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To: goldstategop
R +2 electorate - like 2014.

This is not an off year election.

According to http://ropercenter.cornell.edu/polls/us-elections/how-groups-voted/how-groups-voted-*

2000 => D+4
2004 => Even
2008 => D+7
2012 => D+6
44 posted on 10/31/2016 3:25:41 PM PDT by af_vet_1981 (The bus came by and I got on, That's when it all began.)
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To: af_vet_1981

People see what they want to see. A whole lot of folks are setting themselves up for disappointment.


45 posted on 10/31/2016 3:47:58 PM PDT by RKBA Democrat (Lord Jesus Christ, Son of God, Have mercy on me, a sinner!)
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To: af_vet_1981

In 2004, the last election where no rockstar, media crowned, black nominee was involved, turnout was even.
In 2008 you had a pasty old white guy that excited no one vs that rockstar, and it was D+7. In 2012 you had the rockstar vs a middle aged, pasty white morman who excited no one. D+6
This year, we have the rockstar vs a pasty old white woman who faces indictment.
I’m going R+2.
Plus we get the independent vote by ten points or better.


46 posted on 10/31/2016 4:04:28 PM PDT by roostercogburn
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