Replies

The media is skewing the samples heavily Dems - don't believe them as evidence by the Massive Rallies for Trump and Nothing for Hillary. They only want to depress the voters - Not going to happen - we never surrender and never give up.

where are the trolls hovering to be first to support hillary? Am I the first?

okeefe
https://twitter.com/JamesOKeefeIII/status/788418438389755904

I’d love a landslide... so we can finally put the wooden stake through Hillary’s rotten heart!!

She needs to lose AND go away!!!

I don’t believe any polls, but hope Trump wins. However, I fear Hillary will narrowly win with the help of massive voter fraud. God save our country if that were to happen.

save for later

Bill Mitchell brought up a great point. The polling outfits are now using more normal dem/rep averages but juicing the poll with the college educated/non college voter using 40-50% college voters when the truth is that only 25-30% of voters have a college degree.

Trump is killing it with non-degree voters, so this alone will swing a poll 10-15% away from Trump. It’s blatant but they get away with because everyone is looking at the dem/rep breakdown.

Not according to that cuck Goldberg wailing on FNC.

Saying DT is losing and he’s screaming about vote fraud to depress turnout.

Buying completely into the Democrat narrative.

At this point, I think the polls exist in large part to excuse the voter fraud. The Dems add in a secret 10% to the vote total and no one is surprised when she wins by 2 points, because “she was always ahead in the polls, right?”

The big question is: can they manage enough voter fraud? The task this year will be larger than in previous years.

I use statistics all the time, professionally, for formal experiments on medical devices. The resulting documents sometimes end up being submitted to the FDA. So I know my stuff.

When you do a “random” sampling (polling of likely voters) of a population (all potential likely voters), then later find out your sample was actually biased (lots more dems than pubs), you must throw the results out.

Do not pass go, do not hem and haw...whatever conclusions you draw are invalid. Any statistician would laugh you out of their office.

from the article: " In a Gallup poll released on October 26th in 1980, two weeks before the election, Jimmy Carter was leading Ronald Reagan 47 – 39.
Two weeks later Reagan won in such a landslide..."

Seems to me the final polls were closer than that.
Close enough that every Reagan supporter went to vote, not depressed by too-negative polls.

I still think the same thing will happen again, now 36 years later.
But it is getting a liiiiiiiiiiiiitle late in the game...

A good debate would help the Trump side.

The media have been becoming increasingly dishonest, over the past two generations—even as the breakdown of the family, the corruption of education, and other examples of social deterioration have become increasingly clear. The corruption of our cultural institutions is very evident—as is the need to elect the one candidate who refuses to be coerced by the politically correct bullies, who have silenced so many others.

If you have a problem, if no one else can help, and if you can find them, maybe you can hire... the Actuarial Team.

....With all the liberal distortions and dishonesty we decided to have a small team of actuarial and statistics professionals take a look at a couple of the recent polls to get their take on the reliability of....

Who? I like GP, but how about some specifics. Tell me who these analysts are please.

Make America Great Again

Ping!

This ping provides two daily lists of links to Trump-related threads on FR.
To be added to or dropped from this ping list, freepmail to Albion Wilde.

* * *

Selected Trump articles on FR, from 12:00am to 1:30pm EDT today, 10/18/16:
Opinion: Trump would help working women more than Hillary would –MktWatch
Hillary Clinton, Plantronics, And Normal People Laws –Redstate
Woo hoo!! Our 4th QTR FReepathon is off to a roaring start!! –Jim Robinson
NEW - Wikileaks Appears To Have Released Its First "Insurance" File –ZH
Sources: John Kerry asked Ecuador to stop Assange from publishing Clinton docs –Wikileaks
RELEASE: The Podesta Emails Part 11 –Wikileaks
Project Veritas Video #2: short delay –Twitter
James O’Keefe Gets Another Scalp: Subject of Undercover Video Ousted –Breitbart
ACTUARIAL REVIEW: Analysis Shows Trump Win, Possible Landslide –GP
Trump, GOP offer best hope to lead America [Endorsement] –StJosNws, MO
Peter Schweizer: 2016 Election about Whether America Will Be Ruled by Political Class or American People –Breitbart
People's Pundit Daily: US Presidential Election Daily Tracking Poll (T+1.2) –PPD
Smithsonian: Why Clarence Thomas Not in New Afr-American Museum: ‘We Cannot Tell Every Story’ –CNS
Gallup survey shows same 11 point enthusiasm gap in favor of Trump –Kevin Collins
American Muslim Women PAC Press Conf [endorse Huma’s gal pal] –NatPressClub
Trump's Green Bay, WI Rally Crowd Breaks out 'Paul Ryan Sucks' Chant –BizInsdr
Trump campaign left out of Alaska voter guide –TheHill
Hillary Accused of Stealing Furniture from State Dept [by security detail] –NYPost
NBC News not even trying to hide its Hillary bias –NYPost
Journalists Dined at Top Clinton Staffers’ Homes Days before Hillary’s Campaign Launch –Wikileaks
Podesta Emailed Soros about Scalia Replacement on Day He Died –Twitter
Boom! The American Media Has Out-Corrupted the Chinese! –RSW
Benghazi Mom to Attend Third Presidential Debate –NYPost
‘Wolf in Sheep’s Clothing’’—Saul Alinsky Profiled in New Documentary –CNS
Donald Trump Bounces Back from the Brink Heading into Next Debate –Breitbart
Podesta arranged Harvard student "protests" w Larry Tribe and Tom Steyer –Wikilks
Citizens of Brussels have Message for Americans heading to the Polls (video)
FBI: "Shadow Govt" in Charge of Hillary Email Investigation –Paul Joseph Watson
Document: Anatomy of the Deep State [Shadow Government] –Wikispooks
Illegal border crossings from Mexico into U.S. up 23 percent from 2015 –UPI
Melania Trump Defends Donald, Says He Was 'Egged On' by Billy Bush –Townhall
America’s Most Honorable Men Stand with Trump –AmThkr
DONALD TRUMP/MIKE PENCE PRAYER VIGIL 10/18/16
Is poll-leading Hillary the Ghost Candidate? [can’t draw crowds, sell stuff] –AmThkr
Retired US general pleads guilty to lying in Iran probe (lied to FBI) –MidEastEye
Goldman Sachs Paid Hillary $675,000 For This? –IBD
Clinton Extreme Meltdown—Screams, Throws Water, Obscenities –RickWells
Trump is Right..Rigged Dem Primary Bombshell –StanfordStudy.pdf
LIVE: Two Trump Rallies 10/18/16 Colorado Springs, CO 1pm MT and Grand Junction, CO 3pm PT
USC/LA Times Poll: 10/18 [Trump 44.9, Clinton 44.3] –USC
Trump: ‘It Is Time to Drain the Swamp in Washington, D.C.’ –Alex Swoyer
Cspan video: Show this to those who don't fully grasp the severity of Hillary Clinton's email breach –Twitter

bobsunshine, NEVER and I mean NEVER in my lifetime seen the enthusiasm, there have been custom painted cars, trucks, boats, HUGE 18 wheeler rigs, crop fields over this country with Trumps name it has REALLY BEEN AMAZING!!! People in this country are PISSED!!! People are being SHAMED with the typical PC CRAP there are MANY who would NEVER admit to a pollster the truth!!!! I am with you Trump in a LANDSLIDE!!!! REMEMBER BREXIT polls overwhelmingly were STAY same thing people being shamed, called names homophobic, islamophobic, uneducated YET they woke up the day of VOTING and VOTED LEAVE!!!! This movement IS happening world wide GLOBALISM is FAILING people WANT their countries BACK!!!!!

Really bad humor/sarc HRC is being demonized. Obama said there are NO facts and we have to believe him. I mean why would he lie? Polls MUST be believed, SILENCE I KILL YOU!

Serious line: Polls are exercising their rights to skew the masses and run the sheeple through before the Judas gate slams shut.

“...Trump Win and Possible Landslide”

.
Dear God, let this be Your Will.

The polls are so blatantly biased that the results are absurd. I don’t think the Liberal Media are going to correct the polls near November 8. The Liberal Media, including Murdoch News, is going to do its best to convince Trump supporters that all hope is lost for them. They have gone all in.

Dana Perino said we should believe the polls. And just like that (sound of fingers snapping) I stopped watching The Five.

Polls are NOT news..........