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Michael McDonald of the US Election Project was just on Fox news talking about early voting.

Fox displayed stats for early voting compared to 2012. The numbers came from Fox, not McDonald.

Nationally, REP early voting UP 4.5%

Nationally, DEM early voting DOWN 4.2%

That is a swing of 8.7% from 2012 early voting. If those numbers continued through election day, that would signal a Trump 5 point win.

Can anyone provide a link of the video? It was on Fox, between 2pm and 2:10pm.

1 posted on 10/31/2016 12:13:27 PM PDT by SpeedyInTexas
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To: Ravi; LS

2pm and 2:10pm. Central time.


2 posted on 10/31/2016 12:14:09 PM PDT by SpeedyInTexas
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To: SpeedyInTexas

R +2 electorate - like 2014.

All those D +7, D +8, D + 9, D +10 polls are pure fiction.


3 posted on 10/31/2016 12:15:16 PM PDT by goldstategop ((In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever))
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To: SpeedyInTexas

4 posted on 10/31/2016 12:15:25 PM PDT by eaglestar
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To: SpeedyInTexas

Do they have a battleground state breakdown at all? That’ll be more important than the aggregate.


5 posted on 10/31/2016 12:15:25 PM PDT by NohSpinZone (First thing we do, let's kill all the lawyers)
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To: SpeedyInTexas
"National Early Vote: REPs + 4.5%, DEMs -4.2%"

-But but but, ABC says its Dem +10 and Trump losing to Hillary by 1 percent.
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3487120/posts


7 posted on 10/31/2016 12:16:46 PM PDT by Democrats hate too much
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To: SpeedyInTexas

Well, it’s a start.


8 posted on 10/31/2016 12:17:23 PM PDT by Puppage (You may disagree with what I have to say, but I shall defend to your death my right to say it)
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To: SpeedyInTexas

Wow nice.


9 posted on 10/31/2016 12:18:48 PM PDT by Ravi
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To: SpeedyInTexas

Bumped to the top!


11 posted on 10/31/2016 12:20:13 PM PDT by JohnHuang2
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To: SpeedyInTexas

But, but, Shep on FOX just said the GOP can’t get enough votes to beat Clinton’s ground game/s


13 posted on 10/31/2016 12:26:09 PM PDT by LongWayHome
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To: SpeedyInTexas
CLICK ... ENLARGE ... PRINT OUT

here

14 posted on 10/31/2016 12:27:33 PM PDT by knarf
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To: SpeedyInTexas

I don’t know how or WHY anyone is shocked by this...

Hillary had no shot of performing in any manner close to Obama in 12... and Trump was/is going to blow the pants of off or Romney’s performance.

Anyone who ever told you otherwise was LYING to you, or just living in self delusion.


15 posted on 10/31/2016 12:27:39 PM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: SpeedyInTexas

Sounds like the polls need to be weighted +9 Repub, but Podesta won’t let them.

Pray America wakes


16 posted on 10/31/2016 12:29:25 PM PDT by bray (Because you would be in jail)
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To: SpeedyInTexas

Good news. We’ll see. My position remains unchanged: it’ll be damnably close and whatever we get will be based strictly on turnout.


24 posted on 10/31/2016 12:39:24 PM PDT by RKBA Democrat (Lord Jesus Christ, Son of God, Have mercy on me, a sinner!)
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To: SpeedyInTexas

If true, all this talk of a Trump landslide will be accurate.


26 posted on 10/31/2016 12:45:38 PM PDT by SoFloFreeper
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To: SpeedyInTexas
That is great news.

Also consider that Trump is likely winning the Independent voters by a wide margin. For comparison, Romney won the Independent voters by just five points (50-45) and lost the overall popular vote by 51-48.

If Trump wins the Independents by 10 points (conservative) then he easily wins the overall popular vote on that alone. Some estimates have Trump winning Independents by 20 points!

Now throw in the number of Democrats, namely Democrat men, who will vote for Trump over Crooked Hillary. I think it is a somewhat safe bet that 1/3 of Democrat men will vote Trump. Especially blue-collar men who would normally vote Democratic.

The monster vote is out there.

27 posted on 10/31/2016 12:46:35 PM PDT by SamAdams76 (HRC's only chance to win is to discourage Trump voters. We Vote, we WIN! Simple as that.)
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To: SpeedyInTexas

Unpossible.

The MSM and the Dems have assured us early voting has put Hillary way ahead. The Clinton campaign referred to the numbers as ‘eyepopping’ in Clinton’s favor, and the MSM said Hillary has probably already won the election before regular voting even begins.


29 posted on 10/31/2016 12:53:48 PM PDT by Stevenc131
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To: SpeedyInTexas

33 posted on 10/31/2016 1:05:05 PM PDT by simpson96
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To: SpeedyInTexas

Which mean the Dem 8 plus poll models are waaay off....landslide Trump.


52 posted on 10/31/2016 7:38:14 PM PDT by DouglasKC
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