Hurricane Irma Live Thread

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[NautiNurse]

While thoughts and prayers are with our Texas FRiends and neighbors, we are at the peak of the Atlantic Tropical Storm season. Hurricane Irma continues its trek from Cape Verde across the pond and toward the Hebert Box (see below). People with interests in the Southeastern U.S. and Gulf of Mexico should be alert to the forecast path updates for this powerful storm. It is important to note that the average NHC track errors are about 175 and 225 statute miles at days 4 and 5, respectively.

Hurricane Irma originally had a small wind field. In the past 24 hours, however, the wind field has expanded with hurriance force winds up to 40 miles from the center, and tropical storm force winds up to 140 miles from the storm center.

FL Governor Rick Scott reminds Floridians: Families should take time today to make sure you have a disaster plan and fully-stocked Disaster Supply Kit. Florida residents from West Palm Beach to Tampa Bay are heeding the alert. Store shelves are emptying of bottled water.

Mash image to find lots of satellite imagery links

Public Advisories
NHC Discussions
NOAA Local Weather Statements/Radar San Juan, Puerto Rico
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Miami, FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Key West, FL
Buoy Data Caribbean
Buoy Data SE US & GOM

Hebert Box - Mash Pic for Tutorial
Credit: By J Cricket - Modification of map from Wiki

[SE Mom]

I’m soooo glad you’re going inland. Were you able to convince your kids?

[metmom]

WOW!!!!!

[Fishtalk]

My sister-in-law lives in The Villages, RG.

Sister lives in Naples.

[metmom]

There's also this....

https://twitter.com/philklotzbach

Philip Klotzbach‏Verified account @philklotzbach 57m57 minutes agoPhilip Klotzbach‏Verified account @philklotzbach 57m57 minutes ago

#Irma has now surpassed Luis (1995) as the leading Accumulated Cyclone Energy generator in the tropical Atlantic (10-20N, 60-20W) on record.

[metmom]

Good move.

Both in helping things speed up and in PR.

[Veto!]

Thx JanetJanet. I’m not seeing Texas mentioned, but as we all know, hurricanes can be temperamental, change course drastically.

[janetjanet998]

looks like the NHC is giving alot of weight to the EURO model for the updated track(west)

[dfwddr]

Thank you for this thread NautiNurse. Just moved to SWF (Rotonda) a little over a month ago. Looking for all the level headed advice I can get at this point. Was thinking of bugging out, but I75 N is already a mess.

[pugmama]

I don’t like that “up the middle of the state” spaghetti either. It looks like it might be coming our way to upstate SC. There has been NO discussion on local radio/TV re this possibility. Nothing also from local officials. Thank you for this thread as it is keeping us informed as we get ready for possible need to evacuate.

[SE Mom]

Sorry, was out for awhile, but I see others answered your Lake O question. It’s got some dam issues, they’re about 1/2 way through a rebuild and upgrade project. Given the history with hurricanes coming through the area it’s unsettling. Plus, it’s a storm feeder. WARM water.

[nutmeg]

We are on the Maine coast for a few days' vacation. I've been trying to keep up with your excellent, informative thread, NN.

This monster looks like a bad one. Prayers up for you, and for all FReepers in Irma's path. Hope all of you stay safe, and don't suffer any property damage...

[NautiNurse]

We are waiting for County Emergency Management Ops recommendations. Carefully note how strongly the recommendation is worded for your flood zone. If “mandatory” evac, the barrier islands are expected to leave first. We have only had to evac once here in almost 20 years, and it was a surprisingly smooth process just north of you in Tampa Bay area.

[metmom]

There was another weather event I recall, maybe Sandy?, that the EURO models were the most accurate for.

I don’t recall which but it seems to me that they have a better handle on it for some reason.

[NautiNurse]

Thanks for your good thoughts, FRiend.

[metmom]

I-75 is a mess on a good day.

I cannot imagine it now.

[C210N]

Looks like St. Martin ...

Or, Antigua and Barbuda. I think Antigua gets hit first if it keeps up westward a few hours without a northward turn.

[metmom]

That’s OK. People have lives. I understand.

And yes, I get the situation better now.

[RayChuang88]

While Irma is of the most concern, Jose could turn into a hurricane within the next few days. And Depression Thirteen in the Gulf of Mexico could become Katia within 4-5 days and the conditions off the west coast of Africa are right for another tropical storm to form within the next 14-15 days, which will be named Lee. Yikes.

[aMorePerfectUnion]

Anguilla Live webcam

(takes a minute to load a live video - must be heavy use)

[metmom]

I just saw TD 13 show up on weather underground.

*sigh*, what a mess.

I suppose the only thing that can be hoped for is that Irma stirs up the Gulf waters enough to cool them some and moderate anything that might happen in the Gulf.

But Irma is not expected near there for some days yet and that gives the new TD time to build and form.