Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

NC In-person Early Vote comparison to same day in 2012: Dems: -10%, Repubs -6%, UNF +28
Old North State Politics ^ | October 22, 2016 | Michael Bitzer

Posted on 10/23/2016 7:33:04 AM PDT by right-wingin_It

...On day 2 of this year's in-person early voting, 49 percent came from registered Democrats, 27 percent from registered Republicans, and 24 percent from registered unaffiliated voters. Cumulatively so far, registered Democrats are 51 percent of the early in-person ballots, registered Republicans are 26 percent, and registered unaffiliated voters are 23 percent. In comparison to the same day in 2012 totals, registered Democrats are down 10 percent, registered Republicans are down 6 percent, and registered unaffiliated voters are up 28 percent.

(Excerpt) Read more at oldnorthstatepolitics.com ...


TOPICS: Front Page News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: North Carolina
KEYWORDS: 2016swingstates; absentee; earlyvote; nc2016; northcarolina
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-4041-49 next last
Yes, registered Republicans are underperforming 2012 activity in absentee mail-in ballots compared to Democrats at this point. However, it is very interesting that Democrats are underperforming 2012 activity in in-person voting much more than republicans. Meanwhile registered unaffiliated is outperforming 2012 in both categories.


1 posted on 10/23/2016 7:33:04 AM PDT by right-wingin_It
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: right-wingin_It

article is worthless without a comparison to whatever the change in party enrollment between elections was.


2 posted on 10/23/2016 7:35:44 AM PDT by orionrising
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: rb22982

Ping


3 posted on 10/23/2016 7:35:56 AM PDT by right-wingin_It
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: right-wingin_It

Independents are going to Trump in DROVES!!!! Trump will n a LANDSLIDE the MSM is going to be investing HEAVILY in Valium stock!!!! HEADS EXPLODING EVERYWHERE!!!!


4 posted on 10/23/2016 7:35:56 AM PDT by Trump Girl Kit Cat (Yosemite Sam raising hell)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: right-wingin_It; LS

Evidence of no enthusiasm for the hag, some uncertaintly from Republicans about Trump, but massive evidence that Trump is carrying Independents and unaffiliateds. We’ll have to wait and see if that’s enough for him to win.


5 posted on 10/23/2016 7:36:20 AM PDT by usafa92 (Trump 2016 - Destroying the GOPe while Making America Great Again!!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: right-wingin_It

The unaffiliated are skewing men too


6 posted on 10/23/2016 7:37:38 AM PDT by rb22982
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: right-wingin_It

Many former GOP members dropped their party affiliation because GOPe was in the tank for themselves and big corporations


7 posted on 10/23/2016 7:37:46 AM PDT by stocksthatgoup (When the MSM wants your opinion, they will give it to you)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: orionrising

Well let’s put it this way. Nobody is going to switch to Unaffiliated to vote for Crooked Hillary Clinton.


8 posted on 10/23/2016 7:38:30 AM PDT by SamAdams76
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: orionrising

Huge numbers of Rs are leaving it for I.

But voting for Trump...as will some of the D.

I think it’s safe to say that 95% of thr increase in I will vote Trump.


9 posted on 10/23/2016 7:41:05 AM PDT by Principled (...the Supreme Court of the United States favors some laws over others...)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: right-wingin_It

Unaffiliated = the monster vote. Praying it becomes a Tsunami for Trump.


10 posted on 10/23/2016 7:41:22 AM PDT by Kudsman (Trump or bust 2016!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: right-wingin_It

I’m confused...so the pollsters using the 2012 methology or model are correct and the polls are pretty, not all, but are semi-correct..right? :(


11 posted on 10/23/2016 7:42:29 AM PDT by RoseofTexas
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: orionrising
I understand your point but its not completely worthless. Mail-in absentee ballot is a Republican thing, but Early In-person voting is a heavily relied upon Democrat thing. Until election results are in this is all we have to go on, and its either facts or media make believe, And right no media would have you think because mail-in absentee ballots are down more for Repubs, the thing is over.

Also according to the site, the drop in registered Republican ballots compared to 2012 was broken out to race an location demographics, an it appears to be coming from white urban areas.
12 posted on 10/23/2016 7:44:48 AM PDT by right-wingin_It
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: RoseofTexas

No poll. This is the statistics of in-person ballots received — comparing 2016 ballots received to the ballots received for same day in 2012 (day 2 of early voting).


13 posted on 10/23/2016 7:47:55 AM PDT by right-wingin_It
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 11 | View Replies]

To: right-wingin_It

That doesn’t sound very good, but it’s early and this is an election like no other.


14 posted on 10/23/2016 7:51:03 AM PDT by smokingfrog ( sleep with one eye open (<o> ---)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: right-wingin_It

Registered unaffiliated is good for Trump.


15 posted on 10/23/2016 7:51:35 AM PDT by Georgia Girl 2 (The only purpose of a pistol is to fight your way back to the rifle you should never have dropped)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Trump Girl Kit Cat

I’m no expert, but a landslide by either candidate seems very unlikely.


16 posted on 10/23/2016 7:53:50 AM PDT by smokingfrog ( sleep with one eye open (<o> ---)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: right-wingin_It

Few comments on the results thus far in NC: Absentee ballots are a very small % of Republican vote in NC so hard to read much from it being down. However, early voting is a *massive* part of the Democrats vote in the state and being down 10% while Rs only down 6% and independents up massively (and this group has a very good mix for Trump with Men / white) give the advantage to Republicans assuming this trend continues. Add in that AA turnout so far is down, doesn’t lead to very good results for Democrats - again *if* this continues.


17 posted on 10/23/2016 7:56:52 AM PDT by rb22982
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: rb22982

Exactly! That’s why my eyes popped out of my head when I read it. I don’t know which way this site leans, but the fact that Dems are underperforming they are down in early in-person, at least by day 2, should be the big headline. A better view of what going on will be on Monday, after we have Saturday of voting, I think. Questions: Is “day 2” of early in person voting this election fall on the same day of the week as “day 2” in 2012? And are the number of days to early in person vote in each cycle also equivalent?


18 posted on 10/23/2016 8:11:56 AM PDT by right-wingin_It
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 17 | View Replies]

To: right-wingin_It

Nevada early voting started.
This guy is tweeting about it: https://twitter.com/RalstonReports

I can’t make sense of it yet and don’t see an article about it.


19 posted on 10/23/2016 8:22:08 AM PDT by mrsmith (Dumb sluts: Lifeblood of the Media, Backbone of the Democrat/RINO Party!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: right-wingin_It

romney carried nc in 2012?
so the voting so far shows Trump will do better?


20 posted on 10/23/2016 8:31:49 AM PDT by ncalburt
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-4041-49 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson