Hurricane Irma Live Thread

NHC/NOAA ^ | NHC/NOAA | NHC/NOAA

[NautiNurse]

While thoughts and prayers are with our Texas FRiends and neighbors, we are at the peak of the Atlantic Tropical Storm season. Hurricane Irma continues its trek from Cape Verde across the pond and toward the Hebert Box (see below). People with interests in the Southeastern U.S. and Gulf of Mexico should be alert to the forecast path updates for this powerful storm. It is important to note that the average NHC track errors are about 175 and 225 statute miles at days 4 and 5, respectively.

Hurricane Irma originally had a small wind field. In the past 24 hours, however, the wind field has expanded with hurriance force winds up to 40 miles from the center, and tropical storm force winds up to 140 miles from the storm center.

FL Governor Rick Scott reminds Floridians: Families should take time today to make sure you have a disaster plan and fully-stocked Disaster Supply Kit. Florida residents from West Palm Beach to Tampa Bay are heeding the alert. Store shelves are emptying of bottled water.

Mash image to find lots of satellite imagery links

Public Advisories
NHC Discussions
NOAA Local Weather Statements/Radar San Juan, Puerto Rico
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Miami, FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Key West, FL
Buoy Data Caribbean
Buoy Data SE US & GOM

Hebert Box - Mash Pic for Tutorial
Credit: By J Cricket - Modification of map from Wiki

[KC Burke]

I think you better be doing some teaching and training of others, as you are a gifted communicator

[eyedigress]

It’s gonna turn. I think it may go right up the spine of Florida. Landfall at Palm Beach.

JMHO

[pinkandgreenmom]

My son tried to get gas at three gas stations in Clearwater on his way home from school half an hour ago. He couldn’t even get into the parking lots of any of them.

[rodguy911]

Yeah its a cool place in may its full of tarpon,permit there as well.

[KC Burke]

That “turn” has nothing to with Cuber.

I don't disagree, but they will happen within hours of each other and the strength of the storm will be altered or not based upon its brush with the Cuban and Hispaniola mountains

[rodguy911]

wow big assed storm

[rodguy911]

Thanks very much.
Steering currents on this have to be really tough to figure.

[SomeCallMeTim]

Thanks for this...

I remembered Gilbert being 888 mb, and was thinking hat 927 was still pretty high.

Seems to me that the wind speeds are inflated these days. Or, maybe we just measure them more accurately? I think the pressure is a better way to compare the relative strength of historical storms.

Gilbert was a HUGH (And series) storm... filled the entire gulf. They totally missed the prediction on it. Kept saying it would turn north, but it never did. Made a VERY straight bee-line into Northern Mexico.

[KC Burke]

I think Roland is going to get a cancelation email shortly with best wishes for next year.

[rodguy911]

Perhaps a sidelight of this may be a cleansing of Florida bay depending on how the storm interacts with the bay if at all.
We have had serious problems with algae blooms. Sometimes a storm will stir up all the bad stuff on the bottom and we get rid of some of it.

[DAVEY CROCKETT]

I am with you I don’t see it turning that much north unless it starts now...

[SomeCallMeTim]

Looks like St. Martin (One of my favorite spots) is about to get a good cleaning! Everything not made of concrete or stone is gonna have to be rebuilt.

We have a couple of neighborhood kids honeymooning in Jamaica till Saturday.... I THINK they’re OK... but, am getting a little worried.

[saleman]

I think you’re right. Having a boat rally with about 80 boats and 150 people registered.

Had the rally at Steinhatchee last year. Hurricane came through the week before.

[rodguy911]

Scary as anything I have seen.
Thanks for the comparison. Makes it so much easier to get a picture of just how big this thing really is.

[rodguy911]

We leave Thurs. at 4:00 am,gotta beat the traffic.

[rodguy911]

Better than the Keys but don’t plan on fishing.
By the way Roland is one hell of a fisherman. I built a rod for him one time and the next day he caught two swordfish on it. One over 200 lbs. standing up!The guy is the real deal.

[eyedigress]

Fair Enough. As I am watching this Front I see that it will slow down. If this storm escapes those currents it will be right in the Gulf and the Keys will be wrecked. If that happens look for another Mississippi hell storm.

If this Front can “grab” that storm the the East Coast is going to get wrecked. I would suggest most on the ATL side to book north towards GA.

[dirtboy]

Thanks. I just try to put out information so folks can make their own informed opinions about the storm. The size plot shows that concern about where the center tracks is just part of the equation. There will be a lot of hurricane to the east of the center, so a track along the FL west coast will impact the entire peninsula.

[rdl6989]

I liked his tv show. He may still be on tv but I haven’t seen him on the air in a long time.

[DAVEY CROCKETT]

You k ow if they think they need that gas to leave, they better go now. I have seen I95 backed up from Jacksonville down to Dayton. I can’t imagine if Al south Flordia think they might leave after today.