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Hurricane Irma Live Thread
NHC/NOAA ^ | NHC/NOAA | NHC/NOAA

Posted on 09/04/2017 2:02:19 PM PDT by NautiNurse

While thoughts and prayers are with our Texas FRiends and neighbors, we are at the peak of the Atlantic Tropical Storm season. Hurricane Irma continues its trek from Cape Verde across the pond and toward the Hebert Box (see below). People with interests in the Southeastern U.S. and Gulf of Mexico should be alert to the forecast path updates for this powerful storm. It is important to note that the average NHC track errors are about 175 and 225 statute miles at days 4 and 5, respectively.

Hurricane Irma originally had a small wind field. In the past 24 hours, however, the wind field has expanded with hurriance force winds up to 40 miles from the center, and tropical storm force winds up to 140 miles from the storm center.

FL Governor Rick Scott reminds Floridians: Families should take time today to make sure you have a disaster plan and fully-stocked Disaster Supply Kit. Florida residents from West Palm Beach to Tampa Bay are heeding the alert. Store shelves are emptying of bottled water.


Mash image to find lots of satellite imagery links

Public Advisories
NHC Discussions
NOAA Local Weather Statements/Radar San Juan, Puerto Rico
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Miami, FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Key West, FL
Buoy Data Caribbean
Buoy Data SE US & GOM


Hebert Box - Mash Pic for Tutorial
Credit: By J Cricket - Modification of map from Wiki


TOPICS: Breaking News; Extended News; Front Page News; News/Current Events; US: Florida; US: Georgia; US: North Carolina; US: South Carolina
KEYWORDS: cat6; category6; florida; hurricane; hurricaneirma; irma; livehurricaneirma; nautinurse; prepper; preppers; puertorico; virginislands
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To: dirtboy

1,581 posted on 09/06/2017 1:19:41 PM PDT by BlueLancer (ANTIFA - The new and improved SturmAbteilung)
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To: dirtboy

In that scenario the wind drives a ton of water into Miami. And that wind will be at least Cat 3 speeds. Worse case cat 4.


1,582 posted on 09/06/2017 1:19:54 PM PDT by justa-hairyape (The user name is sarcastic. Although at times it may not appear that way.)
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To: TEXOKIE

People forget their cars - and how to siphon out the gas.

We have 5 vehicles and between them they hold around 67 gallons. Keep them mostly topped off. Got an extra 5 gallon can for the generator.

Power goes out and gas is gone we can siphon gas for the generator and 37 mpg car.


1,583 posted on 09/06/2017 1:20:49 PM PDT by PeteB570 ( Islam is the sea in which the Terrorist Shark swims. The deeper the sea the larger the shark.)
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To: dirtboy

Not sure if this video has been posted of St. Thomas. The last few minutes are brutal.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VNiXIJsmwdA


1,584 posted on 09/06/2017 1:21:39 PM PDT by boycott
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To: dirtboy
Wow, that photo gives me chills. St Martin is (was) so beautiful, but now it looks like it took a direct hit from an atomic bomb. Looks like all of the trees were just shredded and the hillsides are now bare.

So sad. My wife and I spent part of our honeymoon there in 2006.

1,585 posted on 09/06/2017 1:22:32 PM PDT by noiseman (The only thing necessary for the triumph of evil is for good men to do nothing.)
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To: NormsRevenge
I believe both NOAA's own WP-3D Orion planes and the USAF WC-130J Hercules planes from the 53rd Weather Reconnaissance Squadron are flying into Irma. What they've found is pretty scary--extremely high winds and very low barometric pressure--well under 930 millibars at the center of the storm.

In short, imagine the wind speed of an EF-4 scale tornado but the winds lasts for hours. There may not be much left on any area affected by such a powerful hurricane.

But now, the really scary part is that the storm could make landfall at the worst place possible: the Miami, FL metro area. That could result in enormous destruction, especially the extremely vulnerable Miami Beach area, from 140+ mph winds, heavy rains and storm surges.

1,586 posted on 09/06/2017 1:24:57 PM PDT by RayChuang88 (FairTax: America's Economic Cure)
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To: RayChuang88

I just saw a crawler on The Weather Channel saying the Prime Minister of Antigua and Barbuda has reported there’s been no loss of life. If true, it’s very good news.


1,587 posted on 09/06/2017 1:30:35 PM PDT by American Quilter (When does the wall start going up?)
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To: dirtboy

Bad for St. Marteen, but it looks like no twister speed wind damage. Rockport Texas had areas flattened by twister or down draft damage.


1,588 posted on 09/06/2017 1:30:42 PM PDT by justa-hairyape (The user name is sarcastic. Although at times it may not appear that way.)
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To: TEXOKIE

That is correct. Storing more in a non approved way will lead to problems.

SO, get an approved container that meets fire codes.

I reload, and there is a maximum amount of powder I can have on hand before I trip the requirements for storage. The local fire guys and cops won’t fine me, but if I have a fire it might mean insurance won’t pay.


1,589 posted on 09/06/2017 1:33:41 PM PDT by redgolum
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To: justa-hairyape

1,590 posted on 09/06/2017 1:34:49 PM PDT by dirtboy
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To: dirtboy

Is there an evac call for Miami yet?


1,591 posted on 09/06/2017 1:36:11 PM PDT by redgolum
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To: redgolum

Mayor says no...

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3583735/posts


1,592 posted on 09/06/2017 1:38:39 PM PDT by Ingtar
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To: redgolum

Or, not yet.


1,593 posted on 09/06/2017 1:39:49 PM PDT by Ingtar
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To: dirtboy

A lot of debris on the hillside.


1,594 posted on 09/06/2017 1:40:47 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Tear down the Mexican Carrier plant and use the materials to build the wall)
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To: boycott

Mother Nature’s eraser!


1,595 posted on 09/06/2017 1:45:18 PM PDT by US_MilitaryRules (I'm not tired of Winning yet! Please, continue on!)
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To: boycott

I don’t understand these videos like the one of St. Thomas. Is someone calmly standing on a terrace filming this without getting wet and without the camera jumping around. Seems too dangerous to be outside on a balcony.


1,596 posted on 09/06/2017 1:45:46 PM PDT by hankbrown
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To: American Quilter

yes we have been preparing we have a full tank of gas and we leave in the morning at 3:45 to beat the traffic we’re going to North Florida to the villages home of a Republican enclave


1,597 posted on 09/06/2017 1:50:09 PM PDT by rodguy911 (Home of the free because of the brave!MAGA!)
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To: NautiNurse

ABS Television/Radio PRIME MINISTER BROWNE REPORTS 90% OF THE HOUSING STOCK IN BARBUDA TOTALLY DESTROYED. ONE FATALITY.


1,598 posted on 09/06/2017 1:50:34 PM PDT by dfwgator
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To: hankbrown

The fellow in the video was strategically located in the Ritz Carlton, on the leeward side of the building, catching the backside storm field, south of the core.


1,599 posted on 09/06/2017 1:53:46 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Tear down the Mexican Carrier plant and use the materials to build the wall)
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To: dfwgator

Pressure has dropped to 914 mb. Winds still at 185 mph.


1,600 posted on 09/06/2017 1:56:41 PM PDT by Parley Baer
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