Posted on 09/04/2017 2:02:19 PM PDT by NautiNurse
While thoughts and prayers are with our Texas FRiends and neighbors, we are at the peak of the Atlantic Tropical Storm season. Hurricane Irma continues its trek from Cape Verde across the pond and toward the Hebert Box (see below). People with interests in the Southeastern U.S. and Gulf of Mexico should be alert to the forecast path updates for this powerful storm. It is important to note that the average NHC track errors are about 175 and 225 statute miles at days 4 and 5, respectively.
Hurricane Irma originally had a small wind field. In the past 24 hours, however, the wind field has expanded with hurriance force winds up to 40 miles from the center, and tropical storm force winds up to 140 miles from the storm center.
FL Governor Rick Scott reminds Floridians: Families should take time today to make sure you have a disaster plan and fully-stocked Disaster Supply Kit. Florida residents from West Palm Beach to Tampa Bay are heeding the alert. Store shelves are emptying of bottled water.
Mash image to find lots of satellite imagery links
Public Advisories
NHC Discussions
NOAA Local Weather Statements/Radar San Juan, Puerto Rico
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Miami, FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Key West, FL
Buoy Data Caribbean
Buoy Data SE US & GOM
Hebert Box - Mash Pic for Tutorial
Credit: By J Cricket - Modification of map from Wiki
Interesting. So Irma will just climb up the cold front due to her rotational direction ?
Correct that.. not DUE west, but.. more westward than the current track.
I guess, tomorrow will give us a better idea.
It’s times like this that I wish I’d pursued meterology :)
If you have a smartphone, put the Zello app on it & add the following channels:
Hurricane Irma
Florida severe Weather
There have been people providing commentary while on 75.
Well, it’s a week away from me and two days over land should tame the winds.
But I remember a few years back when one sat over Richmond Va and dumped an unbelievable amount of rain.
More or less, yea... Hurricanes interact with the wall of High Pressure coming at them... That, and the impact of land
Just passing this along for my Floridian friends and family...or anyone up the coast that Irma might slam. Something to think about as it gets closer.
As we prepare for Hurricane Irma, make sure to download the app “Zello PTT Walkie Talkie”. It’s an app that the people in Texas used after Hurricane Harvey. In case cell service goes down, the app allows you to communicate with your friends and family. You can find it in the app store for iPhone users and the play store for Android users.
SHARE SHARE SHARE! Let your friends and family know!
Just saw this on Facebook.
Last year (or before) I watched a website that showed where the plane was in real time. I tried flightradar24; but it won't let me see anything anymore unless I risk whitelisting its adware (which I won't).
I found this one, which is a bit clunkier, but seems to work:
My local CBS news reported that Barbuda had 100% of the houses destroyed.
Well, I’m here in extreme NE GA-right at the GA/NC border and the present temp is 56 degrees! Predicted to hit 53 tonight but I expect it to go even lower. The next 5 days it’s predicted to get into the 40’s a couple nights!
Hurricanes feed on warmth. It’s why they’re so worried about it going into the Gulf. It would surprise the heck out of me if it manages to hold together in these present temps-at least, in these parts...
Thank you NN! I found those after I asked by question. Your speedy response is amazing. I also want to thank you for putting these live threads together. I think this is the best information on the internets - by far!
Ps. My route, if I decide to leave, is from PB to Ft. Myers. Thanks too to all contributors.
There is also a FL511 app you can download to your cellphone...
(I DID check this before I posted. It is real. Doing penance for the dead link I posted a little while ago...)
Safe travels—please check in when you can.
18.8N, 65.4W <- current as of 2100Z Wed.
19.6N, 67.6W
20.7N, 70.4W
21.5N, 73.1W
22,2N, 75.6W
That's 2 days' worth. If the actual center ends up north of those points, then that's good news. If on the line or south or it... not so good.
Right now (from this image), I'm looking at 19.2N, 66.1W.
That's a 0.4/0.7 differential from the last fix, which would be slightly above the line...except that this gif suggests that they 'rounded up' with the 2100Z fix. We'll check again later on... maybe midday Thursday.
Good info—thank you for posting it!
One of those models has it going over the top of Mount LeConte, 6,500+ feet in elevation up in the Smokies.
There’s a hiking lodge and cabins up there. That would be one hell of a mess.
Hurricanes never seem to touch down in Sarasota.
or southbound
Atlanta Motor Speedway has opened campgrounds for free.
Looks like Marine Corps Recruit Depot Parris Island is going to get slammed. Since I was wondering what poor platoon had the Confidence Course that day, I checked their Facebook presence. Apparently the recruits will be bused to an Army base in Georgia and continue training there until it’s OK to come back.
Being a military base however, some personnel will *have* to stay to maintain the physical security of the base. Hope they make it through OK.
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