Posted on 04/16/2017 1:43:53 PM PDT by Lazamataz
The good news is that Jon Ossoff is succeeding in making the race for Georgia’s 6th Congressional District competitive. The bad news is that he’s probably not going to be going to the House of Representatives.
According to a newly released poll, the 30-year-old Democrat will likely fall short of the 50 percent vote share in Tuesday’s election he needs to win the race outright. While Ossoff leads the crowded field of mostly Republicans vying to replace Republican Tom Price, who vacated the seat in February to serve as Trump’s Health and Human Services secretary, he is currently only polling at 39 percent
“Ossoff is barely clearing a third of the remaining vote with much of the rest divided in a battle royal between four Republican hopefuls,” Decision Desk HQ’s Brandon Finnigan wrote to introduce the newly released poll his outlet sponsored. According to the poll conducted by Red Racing Horses, Ossoff’s closest competitors, Republicans Karen Handel and Bob Gray, poll at 15 percent and 12 percent, respectively.
As one of the only congressional elections held in President Donald Trump first 100 days, the race to represent the district of former House speaker Newt Gingrich has attracted national attention. Ossoff, hopeful Democrats have dared to utter aloud, may become the district’s first Democratic representative in nearly four decades. But according to this rare public poll, voters in the traditionally Republican district may be waking up to the same realization in enough time to deny the resistance such a win.
(Excerpt) Read more at news.dailymetro.bplaced.com ...
Totally agree.
I’m not privy to the Repub strategy here....but if it doomed the Dem Osoff.......it seems to be working.
If the "Repub strategy" works in this Georgia congressional district, it will be in spite of it, not because of it.
There are SEVENTEEN Republican candidates on this special election ballot. This is crazy. Some are various ethnics, some are anti-Trumpers, a mixed bag. These various candidates with their own GOP followings will definitely peel off votes from what should be a conservative, pro-President front-runner (if there is one) that the party brass is, or should have been, united around.
We shall see tomorrow if the Dem candidate benefits from this lousy GOP strategy....and we shall see if the District's Republican voters are smarter than their leaders.
Actually, I'm rather optimistic this latter will be the case in this particular district.
Leni
Ossoff has raised $9 million, almost all from out of state (via DailyKos and MoveOn), mostly from moneyed progressives such as Hollywood, etc.
Word is he has spent all of it. He is betting on the fact he cannot win a run-off and he needs to win 50% +1.
Also, there is a belief among many the more established Republicans running (Handel, former Secretary of State; Hill and Moody, both former State Senators) would have a better chance in a run-off because they have name recognition and a track record in the region.
The problem with Gray is he is a former city council member of one small suburban city in the district, and was only a city council member for two years, so he does not have the name recognition beyond his city.
Handel and Gray are polling best among the Republicans. Like it or not, right now it looks like one of those two will be in the run-off against Ossoff.
Handel is better known than Gray, and will have higher approval and higher disapproval as a result. Handel vs. Ossoff would be a known (Handel) vs. an unknown (Ossoff). Gray vs Ossoff would be an unknown vs. and unknown.
Then there is the question if Ossoff can pull off another round of fundraising, and can energize people to turn out for another vote.
At the same time, I think the fundraising faucets, and the GOP GOTV effort open up for the Republican once there is only one Republican in the race.
A political agenda? Tell me what that is in Atlanta district?
17. What does one say to SEVENTEEN candidates on the list?
Thank God Trump beat out 16 in that circus last year.
There is no Democrat Party political agenda...anywhere!!! The only political agenda the Democrat scum/vermin and their lap dog media have is “hate Trump”.....and, that ain’t working so well!!! Matter of fact...it ain’t working at all!!!
Alas, Obama has been on the lam, like the criminal he is, for the last three months. what a guy...he goes offshore from his supposed home country for three months. when Susan Rice and Lois Lerner drop dime on him, he’ll be wearing the orange suit of a jailed person!!!
As for Jon Ossoff......this “Little Pajama Boy” is going nowhere...politically!!! A vote cast for this misfit, is a truly wasted, useless, non-productive vote!!!
>>>Like there was any doubt<<<
I’ll go with “never say never” and “it ain’t over till the Fat Lady sings”.
That being said, you live in Georgia so you know a heck of a lot more about this Race than I do. LOL
One more thing. I think some people are not handicapping the race correctly. They point out Trump only won the district by 1.5%. However, Hillary only got 46.8% of the vote. My gut says in GA6 there was more Republican crossover vote for Hillary than Democrat crossover vote for Trump. I also bet most of the 4.9% of the third-party and write-in vote was cast by Republicans.
I also do not think this election is referendum on Trump or a replay of Trump vs. Hillary. For example, my precinct (part of GA6) went for Hillary in the November election, but in the primary twice as many people voted Republican as Democrat.
This has been a red herring from day one, just like during the 2016 election they had polls showing Hillary winning GA... LAUGHABLE NONSENSE... Biased polling and stupid cheerleading... not going to happen.
Yes you can get a left winger to sneak in in a conservative district when the vote splits, but if there is any sort of requirement that you have to top 50%+ or hold a runoff in that district, not a chance in hell.
LOL - to keep dems totally batty we've got to convince Trump to NEVER release his tax returns... Dem nuttiness works for us. Aside from that the liberal 'heads exploding' thing is funny.
At any rate, of the eleven, four are major contenders, so all in all, it's a ridiculous situation where all eleven will be draining votes from each other....and the lefty Dem might just slip in, or at least draw enough votes for a run-off against the GOP winner....which will be another battle.
As I said in a post up-thread, I hope there's enough educated GOP voters in that state to figure all this out on their own......and to be united as much as possible on one candidate in order to keep this congressional seat in Republican hands.
Leni
I agree with you Lennie. This is a special election, and not a primary. Even for a primary this is too many folks. Hopefully one or two will stand out and one of them will take the victory.
If you think this is a nightmare, here is the nightmare to end all nightmares.
When California had it’s recalls in 2003, there were 135 candidates for Governor should the recall be successful.
We voted yes or no and for a candidate, same ballot.
http://radio-weblogs.com/0101365/stories/2003/08/14/glist.html
Leni
Gosh, folks; let's not forget we are talking about the Do-Nothing-Party who has shed responsibility for any established policies for some years now... What if one of these on-comers tried to end ObamaCare... Imagine the utter shame!
I've seen Ossoff a couple times now and couldn't quite place in my mind how to describe him, although he looked vaguely familiar.
Then, you nailed it in your post above...and the oft-posted photo of the original "Pajama Boy" on this forum came right to my mind.
He looks just like any other immature, inexperienced, socialist, liberal punk-in-a-suit....... a put-upon, scrawny mama's boy pretending to be as mature and experienced and manly as Trump by sporting his most serious and stern facial expressions to prove it.
Good call, GrayFox!
Leni
No, but Jane Fonda has. LOL
Isn’t GA Jimmuh the oldest and longest living ever ex-President. People in GA will never completely get over him, but I know they rejected his grandson for governor.
Jimmy needs to live a bit longer if he wants to outlive Reagan who was 93 when he passed
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