Posted on 09/04/2017 2:02:19 PM PDT by NautiNurse
While thoughts and prayers are with our Texas FRiends and neighbors, we are at the peak of the Atlantic Tropical Storm season. Hurricane Irma continues its trek from Cape Verde across the pond and toward the Hebert Box (see below). People with interests in the Southeastern U.S. and Gulf of Mexico should be alert to the forecast path updates for this powerful storm. It is important to note that the average NHC track errors are about 175 and 225 statute miles at days 4 and 5, respectively.
Hurricane Irma originally had a small wind field. In the past 24 hours, however, the wind field has expanded with hurriance force winds up to 40 miles from the center, and tropical storm force winds up to 140 miles from the storm center.
FL Governor Rick Scott reminds Floridians: Families should take time today to make sure you have a disaster plan and fully-stocked Disaster Supply Kit. Florida residents from West Palm Beach to Tampa Bay are heeding the alert. Store shelves are emptying of bottled water.
Mash image to find lots of satellite imagery links
Public Advisories
NHC Discussions
NOAA Local Weather Statements/Radar San Juan, Puerto Rico
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Miami, FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Key West, FL
Buoy Data Caribbean
Buoy Data SE US & GOM
Hebert Box - Mash Pic for Tutorial
Credit: By J Cricket - Modification of map from Wiki
Looks like is going up the east coast instead of the west coast of Florida as ‘they’ were showing Just yesterday.
The Weather Network Verified account @weathernetwork 18m18 minutes ago
Officials and media networks in Antigua have not heard from #Barbuda since taking a direct hit from #Irma Wednesday morning.
Miami Beach flight.... getting out of Dodge!
Wow. Even though they are small islands, I really thought interaction with the Antilles and Virgin islands would begin the weakening process. if she stays fairly clear of PR it could be katy bar the door.
12z EUro also has sjfted west landfall just west of Miami
I want to see what happens at Cuba...if bounces off it or not....
That is scary news about Barbuda. Thanks for the update.
Tropical Storm Jose, far out in the eastern Atlantic Ocean, is expected to strengthen into a hurricane Wednesday. The current track forecast keeps it mostly away from land areas over the next several days but it could graze the same islands in the northeastern Lesser Antilles slammed by Irma this weekend and forecasters will be watching it closely.
Tropical Storm Katia, which formed early Wednesday in the southwestern Gulf of Mexico, is also forecast to become a hurricane — on Thursday or Friday, before making landfall in the Mexico state of Veracruz this weekend.
I am not sure if this video has been posted yet. I cannot verify but I’ve read that it is from Tortola in BVI.
https://www.facebook.com/Almira.Arayata/videos/1784763808217804/
18.5N is great for us! We’re 18.3N. Listening to the mayor of Culebra, off shore island to our east and sort of our heads up, and they’re holding up fine. Just a couple of mobile homes damaged.
The local NWS dude is saying the storm has jogged a bit more to the north, that the angle is increasing away from us a bit. Still forecasting winds of 55 mph, gusts to 100+ for my area.
Yes, it is scary.
Here’s another report.
Hurricane Irma UPDATE: Barbuda diplomat says ALL CONTACT has been lost with island
Black box on any of the Boeing 7 series commercial aircraft will record Cat5 windspeeds, but first they have to locate the airframe, haul it up out of the ocean, then rebuild the power supply and external monitors to extract the data.
Plus the airlines usually fly em out before landfall.
Short video St. Thomas as Ira strikes...cars being moved around..trees yanked out....almost solid white....
https://twitter.com/IslandB0y340
Looking at St Croix cam, they look pretty safe. What a difference 30-40 miles can make.
maggief...let me look into this because there was a report about it.....
Great news about the track moving N of PR! Any word about Barbuda? We can’t find anything on the mainland. Your local updates are superb!
There are skeptics who don’t believe reports of Cat 5 wind speeds outside of what is reported by NHC.
We just got this in the email. It is an article written by someone who has been thru the Harvey debacle. There is a list of what this person, a prepper, has learned.
Be sure to look at the commentary below the article. The discussion about how much gasoline to store is very important imho. The article suggests you should store 30 gallons. In the commentary someone states that the National Fire code states that you should only store 25. The implication seems to be that if your house burns down, the extra five gallons could give you problems collecting your home owner insurance.
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