[goldstategop]

R +2 electorate - like 2014.

All those D +7, D +8, D + 9, D +10 polls are pure fiction.

[cgbg]

All those D +7, D +8, D + 9, D +10 polls are pure fiction.

MSM Romantic Fiction

They have fallen in love with their own b___s___.

[KC_Conspirator]

I agree with the last half of your statement. I would propose that akin to a regular 3-4 point advantage; more low information voters come out for presidential years.

[Art in Idaho]

R +2 electorate - like 2014. All those D +7, D +8, D + 9, D +10 polls are pure fiction.

Yup, I think it's going to resemble 2014.

In case you missed it, my 2 cents: November 8: It’s Déjà Vu All Over Again

In summary, On November 8, the factual data is indeed in Trump’s favor:

I The Results of the 2014 Midterms. The reasons for that vote have only increased exponentially.

II The Republican Primary Turnout was record breaking.

III The ant-globalist Brexit surprise.

Plus add point IV: "The Governor's race in KY last year. Pre-election polls showed Bevin behind by 5; he won by 8" as pointed out by libertylover.

Trump/Pence! Charge!

[af_vet_1981]

R +2 electorate - like 2014.

This is not an off year election.

According to http://ropercenter.cornell.edu/polls/us-elections/how-groups-voted/how-groups-voted-*

2000 => D+4
2004 => Even
2008 => D+7
2012 => D+6

[CatOwner]

Only one poll have been better than D+3 since 1988, and that was 2004 (Even). All others were D+3 or greater. I do think D+7 is not realistic, given how unpopular Hillary is. I think D+3 is probable, if only because a lot of GOP voters re-registered as IND since 2012.