Few comments on the results thus far in NC: Absentee ballots are a very small % of Republican vote in NC so hard to read much from it being down. However, early voting is a *massive* part of the Democrats vote in the state and being down 10% while Rs only down 6% and independents up massively (and this group has a very good mix for Trump with Men / white) give the advantage to Republicans assuming this trend continues. Add in that AA turnout so far is down, doesn’t lead to very good results for Democrats - again *if* this continues.
Exactly! That’s why my eyes popped out of my head when I read it. I don’t know which way this site leans, but the fact that Dems are underperforming they are down in early in-person, at least by day 2, should be the big headline. A better view of what going on will be on Monday, after we have Saturday of voting, I think. Questions: Is “day 2” of early in person voting this election fall on the same day of the week as “day 2” in 2012? And are the number of days to early in person vote in each cycle also equivalent?