Posted on 10/27/2016 7:19:29 AM PDT by mandaladon
A few days ago, ABC News reported a twelve-point lead for Hillary Clinton in their tracking poll, but it didnt last long. Just three days later, the same tracking poll shows her lead over Donald Trump down to six points. Needless to say, the most prominent conclusion from this roller coaster is that the race is still rather volatile, even with just twelve days to go:
With 12 days to go, Hillary Clinton holds a six-point edge over Donald Trump among an electorate fixated on the campaign and nervous about their candidate losing, according to a new Washington Post-ABC News Tracking Poll.
How does a tracking poll shift six points in three days? On October 22nd and 23rd, the first two days of the new tracking paradigm, the poll showed Hillary up 50/38, a big bounce from the 47/43 nine days earlier in the series normal tri-weekly configuration. By Monday it was 49/40, and then yesterday 48/42 two three-point shifts on successive days. Oddly, support for Gary Johnson didnt change at all in the same period, remaining at 5% in every result, nor did no opinion.
(Excerpt) Read more at hotair.com ...
Like the final Brexit polls. Still consider yourself British? How quaint losers. Watch the Remain victory and sign up for Arabic and urdu classes.
I remember 5 a.m. with my family huddled in front of TV watching bewildered BBC presenters. I pray and feel that this will be like that late Nov 8th.
I know I’d be shocked to learn that people sometimes lie to pollsters! /s
The last time I got called for a poll (years ago), I told the guy I was going to vote for Abraham Lincoln. LOL.
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All this shows is that it is a manipulated show poll...oh, no one buys that we’re 12 ahead, so let’s make it 6 and see if they’ll go for that.
B.S. the truth likely is that Trump is leading somewhere in the 3 to 5 range.
heh heh
Pollsters think I voted for Bo Gritz several times.
I am sure Moore hit the base Trump support as you say, but the number of people who saw the Moore video is still rather limited. It may have been an energizing factor at some level, but I think you overstate it here.
The convergence of poking the balloon on the Hillary “it’s all over” play (the same exact play they tried to run in August, these people have NO creativity), was, in my opinion, boosted into a true tidal wave by the slow effect poison of Wikileaks and immediate impact nuclear explosion of Obamacare. Those two things are what is creating this hard last break to Trump - the undecided and independents are looking at corruption from two angles - incompetent policy and deceit - seeing both angles as terribly destructive. And the GOPe Republicans - quisling snowflakes that they are - jump on the suddenly streaking bandwagon.
It’s too soon yet, but they don’t have a candidate that can launch a major campaign comeback - no energy, no health, no ideas. It might be game over.
More than 1 Million views to date on the original video, and just audio combined so far.. most of it happening in the last 24 hours, and many reworked/derivatives of it have been published, and I have heard talk radio plugging it today as well finally...
I expect 5-10M folks will have seen or heard it in some capacity by the end of the week at the low end.
I think that the poll chiefs have to restore some balance to the thing before 8 November....to cite that they did get it almost right. So, by 1 November....I think Trump will be almost even, and by the 8th....on most polls...he’ll be 4 points ahead.
The last time we crossed the 60-percent voting point for registered voters...was 1968. I think it might happen again this year.
That was a great post by you and it has not gone out of date!
Well, keep plugging away there, I’m sure you find some more purists to commiserate with.
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