it hits there it won’t hit as a 5 which is cruel and unusual....

Glad to hear it. Hope the storm will be less than everyone's currently predicting.

[metmom]

Excellent images.....

[rodguy911]

You just hit on the entire problem with tracking Irma,its tough to do. The tracking has changed almost every day and may change more before it hits.

Right now it looks like an initial hit at the keys and then into the gulf with a second hit somewhere on the West coast but that could easily change.

[American Quilter]

...Her response was “?”. She had no idea about the hurricane. She does not watch TV. Goodness mercy child, I’m in Michigan and I know about it!

Good thing she has you!

[thesearethetimes...]

Lord help her 😟 You cannot live in Florida, or for that matter, anywhere in the Southeastern/Coastal US, and not keep an eye out for these wet wonders, from June through even November 😕 Prayers up.

[cll]

Yes, that’s cutting it close. That’ll probably change. There’s just so many people that need to get out, mainly because some hotels cannot guarantee their safety here or in the neighboring islands.

[rodguy911]

heres barbuda buoy near the antilles
87 degree water

N ( 360 deg true )
5-day plot - Wind Speed Wind Speed (WSPD): 8.9 kts
5-day plot - Wind Gust Wind Gust (GST): 15.0 kts
5-day plot - Atmospheric Pressure Atmospheric Pressure (PRES): 29.70 in
5-day plot - Air Temperature Air Temperature (ATMP): 81.0 °F
5-day plot - Water Temperature Water Temperature (WTMP): 87.4 °F
5-day plot - Wind Speed at 10 Meters Wind Speed at 10 meters (WSPD10M): 9.7 kts
5-day plot - Wind Speed at 10 Meters Wind Speed at 20 meters (WSPD20M): 9.7 kts

[NautiNurse]

One of these days, Montavius Oliver I (Ollie) will challenge Magick to a poseur contest :o)

[rodguy911]

yeah for sure,no telling about avaliablity for hotel/motels anywhere in Florida much less prices.
We need a source for that.

[metmom]

A very similar path, too, no less.

I’m guessing the loss of life in that one was because people didn’t know it was coming until it hit.

Forecasting now can help with that and at least warn people.