MD and PA results available
Not much to say about Maryland, GOP margin increased slightly in our only district, the 1st, and rat margin increased slightly in the only semi-competitive district, the 6th. Not significant.
Clinton/Trump/Obama/Romney
MD-01 Harris, Andy (R) 33.5 61.9 37.8 60.3
MD-06 Delaney, John (D) 55.8 39.7 55.4 42.6
Let’s look at PA
PA-06 Costello, Ryan (R) 48.2 47.6 48.1 50.6
PA-07 Meehan, Pat (R) 49.3 47.0 48.5 50.4
These 2 suburban Philly seats that narrowly went to Romney saw a slight swing to Clinton and she carried them. Costelleo and Meehan both won easily.
PA-08 Fitzpatrick, Brian (R) 48.0 48.2 49.3 49.4
Almost no change in this district, Romney won by a tenth of a point, Trump by 2 tenths.
PA-15 Dent, Charlie (R) 44.2 51.8 47.9 50.8
RINOish Charlie Dent’s seat sees a little bump for Trump
PA-16 Smucker, Lloyd (R) 44.2 51.0 46.3 52.4
Trump down a little but Clinton down a little more
PA-17 Cartwright, Matt (D) 43.3 53.4 55.4 43.3
In thinking about rat districts that may have gone Trump, I forgot about this one. Nearly a mirror imagine of 2012, 10 point win for Trump. Cartwright won reelection by less than 8 points over one Matt Connolly, I didn’t even know there was a real race on there. District to watch.
All heretofore unmentioned GOP districts saw increases ranging from slight to fairly big, here are the 2 next most marginal GOP seats, fairly big gains
PA-03 Kelly, Mike (R) 35.0 61.1 43.0 55.6
PA-11 Barletta, Lou (R) 36.2 60.0 44.5 53.9
Ping to #91
Clearly the White working class carried PA for Trump. If he’d relied on the rich White suburbanites, the media stereotype of Republicans, he’d have lost. I did stand on my prediction that PA would swing to Trump.
Florida CD results
Clinton/Trump Obama/Romney
FL-07 Murphy, Stephanie (D) 51.4 44.1 49.4 49.4
It doesn’t indicate who edged who in 2012 in this court ordered mangled district. This is Seminole County (narrowly held by Trump) and what I presume is the best part of Orange (Winter Park). Figured Clinton carried it but not by this much, we see how why Mica (R) was narrowly unseated by this rat (named Murphy, sigh), pure coatails. Another area seat (Webster’s, who fled to an open GOP seat) was made safely rat by the court so we lost 2 from this awful region.
FL-13 Crist, Charlie (D) 49.6 46.4 54.6 43.9
Jolly’s court ordered redrawn seat, our other incumbent Republican who narrowly lost, to the Orange Menace, but look at the swing to Trump. Trump carried Pinellas (St. Pete) country but the district excludes the most Republican part. I would’t have figured he would have gotten so close in this one. We can get his one back, and the 7th too.
Hillsborough County (Tampa) swung the other way, I wonder why.
FL-18 Mast, Brian (R) 44.1 53.3 47.7 51.4
Our pickup of the open seat of rat Senate nominee Patrick Murphy, who unseated/robbed Allen West under previous though very similar lines even as Romney took the distinct. This is a northern part of Palm Beach county, Martin county, and St. Lucie County, which went to Trump after Obama/Murphy won it under IIRC suspicious circumstances and a wide margin in 2012, Murphy carried the county over Rubio in the Senate race, though Rubio statewide ran ahead of Trump. Mast won (the district, narrowly edging it in St. Lucie) by 10 points and should not have trouble holding it.
FL-25 Diaz-Balart, Mario (R) 47.9 49.6 44.9 54.5
Figured this swung to Clinton but Trump still carried it, I was correct though it was closer than I thought. District contains most of heavily GOP Collier County (which swung a little to Clinton, not significantly). the Miami-Dade portion is the problem. Diaz-Balart crushed his opponent
FL-26 Curbelo, Carlos (R) 56.7 40.6 55.4 43.9
FL-27 Ros-Lehtinen, Ileana (R) 58.6 38.9 53.0 46.3
Clinton carried these 2, as had Obama, only districts to split their tickets, nasty swings, nasty margins. After the illegal court ordered remap I feared for the Curbelo seat. But he won easily over the rats poor choice of a nominee, corrupt Ex-Congressman Joe Garcia, good sign. The 26th contains Monroe County, which Trump became the first Republican since HW Bush to carry, but again. Dade was the problem. Ros-Rinochen won reelection in the 27th by just under 10 points, her closest race since her initial election. I think it was the biggest Clinton win in district with a GOP member. It’ll be a fight when she retires but we can hold it.
Cuban voters sticking with their GOP Reps despite dem POTUS gains, gains which hopefully can be somewhat reversed next time.
Disgusting remap still burns me, though at least got rid of Bob Graham;s daughter (who is still unfortunately a statewide danger)