Posted on 10/27/2016 7:19:29 AM PDT by mandaladon
A few days ago, ABC News reported a twelve-point lead for Hillary Clinton in their tracking poll, but … it didn’t last long. Just three days later, the same tracking poll shows her lead over Donald Trump down to six points. Needless to say, the most prominent conclusion from this roller coaster is that the race is still rather volatile, even with just twelve days to go:
With 12 days to go, Hillary Clinton holds a six-point edge over Donald Trump among an electorate fixated on the campaign and nervous about their candidate losing, according to a new Washington Post-ABC News Tracking Poll.
How does a tracking poll shift six points in three days? On October 22nd and 23rd, the first two days of the new tracking paradigm, the poll showed Hillary up 50/38, a big bounce from the 47/43 nine days earlier in the series’ normal tri-weekly configuration. By Monday it was 49/40, and then yesterday 48/42 — two three-point shifts on successive days. Oddly, support for Gary Johnson didn’t change at all in the same period, remaining at 5% in every result, nor did “no opinion.”
(Excerpt) Read more at hotair.com ...
Obviously the polls make no sense. You have weeks of nothing but negatives reported against Trump, and it has the opposite effect. She was never ahead and certainly not that far ahead.
The old Nazi’s “voting machines” are making up the difference for Clintoon.
Rigged polls. Intended to sway public opinion.
It does not appear to be working.
Backpedaling the ridiculous 12 percent, which even Democrats couldn’t swallow.
Obviously the polls make no sense. You have weeks of nothing but negatives reported against Trump, and it has the opposite effect. She was never ahead and certainly not that far ahead.
They make sense to me. Rigged by media, simple as that. Trump was never behind by 12, nor 6, He is ahead right now and we all know it.
I’m not sure La Raza is volatile, but the polling sure is.
FOX poll: Hillary lead also cut in half from 6 points to 3.
So the polls are ALL showing huge momentum for Trump - that’s good news for the last two weeks.
Exactly - They need to tighten the polls up closer to reality.... The media has done all they can for Hillary and now they need to go into cover their ass mode in case she does not win.
It may have influenced the early voters, I think that was their strategy. Now in the last two weeks the polls will show a tie - undecided people want to be on the winning side so they will break for Trump on election day. Hopefully the fooled early voters didn't go too strong for hitlery.
Rush has said the polls would reflect more accurately as the day gets closer.
The MSM organizations that commission and pay for those polls are openly biased against Trump and support Hillary. Those polls are designed to support the narrative that the election of Clinton is inevitable and people should not “waste” their vote on Trump. Its a time honored strategy to influence the weak minded. However the real story is that there is an overwhelming disgust with the inherently dishonest and shamelessly corrupt Clinton. Imagine what the internal Democratic polls are showing. Uh oh
**How does a tracking poll shift six points in three days?**
Shifted to encourage or discourage voting.
If your candidate appears to be way ahead in the ‘polls’ you may not feel it necessary to wait in long lines to vote.
If your candidate is way down in the ‘polls’ you may just give up.
There is a lot of psy-ops going on here and we don’t know what the formula is. Most polls are always loaded with Dem respondents.
Beat the crooked pol and the crooked poll. VOTE!!!!!!
From the article: “Needless to say, the most prominent conclusion from this roller coaster is that the race is still rather volatile”
No, I’d say a more likely scenario is that the polls are bogus from the beginning, and now the closer to election day, the closer the polls will be to reality.
It would sure be nice if Trump’s “Make America Great Again” plan includes “Make Journalism Great Again”. But that’s yet another swamp to drain, I feel as though he will be kept busy draining the DC swamp.
But, was journalism ever that great? I have a feeling shaping public opinion as always been a top agenda in the news business.
Because it was deliberately oversampled to suppress early Trump voter turnout, but now they risk embarrassment if the numbers are too far off the result.
I’m no expert but I would imagine that the psychology of the Early Voter type of person would be in support of the exciting candidate that has sparked the most enthusiasm and hope.
I think the Early voting is mostly split between exited Trump people and dead Democrats.
Of course, I’m sure there are also a few old Union guys who are thinking, “I may be dead in a week. I better vote for Hillary now while I still can.” But I don’t imagine that is real common.
No they don't. See Brexit. I think the polls are going to show a Clinton landslide right to the election, at the very least a shift TOWARD her, not away from her.
The pollsters don't need public credibility any more than the press does. The pollsters that miss are still in business, they just don't get to claim they were the best guesser last time around.
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