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USC Dornsife/LA Times Poll: 10/15 -- Trump up .3 , Clinton down .1
LA Times ^ | October 15, 2016 | LA Times

Posted on 10/15/2016 12:15:33 AM PDT by BlessedBeGod

Change
Trump: up .3
Clinton: down .1

10/15
Trump: 44.2
Clinton: 44.1

10/14
Trump:43.9
Clinton: 44.2


TOPICS: Breaking News; Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2016polls; trumplandslidecoming
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To: BlessedBeGod

They’re still using turnout models based on 2012, 2008 elections, with Obama’s name on the ticket, when it’s more likely to resemble mid-term models. If so, Trump landslide coming.

The story of this election will be how traditional liberal voting blocs stayed home. The enthusiasm is on the side of the good guys. Big time. They cheated during mid-terms too. Media shilled for Dems during mid-terms as well.

She’s dead, Jim.


21 posted on 10/15/2016 3:28:12 AM PDT by wayoverontheright (a falling camel attracts many knives.......)
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To: SweetPatriot84
;-)
22 posted on 10/15/2016 3:38:37 AM PDT by BlessedBeGod (To restore all things in Christ. ~~~~ Appeasing evil is cowardice.)
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To: BlessedBeGod
It's just one tenth of one percent, really statistical static, but it is good to see Trump back on top (err, is that a sexual comment? :)

These phony bitches with their "he looked at my butt, he touched my breast, he kissed me...Etc.." make me sick...and tired.

23 posted on 10/15/2016 3:44:56 AM PDT by USS Alaska (Exterminate the terrorist savages, everywhere.)
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To: Az Joe
Nobody cares what you post.

Same goes for you, joe, look in the


24 posted on 10/15/2016 3:49:18 AM PDT by USS Alaska (Exterminate the terrorist savages, everywhere.)
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To: Az Joe

Poster did nothing wrong, Cyberbully.


25 posted on 10/15/2016 3:53:53 AM PDT by BlueStateRightist (Government is best which governs least.)
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To: BinaryBoy

Keep the Secret Service close


26 posted on 10/15/2016 3:54:28 AM PDT by ballplayer (hvexx NKK c bmytit II iyijjhihhiyyiyiyi it iyiiy II i hi jiihi ty yhiiyihiijhijjyjiyjiiijyuiiijihyii)
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To: BlessedBeGod

Should be a larger move for Trump tomorrow as the poor weekend polling last week starts falling off - expect to see Trump back up by 2-4% by Tuesday/Wed in this poll.


27 posted on 10/15/2016 4:25:14 AM PDT by rb22982
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To: BlueStateRightist
Trumpslide.

Where are the hordes of young people turning out to see Hillary?

Where are the Hillary signs and bumper stickers?

Where are the insufferably smug looks on the faces of the SJWs, the snowflakes, the virtue signalers, as they tell you all that Hillary is going to do?

Where is Hillary? All we have is the Reichsministers f&uumlaut;r Trumpenstumpen parading an endless round of obviously manufactured scandals, manufactured outrage, and the joyous news that, once again, Hillary is up ANOTHER 12 points in the latest poll and the chocolate ration has been increased again from 30 grams to 20.

The snowflakes are all shuffling along miserably, not even ranting about Trump, let along sanctimoniously lecturing all in sight. The Trump supporters are showing up in numbers unheard of. And the look of mingled glee and swagger after that first furtive eye contact which says "they have no idea what's under the surface waiting for them."

And the press is beginning to write articles about how they fear for their own safety.

And other Dem top stars are out campaigning for Hillary: not proclaiming the joy of the coming progressive Utopia, but decrying the untermensch, calling us rednecks, conspiracy theorists, blaming us for *believing* the propaganda, with weak and quavering voices, to their fellow "supposed" latte-sipping self-proclaimed cognoscenti.

Al Gore even begged the students at a Florida rally not to vote for Johnson, since "every vote counts" and Ralph Nader cost *him* the election by garnering 90,000 votes in Florida.

The election will be determined by the f'ing FLOOD of very pissed-off Americans, dwarfing undecideds and voter fraud alike.

28 posted on 10/15/2016 4:29:19 AM PDT by grey_whiskers (The opinions are solely those of the author and are subject to change without notice.)
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To: BlessedBeGod

These numbers fully reflect the Trump Tapes from last Friday but not last Sunday’s debate. Based upon the kill shots Trump delivered to Hillary in that epic debate expect Trump’s numbers to continue to improve in this poll for at least the next couple of days.


29 posted on 10/15/2016 4:40:22 AM PDT by GLDNGUN
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To: BinaryBoy

Really, this guy is the energizer bunny of politics. And by bunny I mean the kind in Monty Python with a mound of failed attackers outside its lair.


30 posted on 10/15/2016 4:42:56 AM PDT by Caipirabob (Communists... Socialists... Democrats...Traitors... Who can tell the difference?)
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To: BlessedBeGod

Thanks for the update. TTTT!


31 posted on 10/15/2016 4:52:28 AM PDT by HokieMom (Pacepa : Can the U.S. afford a president who can't recognize anti-Americanism?)
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To: Caipirabob

32 posted on 10/15/2016 4:56:42 AM PDT by Caipirabob (Communists... Socialists... Democrats...Traitors... Who can tell the difference?)
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To: BinaryBoy

It’s not about him. It’s about her. I respect Donald Trump because he is a fighter. During the primaries I did not vote for him. Mainly I see a vote for him as a vote against Clinton. I suspect their many like me.


33 posted on 10/15/2016 5:12:57 AM PDT by Destroyer Sailor (Revenge is a dish best served cold.)
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To: BlessedBeGod

I’ve been told the internals show they give Trump 3.9% of Black support - a truly absurd number. This survey also makes no allowance for Trump supporters being 11 points on average more enthusiastic to vote than Clinton supporters. Gallup makes it 76/65.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/graphics/politics/2016-election/the-demographic-groups-fueling-the-election/


34 posted on 10/15/2016 5:14:59 AM PDT by jmaroneps37 (Conservatism is truth. Liberalism is lies.)
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To: freespirit2012
but people are beginning to ignore cnn. nyt, cbs, abc, nbc, wapo.. and of course msnbc...

I hope so but do you have any facts about this
35 posted on 10/15/2016 5:17:55 AM PDT by uncbob
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To: BinaryBoy

I wonder what extreme measures the establishment will take when they realize the propaganda isn’t stopping him?
__________________________

MSM attacks are no longer subtle. They’re over the top and it’s becoming clear they have a personal dislike for Trump. This may actually get him votes.


36 posted on 10/15/2016 5:37:06 AM PDT by conservativepoet
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To: conservativepoet

this is complete overkill and each woman is being debunked. They should have just let that tape linger and not hire these women do try and ruin trump.


37 posted on 10/15/2016 5:39:55 AM PDT by Blue Turtle
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To: grey_whiskers
Where are the hordes of young people turning out to see Hillary?

Looks like Hillary doesn't even turn out to see Hillary these days!

38 posted on 10/15/2016 5:42:58 AM PDT by CAluvdubya (<---has now left CA for NV, where God/guns have not been outlawed! She's done and he's won!)
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To: BlessedBeGod

Thank you for posting this poll! We appreciate your efforts.

The polls showing Hillary ahead are NOT to be trusted.

Nate Silver and FiveThirtyEight at one point gave Trump 2% odds of winning the primary and becoming our nominee. 2%!!! hehehehe

To ALL:

Ignore the crooked polls that have Trump losing - trust your observations - the rallies and the reports of Trump signage on display throughout the country - no one is seeing Hillary signs except in northern Virginia.

Also - the rallies do matter - Trump is not Romney. The people who say that the rallies are not indicative and don’t matter and won’t predict a Trump win are DEAD wrong this time around.

Obama’s rallies were massive and they all (media) said it portended an Obama win. Trump has been consistent since the primaries in bringing many many people out for him.

Trust your observations! (unless the Soros voting machines mess this up - Let’s hope Trump is having his best people looking into this: Guiliani maybe?)


39 posted on 10/15/2016 5:55:37 AM PDT by stonehouse01
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To: BlessedBeGod
Now, studying this poll - and I know I'm the only one actually grokking the internals because the link to the Understanding America Study: (UAS) is woefully broken on the cesrusc.org USC|LAT poll page, which means no one but me actually cares enough to click on it - they cartwheel 7 sets of the banked 5500; approx. 780 people get whammied once a week, on the three questions:
(1) you will vote in the presidential election?
(2) you will vote for Clinton, Trump, or someone else?
(3) Clinton, Trump or someone else will win?

So today it's Trump 44.2-44.1 Cankles. Ok, 88.3%. Now, two important things to note about that 12% remainder:

If you extrapolate other polls that strongly suggest that the 3rd Partiers are going to aggregate 10% nationally (and maybe better in places like NM, UT; but ignoring that nutty idea that Sanders could win VT on write-ins); that means the election -at least as contained in this group- has just a bare handful of flip-floppers, undecideds, and not voting.

Which, with Trump as the challenger to the 3rd term 'incumbent' Cankles, it is still Trump's race to win.

40 posted on 10/15/2016 6:30:57 AM PDT by StAnDeliver (PS - Vote Trump. Vote Coal.)
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