Posted on 09/04/2017 2:02:19 PM PDT by NautiNurse
While thoughts and prayers are with our Texas FRiends and neighbors, we are at the peak of the Atlantic Tropical Storm season. Hurricane Irma continues its trek from Cape Verde across the pond and toward the Hebert Box (see below). People with interests in the Southeastern U.S. and Gulf of Mexico should be alert to the forecast path updates for this powerful storm. It is important to note that the average NHC track errors are about 175 and 225 statute miles at days 4 and 5, respectively.
Hurricane Irma originally had a small wind field. In the past 24 hours, however, the wind field has expanded with hurriance force winds up to 40 miles from the center, and tropical storm force winds up to 140 miles from the storm center.
FL Governor Rick Scott reminds Floridians: Families should take time today to make sure you have a disaster plan and fully-stocked Disaster Supply Kit. Florida residents from West Palm Beach to Tampa Bay are heeding the alert. Store shelves are emptying of bottled water.
Mash image to find lots of satellite imagery links
Public Advisories
NHC Discussions
NOAA Local Weather Statements/Radar San Juan, Puerto Rico
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Miami, FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Key West, FL
Buoy Data Caribbean
Buoy Data SE US & GOM
Hebert Box - Mash Pic for Tutorial
Credit: By J Cricket - Modification of map from Wiki
OMG—I’m going to need chocolate for this storm.
I have a house off Gulf Shores Highway in Pensacola. I wont panic until I hear they are flying all the jets out of the NAS. Until then I will hope for the best, and also hope my renter has the brains God gave him to protect himself and the property at least a litle bit.
It’s a hurricane with a lot of winds and rain. This is characteristic and part and parcel of what is known as “hurricane” in Western culture. This particular hurricane is meandering to the east with a slight bias to the north that will intensify over time. It bears watching. It requires preparation for those areas soon to be affected. This will definitely be something that will occupy our minds for the days to come now that Labor Day has arrived and mostly passed.
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LOL!! "Noob", sez NonValueAdded (Since Nov 25, 2002) '-)
See y'all on both threads -- then I'll decide where (or if) to comment... '-)
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Might's well have fun between hurricanes -- ain't much fun IN 'em... <CHUCKLE>
18z GFS in...still not good for FL..landfall Around Key Largo and then just west of due north movement
recon just found 944mb so no change there
eye wall replacement cycle still ongoing ..when thats complete the pressure should start dropping again the winds increase
Im gonna go out on a limb and suggest Irma will have joint billing with the NORKS for our interest and attention this week!
God love ya girl, yes you will, between your boat and/or your mom.
Tomorrow my hospital will start our “could happen” plan. By late Thursday we should know if it’s a “for sure” plan.
The tracks seem to be shifting to the west.
If it looks like there’s a snowball’s chance of it hitting anywhere near Houston i predict people will start leaving Houston a week out. Me included.
“https://www.weatherbell.com/ This is a good source.”
do you have to pay to access the data on this site?
I still don’t scientifically understand how these two hurricanes could have been avoided if we had given socialists in Paris three billion dollars of our money?
Current GFS has Irma at 132 hours as an 891 mb storm going into the very tip of South Florida and then working NNE. Worst-case scenario, let’s hope the actual course shifts.
(that’s because you aren’t a moron liberal) :-)
Not saying I want Florida or east coast hit, but please don’t go into gulf.
If we’re not part of the ‘98 group, we’re all n00bs :)
You didn’t credit Confucius for the forecast.
I’ll also ask seriously about something else that I don’t understand yet. On another forum they mention the Lake Okeechobee dikes as a serious worry for the population.
Anyone what to explain the details on that?
bttt
That is very low!
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