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Nevada: Trump 49.61%, Clinton 45.01%
Trafalgar Group ^ | Nov 6th, 2016

Posted on 11/05/2016 11:13:08 PM PDT by Helicondelta


(Excerpt) Read more at twitter.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Nevada
KEYWORDS: 2016polls
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To: guido911
But listen, the EV have already been done and counted.

Counted? Maybe in terms of total number. But no one knows how they voted (well, it's NV, so maybe someone does).

41 posted on 11/05/2016 11:50:28 PM PDT by CatOwner
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To: Helicondelta

I don’t think Trump is going to take Nevada, because Reid’s machine is just too strong. But it’s only six electoral votes and there’s plenty of other places to make it up


42 posted on 11/05/2016 11:51:24 PM PDT by montag813
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To: guido911

No. No. NO!!!

The EV cannibalize the votes that would normally be cast on Election Day!!!

There is no study, article, fact or any other bullshit that proves early voting magically creates more votes or indicates more votes are gonna be cast in any particular election. It means that the early voting, process, mechanism, procedure has been made to work well or at least better than before.

That is all it means man! Jesus!


43 posted on 11/05/2016 11:51:58 PM PDT by Az Joe
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To: montag813

NV...MAY be crucial.


44 posted on 11/05/2016 11:52:39 PM PDT by Az Joe
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To: Az Joe

Dude. I get it. Here is Nate Silver’s crew on this subject, which I believe.

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/dont-read-too-much-into-early-voting/


45 posted on 11/05/2016 11:54:46 PM PDT by guido911 (Please ss)
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To: Helicondelta

Great but still not quite what we need to overcome crooked D vote rigging in Vegas


46 posted on 11/05/2016 11:55:08 PM PDT by faithhopecharity ("Politicians are not born. They're excreted." Marcus Tullius Cicero.)
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To: Az Joe

Money Quote from Nate Silver and Early Vote signals:

“Generally, though, if you want to know what’s going to happen on Election Day, you’re far better off consulting the polls. Or, you know, waiting two weeks.”

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/dont-read-too-much-into-early-voting/


47 posted on 11/05/2016 11:57:15 PM PDT by guido911 (Please ss)
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To: goldstategop

Would be more helpful the next few days tapping into the phone bank for Trump and making calls for him instead of debating polls.

I would suggest as many FReepers that can, do that.

I did it or six weeks early on then it wore on me.

Will tap in next two days.

Ciao all


48 posted on 11/05/2016 11:58:30 PM PDT by dp0622 (IThe only thing an upper crust conservative hates more than a liberal is a middle class conservative)
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To: guido911

Not a single vote has been counted. Early Votes have been cast. None have been counted. No one is talking about the almost 30% of Nevada voters who are Independents (I’m one of them).

Early vote is primarily Clark County - the rest of the state ( a third of the population) is the conservative part, and they vote on Election Day overwhelmingly. Everyone is jumping to conclusions because the Democrat gas lighting strategy is full operation right now.


49 posted on 11/06/2016 12:00:08 AM PDT by Scott from the Left Coast (Choose wisely America. Your lives depend on it.)
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To: Scott from the Left Coast

I hear you. I hope you and AZ don’t think I am part of that EV doom and gloom crowd. I was merely pointing out the source of the hand-wringing and what possibly be motivating them.


50 posted on 11/06/2016 12:03:46 AM PDT by guido911 (Please ss)
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To: MountainWalker

That is not a Presidential election. Reid doesn’t have the horses to overcome this sweep by Trump!


51 posted on 11/06/2016 12:07:50 AM PDT by ChiMark (America no more)
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To: guido911

Yep!


52 posted on 11/06/2016 12:12:18 AM PDT by Az Joe
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To: MountainWalker

Scott Rasmussen said there was no hope in Nevada. Jennifer Griffin just reported that Trump would need to open up a 10% lead to catch up.


53 posted on 11/06/2016 12:12:53 AM PDT by jazminerose (Adorable Deplorable)
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To: Az Joe

Early Voting Total: 702,278

D: 298,419 (42.5%)
R: 250,218 (35.6%)
I: 153,641 (21.9%)

Like others have said, these are BALLOTS. We do not know how they actually VOTED. We do not know how many D’s are not voting for Clinton, nor do we know how many R’s are never-Trumpers.

Someone on another thread mentioned an Axiom poll (taken 10/30). That particular poll said that 74% of D’s are voting for Clinton while 21% are voting Trump. For the R’s 81% are voting Trump while 14% are voting for Clinton. I have no idea to the accuracy of that and I find it hard to believe. I would think both candidates would win at least 90% of their own party. In 2012 Obama won 96% of the D’s and Romney won 93% of the R’s.

For Independents, Axiom has Trump with 44% of I’s while Clinton has 37%. In 2012 Romney won I’s 50 to 43.

It will be interesting to see what the turnout on Election Day will be.


54 posted on 11/06/2016 12:15:21 AM PDT by eekitsagreek
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To: eekitsagreek

EV means exactly nothing! I am not interested!


55 posted on 11/06/2016 12:20:44 AM PDT by Az Joe
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To: JamesP81

If the Dems have a massive ground game turning out latinos, that will easily negate the polls. The poll is judging likely voters. If the Dems on Friday forced a bunch of Mexicans to vote, they changed the electoral makeup by turning apathetic voters who weren’t likely into real voters.


56 posted on 11/06/2016 12:22:27 AM PDT by JediJones (Social conservatism is the root of all conservatism.)
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To: snarkytart

The CNN/ORC poll has Trump ahead in Nevada by 3.

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3488640/posts


57 posted on 11/06/2016 12:23:34 AM PDT by Helicondelta (Deplorable)
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To: JediJones

My word. Just slit your wrists already.


58 posted on 11/06/2016 12:23:41 AM PDT by CatOwner
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To: CatOwner

NV was important to his paths. Without it, the paths narrow considerably. He then needs either CO or NH...or just PA. And that assumes he gets FL. If he loses FL, he needs PA and MI, then one of either NH or CO.


59 posted on 11/06/2016 12:25:06 AM PDT by JediJones (Social conservatism is the root of all conservatism.)
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To: jazminerose

“open up a 10% lead to catch up”

LOL. Catch up with what? Do you have a source for this?

I haven’t seen any recent commentary from Scott Rasmussen.


60 posted on 11/06/2016 12:29:22 AM PDT by Helicondelta (Deplorable)
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