Posted on 04/18/2017 9:35:49 PM PDT by Helicondelta
This evening, all eyes were on the special election in Georgia’s Sixth Congressional District as Democrats were hoping to flip the seat that has been held by Republicans for decades. The seat recently opened up after Republican Tom Price left to take over as Secretary of Health and Human Services.
Going into the night, Democratic candidate Jon Ossoff was way up in the polls as a number of GOP hopefuls threw their hats into the ring. However, despite the fact that he was polling in the mid-40s, roughly 30 points ahead of his nearest opponent, Ossoff and Democrats knew he needed to get more support in order to gain at least 50% and avoid a runoff.
In the end, Ossoff ended up pulling in less than 50%, with totals showing him at 48.6% after a huge dump of votes came in from Fulton County around midnight, leading to numerous outlets to project this as heading to a runoff.
(Excerpt) Read more at mediaite.com ...
[[but Trump barely won it in November.]]
That’s my point- didn’t mitt win it big? Seems like georgia is going dem or at least central now- that doesn’t bode well- the south is sposed to be reliably republican-
Good. Figured with her '5 points' - pretty conservative - that she would be pro 2nd Amendment too.
Go Karen Handel! On to June 20!
“That’s my point- didn’t mitt win it big? Seems like georgia is going dem or at least central now-”
In statewide races, Georgia is still reliably Republican. The congressional districts have been gerrymandered so that the Republicans usually win ten House seats and (black) Democrats win four. The majority of voters in the 6th district are relatively affluent, well-educated whites, a group that didn’t vote big for Trump. So, I wouldn’t read too much into how Trump fared in that district. Most local pundits think that Handel will win the runoff election, assuming that both conservatives and establishment Republicans come out to vote.
let’s hope you’re right- all the other southern states practically went for trump 60% or better- georgia was one that was only 50% to dems 46% for hillary- NC was also close- though they have been trending more democrat in recent years- I just hope Georgia isn’t following suit-
Laughing my Ossoff!
Yes, in Georgia Trump received 51.3% of the votes and Hillary got 45.6%, with the Libertarian candidate siphoning off 3.1%. It was closer than recent presidential and senatorial elections. But, again, I don’t know how much should be read into the results from the presidential election. It wasn’t the normal R vs D election because many traditionally Republican and Democrat voters crossed over to the other side. That’s one of the reasons it was a pollster’s nightmare. Virginia has already gone over to the Dark Side, and North Carolina is trending that way. But, for example, I can’t see the Democrats winning a Senate seat in Georgia for many years to come, unless the Republicans nominate a complete nitwit. Ossoff came out of the blue; nobody had ever heard of him, so he was able to define himself (fraudulently) in the quickly held “jungle primary.” Handel isn’t the strongest possible candidate; she doesn’t come off well on the campaign trail, so we have to hope that enough voters who supported other candidates will hold their noses and vote against Ossoff in the runoff election.
my guts are gonna be in a knot until the election- she didn’t strike me as all that desireable a candidate either- but then again I don’t know too much about her- maybe she is- let’s hope anyways
Because republicans will do whatever it takes to lose. Luckily the Dems are so reprehensible that people will still not vote for them.
"...uniparty money-train..."
typical pub behavior....self serving....they should have dropped out and let the top leader be in the race...
HAHAHA, that’s not even close. Arianna Huffington’s ex-husband probably spent over 100m to get elected to the house then senate when he tried to parlay his house seat into a senate seat.
Back then Arianna was conservative. She went liberal, her husband went gay.
A look at Ossoff’s “quick facts” about himself
https://electjon.com/about-jon/
doesn’t shed any light on how he came by $8M of his own money (or his high security clearance either).
It also says he sings bass and I don’t believe that.
I am nonetheless concerned about the increased liberalism among white voters in suburban areas. If you go back to the 1976 Presidential election, you will see that the suburban counties around Los Angeles, Chicago, Philadelphia, New York, and Washington, DC, all supported Ford vs. Carter. They mostly supported Hillary Clinton last year. In the 1980s through the 2000s, the Democrats lost the rural and small town areas of the South, except where blacks or Hispanics predominate. Carter carried these areas in 1976. That year was the last one in which the Democrats carried Texas in a Presidential race. In this election cycle, the Democrats lost most of the manufacturing, mining, and farming areas of Appalachia and the Great Lakes region. However, the slippage in upper middle income whites is notable, in places like Orange County, California, Collin County, Texas, and Cobb County, Georgia. Some of the loss was the effect of defections to the Libertarian Party, which received 3-4% of the vote in these suburban counties, possibly due to sorehead Cruz supporters or RINO Never Trumpers.
First, you are making my point for me. The trend line for the top 50 counties in the country is more and more Dem, which correlates to the percentage of foreign born. The snapshot every four years proves it.
As far as Trump underperforming Romney, it is worth looking at Hillary's performance versus Obama's in those counties and how much the presence of a fairly strong Libertarian candidate, Gary Johnson, hurt Trump.
In TX, Hillary received 43.24% of the vote compared to Obama's 41.35%, almost a 2% swing. Romney received 57.13% of the vote compared to Trump's 52.23%. The "other" vote in 2016 was 4.06% compared to 1.52% in 2012. Hillary received 565,000 more votes than Obama in 2012. Trump received 115,000 more votes than Romney.
In 2012 Obama beat Romney in Harris county, 587,044 to 586,073. Other received 15,468 votes. In 2016 Hillary beat Trump 707,914 to 545,955. This is ominous and reminds me of how Fairfax County, VA became a Dem stronghold as the demography changed.
. Ditto for Maricopa County, Arizona (48% for Trump; 56% for Romney).
In 2012, Obama got 44.45% of the vote compared to Hillary's 44.58% in AZ. Romney received 53.48% of the vote compared to Trump's 48.08%. The difference was the "other" vote, which totaled 6.67% in 2016 compared to 2.07% in 2012. It is also worth noting that 300,000 more votes were cast in 2016 than in 2012. Trump received 20,000 more votes than Romney.
In Maricopa County Trump received 47.7% of the vote to Hillary's 44.8%. 7.5% of the vote went to "Other" including McMullen. In 2012 Romney received 54.3% compared to Obama's 43.6%. So Hillary actually outperformed Obama. However, it was by a little more than 1%. Maricopa will continue to trend more Dem as the demographics continue to change.
I am nonetheless concerned about the increased liberalism among white voters in suburban areas. If you go back to the 1976 Presidential election, you will see that the suburban counties around Los Angeles, Chicago, Philadelphia, New York, and Washington, DC, all supported Ford vs. Carter. They mostly supported Hillary Clinton last year.
The suburbs are becoming less and less white. I can tell you that firsthand having lived in the suburbs of Washington DC. Prince George's County is predominantly black. Montgomery County is becoming more Hispanic. Fairfax County now has one-third of the residents being foreign born. Arlington County is more Hispanic. They are all Dem strongholds. Fairfax County went Dem for the first time in 40 years in 2004 with Kerry. Yes, there are plenty of white liberals who populate the Inside the Beltway crowd, but the rising numbers of minorities are what are influencing the electoral results the most.
If the US does not significantly reduce LEGAL IMMIGRATION from the current 1.1 million legal permanent immigrants a year, the Dems will be the permanent majority party nationally within a decade. NC is already a battleground state and GA will soon be one as well. Once TX goes, it is all over for the Reps. VA is already gone and I watched it happen over a 30 year period.
Correct me if I’m wrong but if Ostoff won the primary he would have won the election outright. So thats a pretty big risk to have a stunt of 11 repubs running.
Thanks.
The slimes breaks down the results by county portion
http://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/georgia-house-special-election-district-6
Ossoff slightly outpaced Shillery in all segments.
The main problem of course is the nasty chunk of DeKalb, why is that in this district? 58.6% Ossoff, 57% Shillery.
The Fulton portion: 47.6% Ossoff, 46.4% Shill (48.9% Trump)
And the Cobb portion (county as a whole narrowly went Shill) just 41.3% Jackoff, 39.9% Shillery.
He4 is a big looser! Why?
He Ossified himself.
I can hardly wait until his campaign for the June election begins. Ossoffication is no joke.
OSSIFY WITH OSSOFF!
May the good Lord Jesus Christ help and guide and protect our President Trump from the evil and violent leftists of America and all anti Christ forces worldwide. All leftists are marked by greed and they love violence and gainsaying and covet that which is not theirs.
2012: Cobb 70-30; DeKalb 54-46; Fulton 66-34.
2014: Cobb 71-29; DeKalb 56-44; Fulton 67-33.
2016: Cobb 67-33; DeKalb 52-48; Fulton 62-38.
Atlanta is the seat of Fulton County. Just from the numbers I’m sure it’s mostly suburbs not city.
Apart from the number, it’s not the same as Gingrich’s old district...as I recall that one was the western suburbs of Atlanta, not the northern suburbs.
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