Posted on 08/21/2017 8:21:33 AM PDT by Zakeet
For years now, atmospheric scientists have been handing us a set of predictions about the likely consequences of our emissions of industrial gases. These forecasts are critically important, because this group of experts sees grave risks to our civilization. And yet, when it comes to reacting to the warnings of climate science, we have done little.
If the science were brand new, that might make sense, but climate scientists have been making predictions since the end of the 19th century. This is the acid test of any scientific theory: Does it make predictions that ultimately come true?
In the early 20th century, Albert Einstein’s new and controversial theory of relativity predicted that gravity would cause light to bend. It sounded crazy, but a solar eclipse in 1919 provided the opportunity to test it as starlight passed near the blotted-out sun. Einstein’s theory was proved, turning him into a celebrity overnight.
When medicine delivered a wave of vaccines in the 20th century, doctors predicted that widespread use would cause childhood deaths from illnesses like whooping cough and diphtheria to fall. The public trusted the doctors, and those deaths plummeted.
So what predictions has climate science made, and have they come true?
(Excerpt) Read more at nytimes.com ...
“So what predictions has climate science made, and have they come true?”
No.
An Ice Age (Rasool/Schnieder 1971)
.2C warming the first two decades of 21st century (IPCC TAR)
Ice free Arctic by 2016. Wadhams/Maslowski 2012
“Children won’t know what snow is.”- 2001, Dr. Viner, PhD., Hadley Climate Research Unit.
The epic stupidity of the entire article is mind boggling. I’m not a scientist but I like to think I can reason and think critically. No such attempt at reason and critical thinking is even remotely attempted here.
“They tell us that we are now at risk of causing the great ice sheets in Greenland and west Antarctica to collapse, which would raise the sea level 30 feet or more over some unknown period, wiping out many of the world’s great cities.” The use of the incredibly precise and deeply sound scientific terminology “some unknown period” for a thirty foot sea rise tells you all you need to know about this article. Is the unknown period for the sea rise a week,a year,a billion years? Who knows? Just remember it will wipe out many of the world’s greatest cities. I think if Galileo were alive today he would roar with laughter at these great scientific minds.
For this to resemble AGW this would be have to be like a solar eclipse passing over Patagonia in October and astronomers claiming to have nailed the prediction anyway.
People who are directly in the path of the total eclipse will get a perfect object lesson in global warming when the temperature drops when the Sun’s rays are interrupted.
All global warming comes from the Sun.
that either the temp doesn't rise because of our intervention (Solar, wind, pedal cars".....or...
it did rise...because we were too late.
In the meantime, it snows in winter and is hot in the summer. Sea level remains unchanged, The "correct" temperature of the earth now and in the future remains "unknown".
There is a proven mathematical formula as shown below. Gorebull warming isn't even a SWAG. It is pure emotional BS posing as science.
Below is the formula for calculating solar eclipses. This is the formula for between 2005 and 2050:
T=62.92+0.32217;t+0.005589;t2
T=62.92+0.32217;t+0.005589;t2
Where:
y=year+(month 0.5)/12
y=year+(month0.5)/12
t=y;2000
Let alone the source of that terrorism, the “I” word.
They're only so-so with predicting tomorrow's weather!
The link below shows the geometry and trig formulas and calculations for the solar eclipse in August 1999, before this one. The path and timing are based on solid math not Gorebull Warming BS posing as science.
https://www.eso.org/public/outreach/eduoff/aol/market/collaboration/eclipse99/projects/solecl-2d.htm
Yes classical mechanics which are deterministic and statistics which aren’t, are so close in there use!
As George E. P. Box (famous statistician) said: “All models are wrong some are useful!”
Today’s scientific method: can we get funded?
I trust SCIENCE...
“Climate” science is NOT science.
Around the turn of the millennium, one “theory” the progressives were pushing was that AGW started with Christianity.
Actually I think the plan may be to deliberately botch the Yellowstone supervolcano.
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-4803246/NASA-reveals-risky-plan-COOL-Yellowstone.html
Then global temperatures plummet, but climate “scientists” can say, the temp would have gone up but for the volcano.
Anyone with 1/2 a brain and a capacity for thought knows that people long, long ago were able to predict happenings in the solar system.
I guess this kind of explains the thought power of the idiots at the NY Slimes and their readers.
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