To: SpeedyInTexas
R +2 electorate - like 2014.
All those D +7, D +8, D + 9, D +10 polls are pure fiction.
3 posted on
10/31/2016 12:15:16 PM PDT by
goldstategop
((In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever))
To: goldstategop
All those D +7, D +8, D + 9, D +10 polls are pure fiction.
MSM Romantic Fiction
They have fallen in love with their own b___s___.
19 posted on
10/31/2016 12:34:09 PM PDT by
cgbg
(Another World War I veteran for Hillary!)
To: goldstategop
I agree with the last half of your statement. I would propose that akin to a regular 3-4 point advantage; more low information voters come out for presidential years.
To: goldstategop
R +2 electorate - like 2014. All those D +7, D +8, D + 9, D +10 polls are pure fiction.Yup, I think it's going to resemble 2014.
In case you missed it, my 2 cents: November 8: Its Déjà Vu All Over Again
In summary, On November 8, the factual data is indeed in Trumps favor:
I The Results of the 2014 Midterms. The reasons for that vote have only increased exponentially.
II The Republican Primary Turnout was record breaking.
III The ant-globalist Brexit surprise.
Plus add point IV: "The Governor's race in KY last year. Pre-election polls showed Bevin behind by 5; he won by 8" as pointed out by libertylover.
Trump/Pence! Charge!
31 posted on
10/31/2016 1:01:54 PM PDT by
Art in Idaho
(Conservatism is the only Hope for Western Civilization.)
To: goldstategop
R +2 electorate - like 2014.
This is not an off year election.
According to http://ropercenter.cornell.edu/polls/us-elections/how-groups-voted/how-groups-voted-*
2000 => D+4
2004 => Even
2008 => D+7
2012 => D+6
44 posted on
10/31/2016 3:25:41 PM PDT by
af_vet_1981
(The bus came by and I got on, That's when it all began.)
To: goldstategop
Only one poll have been better than D+3 since 1988, and that was 2004 (Even). All others were D+3 or greater. I do think D+7 is not realistic, given how unpopular Hillary is. I think D+3 is probable, if only because a lot of GOP voters re-registered as IND since 2012.
53 posted on
10/31/2016 8:23:47 PM PDT by
CatOwner
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