USC Dornsife/LA Times Poll: 10/25 Trump 45.3 Clinton 44.2

USC/LA Times ^ | October 25, 2016 | USC/LA Times

[BlessedBeGod]

	10/26	10/25	Change
Trump	45.3	44.1	+ 1.2
Clinton	44.2	45.0	- . 8

[Ingtar]

Between the real and imaginary voters in Philadelphia, the entire state is a nightmare for the GOP.

[LongWayHome]

I’m not counting on PA to go Trump, though he’s close there, but that’s what always happens. Close but no cigar. He needs to look at Nevada & Colorado.

[caww]

Well I’m in Pa and there’s Trump signs everywhere here and very few Hillary as I’ve traveled the state.

Further they will all report it’s close until the votes are in......media etc. MUST keep the public engaged for their ratings and revenues ......further if they say Hillary is winning by too great of margins the media knows her supporters will stay home believing she has a slam dunk.

[LongWayHome]

I love PA....one of my favorite states. It’s the issues with Philly & the stuffing of the ballot boxes that we all know happen that have people like me leery of expecting Trump to have a win there.

[caww]

Philly has always cheated.....every election in one way or another.....actually for that they should be disqualified until they get their act together one day...but they never will. In fact any Demoratic city is corrupted.....no doubt Pittsburgh will surely be stuffing ballots as well.

However the outlaying areas are all in for Trump so we shall see.

[newfreep]

Woke early this morning and read this thread first.

This is great news...and hopefully Trump continues surging to overtake the voter fraud.

[phoneman08]

The Trump campaign needs remind the media and the voters that the only initiative of any substance Hillary ever was tasked with was health care reform way back in 1992. Of course, she failed. And Americans are supposed to trust her to fix it this time?

[goldstategop]

MD is in play.

Western MD is Trump Country.

[goldstategop]

Hillary was the grandmother of Obamacare.

And she’s defending it on the stump.

[Principled]

Likely voters = no monster vote.

Weighting misses voters too.

Ive said it a brazillion times....they’re just not asking the right people.

[goldstategop]

Or the polling model assumption wrong.

If the electorate is D +6 to D +9, it should be news.

They tell us more Ds will vote for Hillary than for Obama.

That’s about to be tested in early voting.

[dp0622]

THIS SITE WAS GIVEN TO ME BY A WELL INTENTIONED FREEPER AS A PLACE TO GO FOR ALL THE CUTTING EDGE POLLS.

It is a propaganda website with YUGE early turnout for dems in NC, FL and hillary is up 20 among women and down THREE among men.

AVOID IT!!

https://twitter.com/PpollingNumbers

[apillar]

Unlike some (or most) of the Clinton scandals in seems like this deal with the Clinton campaign paying the FBI Director wife who was investigator her $750,000 is actually getting some traction even in the mainstream media. I was channel surfing last night and some anchor on one of the big three networks was actually referring to it as a major scandal..

[phoneman08]

Grandmother of Obama Care. Makes a nice campaign slogan!

[Ken H]

Oh noes! He’s peaking too soon!

[phoneman08]

Fox and Friends just reported a new Bloomberg Florida poll. Trump+2!

[Ken H]

This poll is Schizophrenic.

I agree. So do I.

[HamiltonJay]

Dejection fatigue (may have another name) but that’s what’s happening... The weeks of Hillary has it won, had a psychological dejection effect, but the problem is that only lasts so long when the story isn’t backed by observable facts... After a certain amount of time those dejected start to come out of the duldrums after looking around and seeing nothing that matches the propoganda narrative that made them depressed.. And they emerge revitalized and even more angry and determined.

The fatigue to the propaganda of Hillary is crushing it when there is no observable support for her has hit. These folks are now revitalizing and angrier and more determined than ever.

[Cboldt]

The race was outside what this poll refers to as margin of error from July 25 to 29, from September 14 to 19, and on September 29. All three of those intervals were in Trump's favor. Crooked was "on the line" on August 13.

The September 14-19 peak coincides with a peak in the of $75k income group.

Crooked's August 13 peak coincides with a peak in the 18-34 age group.

[HamiltonJay]

I agree you get away from DC and Baltimore MD is Trump, but sadly that will get overwhelmed by DC and Baltimore... I wish that weren’t the case, but if Trump were to pull out MD, that would about as earth shattering as if he won IL.