Early Voting Total: 702,278
D: 298,419 (42.5%)
R: 250,218 (35.6%)
I: 153,641 (21.9%)
Like others have said, these are BALLOTS. We do not know how they actually VOTED. We do not know how many D’s are not voting for Clinton, nor do we know how many R’s are never-Trumpers.
Someone on another thread mentioned an Axiom poll (taken 10/30). That particular poll said that 74% of D’s are voting for Clinton while 21% are voting Trump. For the R’s 81% are voting Trump while 14% are voting for Clinton. I have no idea to the accuracy of that and I find it hard to believe. I would think both candidates would win at least 90% of their own party. In 2012 Obama won 96% of the D’s and Romney won 93% of the R’s.
For Independents, Axiom has Trump with 44% of I’s while Clinton has 37%. In 2012 Romney won I’s 50 to 43.
It will be interesting to see what the turnout on Election Day will be.
EV means exactly nothing! I am not interested!
2012 turnout was just under 1 million. The lion’s share of the vote is in. Not sure if early voting continues through Monday. But “election day” is turning into but an afterthought in many states.
Based on your polling, Trump currently has 332,947 votes out of the total or 47.4%. Romney got 45.68%.
Based on those numbers, it certainly doesn’t look like Trump is trailing at this point!
If the Axiom numbers are correct and you use those with the EV raw data, then Trump has a nice lead even with more Ds voting early.