Good stuff.
Well, hopefully we win the NM elections in 2018 and 2020. Need to hold the Governorship (John Sanchez?) take back the House and get that pesky Senate for the first time since ??? (Our campaigns only has the Senate results as far back as ‘96)
MD and PA results available
Not much to say about Maryland, GOP margin increased slightly in our only district, the 1st, and rat margin increased slightly in the only semi-competitive district, the 6th. Not significant.
Clinton/Trump/Obama/Romney
MD-01 Harris, Andy (R) 33.5 61.9 37.8 60.3
MD-06 Delaney, John (D) 55.8 39.7 55.4 42.6
Let’s look at PA
PA-06 Costello, Ryan (R) 48.2 47.6 48.1 50.6
PA-07 Meehan, Pat (R) 49.3 47.0 48.5 50.4
These 2 suburban Philly seats that narrowly went to Romney saw a slight swing to Clinton and she carried them. Costelleo and Meehan both won easily.
PA-08 Fitzpatrick, Brian (R) 48.0 48.2 49.3 49.4
Almost no change in this district, Romney won by a tenth of a point, Trump by 2 tenths.
PA-15 Dent, Charlie (R) 44.2 51.8 47.9 50.8
RINOish Charlie Dent’s seat sees a little bump for Trump
PA-16 Smucker, Lloyd (R) 44.2 51.0 46.3 52.4
Trump down a little but Clinton down a little more
PA-17 Cartwright, Matt (D) 43.3 53.4 55.4 43.3
In thinking about rat districts that may have gone Trump, I forgot about this one. Nearly a mirror imagine of 2012, 10 point win for Trump. Cartwright won reelection by less than 8 points over one Matt Connolly, I didn’t even know there was a real race on there. District to watch.
All heretofore unmentioned GOP districts saw increases ranging from slight to fairly big, here are the 2 next most marginal GOP seats, fairly big gains
PA-03 Kelly, Mike (R) 35.0 61.1 43.0 55.6
PA-11 Barletta, Lou (R) 36.2 60.0 44.5 53.9